College basketball season is in full swing, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for March 3, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | March 3
Studs Tier
David Duke ($9,000) — The top game for DFS purposes, Providence is a 1.5-point underdog to St. John’s in a game totaled at 150.5 points. Still holding a top-four implied team total, Providence is in a pace-up spot against a St. John’s defense ranked 212th in defensive efficiency. Duke is averaging 37.2 minutes per game with a 19.6% usage rate. He has taken 23.3% of the Providence’s shots, 25% of the rebounds and 41.7% of the assist in their last three games. Duke offers an elite floor/ceiling combination for DFS contests tonight.
Evan Mobley ($8,200) — For those looking at buy-low options, Mobley fits the bill for USC. USC is a 7.5-point favorite over Stanford, giving them a 72.25 implied team total on the slate. Stanford plays solid defense but could again miss Oscar Da Silva in this contest. Mobley has a 17.4% shot rate, 21.2% rebound rate and 15.4% assist rate on the year. Even with his recent floor games, Mobley has recorded double-digit points in three straight. Always a threat to double-double, Mobley is significantly underpriced.
Collin Gillespie ($7,300) — Villanova is a 4-point favorite over Creighton in a game totaled at 147 points. Gillespie looks like a particular value with a $7,300 price tag, while Jeremiah Robinson-Earl is $8,500. Gillespie has the superior 19% usage rate on the year and continues to play close to every minute. He also has a 19.7% shot rate, 14% rebound rate and 25% assist rate in Villanova’s last three games. With Creighton also worse at 3-point defense, Gillespie’s 37% shooting can take advantage of this matchup.
Mid-Priced Tier
Dru Smith ($6,300) — Missouri is 4-point underdog to Florida in a game totaled at 141 points. Both teams play with an above-average pace and Smith is priced to play. He continues to average well above 30 minutes per game for Missouri. He also possesses a 16% usage rate, 17% shot rate and 34.9% assist rate. Florida plays solid defense, but Smith’s usage/minutes combination is too enticing to fade in this spot.
Denzel Mahoney ($6,300) — On the other side of the Villanova game, Creighton has a 71.5-point implied team total as a slight underdog. Previously priced at $8,000 this season, Mahoney’s price has fallen to $6,300. Mahoney averages 31.4 minutes per game with an 18.2% usage rate. He accounts for a 19% shot rate with modest peripheral involvement as well. Villanova plays slow, but they rank 165th in defensive efficiency. This creates a window for Mahoney to succeed in this matchup as a mid-priced play.
Dane Goodwin ($6,100) — Top five in implied team total, Notre Dame has a 2-point advantage over North Carolina State in a game totaled at 144.5 points. North Carolina State continues to struggle on defense after losing Devon Daniels and Thomas Allen for the season. Notre Dame’s rotation consists of seven players, but Prentiss Hubb ($8,100) and Goodwin play consistent roles. Goodwin has at least 30 minutes in three straight games, with a 14.4% usage rate. He accounts for 17.8% of Notre Dame’s shots and 16.1% of the rebounds in the Irish’s last three games. With North Carolina State ranking 208th in interior defense and 226th against 3-point shots, Notre Dame should find a variety of ways to score tonight.
Value Tier
Will Richardson ($4,900) — Playing with an increasingly tight rotation, Oregon is a 4-point favorite over UCLA in a game totaled at 134 points. Despite his sub-$5,000 pricing, Richardson has played at least 32 minutes in three straight games for Oregon. His 13.8% usage leaves a little to be desired. However, he still boasts a 12.8% shot rate and 27.8% assist rate in Oregon’s last three. Even with the modest shot rate, Richardson provides one of the safest sub-$5,000 options on the entire DFS slate.
A.J. Reeves ($4,700) — For those looking at cheap attachments to the Providence/St. John’s contest, Reeves continues to play nearly every minute. He has played at least 34 minutes in three straight games for Providence and has a 13.1% usage rate. Reeves accounts for 15.1% of the shots and 11.1% of the assists in Providence’s last three games. However, he is one of the few sub-$5,000 plays averaging elite minutes. Jared Bynum ($4,200) may also deserve consideration, as he continues to play more minutes after an early-season injury. Either way, Reeves provides consistent value on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Anthony Duruji ($4,400) — On the other side of the Missouri game, Florida has a modest 72.5-point implied team total. However, the Gators narrowed their rotation in their most recent game, providing potential value plays on the Wednesday slate. Particularly underpriced, Duruji played 33 minutes in Florida’s most recent game. He has an 11.4% usage rate on the year, but he accounts for a 15.6% shot rate, 18.9% rebound rate and 12.1% assist rate in Florida’s last three games. Missouri’s 143rd-ranked defense should also help Florida’s DFS scoring.
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