🎓 CBB DFS Breakdown: DraftKings & FanDuel Picks | 3/6/21

College basketball season is in full swing, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for March 6, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | March 6

Stud Tier

Timmy Allen ($7,800) – Entering the slate with a 75.75 implied team total, Utah remains 3.5-point favorites over Arizona State in a game totaled at 148 points. Arizona State struggles defensively ranking 248th in defensive efficiency. Allen plays almost every minute for Utah and leads the team with an 18.8% usage rate. Allen accounts for 25% of the Utah’s shots, 14.7% of the rebounds and 29.6% of the assists in its last three games. Scoring at least 15 points in back-to-back games, Allen should continue his productive streak against Arizona State here.

Miles McBride ($7,500) – Another solid game for DFS, West Virginia holds the third-highest implied team total on the slate (78.25). The Mountaineers sit as seven-point favorites over Oklahoma State in a game totaled at 148.5 points. Both teams play with an above-average pace, and Oklahoma State remains one of the fastest teams in the country. McBride leads West Virginia with a 19.8% usage rate, accounting for 20.1% of the shots, 10.2% of the rebounds and 33.9% of the assists on the season. Oklahoma State plays solid defense, but may be without Cade Cunningham ($9,800). Cunningham suffered a sprained ankle on Thursday and remains questionable for the quick turnaround here.

Herbert Jones ($7,300) – Holding a slate-leading 81.75-point implied team total, Alabama remains eight-point favorites over Georgia in a game bringing a 157-point total. Alabama recently condensed its rotation, focusing on Jones, John Petty Jr. ($6,800), Jaden Shackelford ($6,200), and Jahvon Quinerly ($6,100). While all are viable against Georgia’s 224th-ranked defense, Jones possesses the highest upside. Jones has played at least 33 minutes in back-to-back games. He only accounts for a 12.9% shot rate in Alabama’s last three, but he brings strong peripherals with a 24.6% rebound rate and 33.3% assist rate. Positively, Jones also took 11 shots in Alabama’s last game, giving him a ceiling in this spot.

Mid-Priced Tier

Allen Flanigan ($6,800) – Despite playing without Sharife Cooper, Auburn still remains as a 1.5-point favorite over Mississippi State in a game with a 141-point total. Mississippi State typically plays slow basketball with strong defense. However, the Auburn studs continue to come in underpriced without Cooper in the fold. Flanigan has played at least 34 minutes in three straight games for Auburn and holds an increasing 15.1% usage rate. Without Cooper, Flanigan holds a 17.6% shot rate, 23.2% rebound rate and 25% assist rate in Auburn’s last three games. Despite the tougher matchup, Flanigan still brings sleeper appeal in this spot for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

Javonte Smart ($6,700) – While Jeremiah Tilmon ($6,700) makes sense on the other side of this matchup, Smart provides more security. This game currently sits with LSU as a two-point underdog with a 155.5-point total. Both teams play with an above-average pace and poor defense, making this a matchup to target. Smart has played at least 37 minutes in three straight games for LSU. He holds a 16.4% usage rate this season, including an 18.3% shot rate and 24.4% assist rate in LSU’s last three games. Tilmon doesn’t have quite the minute or usage security, but he draws a strong matchup against LSU’s 246th-ranked interior defense.

Jermaine Samuels ($6,500) – Potentially crushing its chance of an extended run in March, Villanova lost Collin Gillespie to a serious knee injury earlier this week. Despite the injury, Villanova remains 4.5-point favorites over Providence in a game totaled at 139.5 points. Without Gillespie, a number of Villanova players look attractive from a pricing standpoint. Samuels in particular stands to benefit after already playing with a 15.6% usage rate. In Villanova’s last three games, Samuels accounts for 15.9% of the shots, 17.8% of the rebounds, and 25.5% of the assists. Now playing without Gillespie, Samuels has a chance to assert himself as a focal point of the offense moving forward.

Olivier Sarr ($5,600) – After a forgetful season, Kentucky enters a smash spot this Saturday against South Carolina. Kentucky holds the fourth-highest implied team total on the board as 7.5-point favorites in a game totaled at 150 points. South Carolina plays with a well-above average tempo and a horrific 239th-ranked defense. Kentucky remains deep at forward, but Sarr has played at least 30 minutes in three straight games for Kentucky. Sarr’s 13.2% usage rate leaves much to be desired, but he draws a strong matchup here. South Carolina ranks 255th in interior defense. Sarr also remains a foul risk, making him better suited to GPPs. Either way, picking up a piece of Kentucky looks like a strong move today.

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Value Tier

Justin Minaya ($4,700) – On the other side of the Kentucky game, South Carolina holds a healthy 71.25-point implied team total. After dealing with a number of injuries and blowouts in recent game, a couple South Carolina players remain underpriced. Minaya in particular finds himself below $5K after regular $7K pricing earlier this year. Minaya averages 30.4 minutes per game this year with an 11.2% usage rate. While this isn’t ideal, Minaya’s strong peripherals give him a solid floor. Minayo holds a 17.3% rebound rate and 12.5% assist rate for South Carolina this year. In a projected high scoring affair, Minaya makes sense as a value play on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Justin Kier ($4,600) – On the other side of the Alabama game, Georgia also possesses a strong 74.5-point implied team total. Positively, Georgia narrowed their rotation in their most recent contest as well. K.D. Johnson ($5,800), P.J. Horne ($4,500), and Kier all played at least 27 minutes in the Bulldogs’ most recent game. Among that group, Kier provides the best minute/usage combination. Kier played 35 and 30 minutes in back-to-back games for Georgia and accounts for solid rate in that span. Looking at Georgia’s last three, Kier holds a 13.5% shot rate and 13.3% rebound rate. Kier scored 16 points and recorded seven boards in Georgia’s last game, likely giving him a longer leash here.

Caleb Daniels ($4,500) – For those looking at cheaper options in Villanova’s offense, Daniels looks like a preferred value play on today’s slate. Already starting for this team, Daniels has played at least 28 minutes in three straight games. With Gillespie getting hurt last game, Daniels minutes jumped to 31. Daniels already possesses a usable 13.8% usage rate, including a 14.8% shot rate in Villanova’s last three games. Gillespie vacates 33.4 minutes per game and a team-leading 19.1% usage rate.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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