🎓 CBB DFS Breakdown: March Madness First Four Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel | $29.95 March Madness DFS Package Link

March Madness is finally here, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for the First Four play-in games, along with a pair of NIT games on DraftKings, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

[MARCHMADNESS]

CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | March Madness

Stud Tier

Aaron Henry ($8,700) — This is an interesting slate with the addition of two NIT games. Three of the four highest implied team totals actually come from NIT teams with questionable motivation. With that said, SMU’s Kendric Davis ($9,900) has the top projection, but paying for his volatility in the postseason looks especially risky. Instead, looking towards a stud like Michigan State’s Henry in a highly competitive game makes more sense. The Spartans have a 2.5-point advantage over UCLA in a game with a 135-point total. Henry continues to play nearly every minute for Michigan State, accounting for a 24.7% shot rate, 19.2% rebound rate, and 24.1% assist rate in their last three games. UCLA already ranks 192nd in defensive efficiency and they’ve struggled even more since the departure of Jalen Hill. In a solid game environment, Henry offers a solid pivot off the more volatile studs at the very top of pricing on FanDuel and DraftKings.

Michael Weathers ($8,200) — Unlike most slates featuring only Power Five schools, today’s play-in games highlight a number of mid-major schools with usage monsters. Texas Southern only has a 66-point team total as a 1-point underdog over Mount St. Mary’s in a game totaled at 133 points. However, Weathers has massive usage, with an 18.8% rate while playing at least 33 minutes in three straight games. In the Southwestern Conference Tournament, Weathers accounted for 23% of Texas Southern’s shots, 13% of the rebounds and 33.3% of their assists. Even with the low team total, his projection is solid. Weathers already averages 16.5 points per game and won’t be afraid to take the game into his own hands.

Damian Chong-Qui ($8,000) — On the other side of the Texas Southern game, Mount St. Mary’s also ranks in the bottom four team totals. However, they also have a high-usage player in Chong-Qui. Playing at least 40 minutes in each of Mount St. Mary’s last three games, Chong-Qui’s 19.8% usage rate looks even more impressive. Like Weathers, Chong-Qui put Mount St. Mary’s on his back in the Northeastern Conference Tournament. Chong-Qui accounted for 29.3% of the shots, 14.9% of the rebounds and 54.6% of the team’s assists during that span. While Chong-Qui’s team total leaves much to be desired, the narrow usage on Mount St. Mary’s makes him an expensive stud to target here.

[osBestBetsSingleGameOdds league=”ncaab” date=”03/18/2021″ team=”mountaineers”]

Mid-Priced Tier

Alterique Gilbert ($6,600) — Playing in the game with the best total among the play-ins, Wichita State is now a 2-point underdog after severe line movement in the other direction. Wichita State still has a few dangerous scorers. Gilbert and Tyson Etienne ($7,700) in particular could give Drake problems. From a DFS perspective, Gilbert is the superior price-adjusted play with his 18.8% usage rate. He has played at least 30 minutes in three straight games, contributing primarily with his enormous 28.3% usage rate. However, Gilbert has taken on an increased role as a shooter, with a 20.9% shot rate in Wichita State’s last three games. Against Cincinnati in the AAC semifinal, Gilbert tossed up 16 shots, giving him solid upside with similar usage here.

[osBestBetsSingleGameOdds league=”ncaab” date=”03/18/2021″ team=”bruins”]

Johnny Juzang ($5,600) — On the other side of the Michigan State contest, UCLA has a usable 66.25 team total with a narrow distribution of minutes. Juzang was injured during the Pac-12 tournament and now has had over a weak to recover ahead of tonight’s game. Juzang typically eclipses 30 minutes per game and leads the team with an 18.8% usage rate. Juzang also functions as this teams primary shooter, taking 17.3% of the shots on the season. Michigan State also ranks 200th in defensive efficiency, creating a solid game environment for mid-priced players with strong usage.

Joseph Yesufu ($5,200) — On the other side of the Wichita State game, Drake continues to gain steam with the return of ShanQuan Hemphill. While Hemphill coming back helps Drake overall, he is still expected to play limited minutes as he comes back from a stress fracture in his foot. Without Hemphill and Roman Penn for a portion of the season, Yesufu emerged as the best weapon. He is unlikely to see a role change and has played at least 39 minutes in three straight games, with an elite 20.8% usage rate. In just Drake’s last three games, Yesufu accounts for a 31.2% shot rate. He is also egregiously priced, so he deserves serious consideration across DFS formats today.

[osBestBetsSingleGameOdds league=”ncaab” date=”03/18/2021″ team=”bulldogs”]

Value Tier

Joshua Langford ($5,000) — For those looking at cheaper attachments to Michigan State, Langford saw his price fall after battling fouls in Michigan State’s second-most recent game. He played over 330 minutes in their most recent contest, but he went 1-for-8 shooting. On the year, Langford provides a solid 15.9% usage rate while contributing across statistical categories. Rocket Watts ($4,600) also deserves consideration in this range with a strong 19.4% usage rate. However, Watts brings added volatility with his minutes. Either way, both Watts and Langford provide strong value CBB DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Michigan State today.

Kashaun Hicks ($4,900) — A middling contest for DFS, Norfolk State is a 3.5-point underdog to Appalachian State in a game totaled at 133 points. While neither team provides elite DFS upside, both have value due to a narrow distribution of minutes. On Norfolk State specifically, Hicks continues to start and play elite minutes in competitive games. In Norfolk State’s 8-point win to take down the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference, Hicks played 34 minutes, scored 14 points and pulled down 7 boards. Norfolk State hasn’t played in many competitive games of late, so the condensed rotation provides enough security to take a stab on Hicks as a value play here.

Emmanuel Akot ($4,800) — Mentioned above, the addition of two NIT adds an extra wrinkle of volatility. Boise State is already playing with questionable motivation and just lost stud big man Abu Kigab to rotator cuff surgery. Even with nothing to play for, they have the highest implied team total on the slate. Akot is expected to play a larger role moving forward and played 36 and 32 minutes following the injury to Kigab. He has a strong 16.2% usage rate, giving him an awesome price-adjusted projection on DraftKings. Still, Akot may play limited minutes if Boise State decides to give the bench extended run. The Boise State players look like pure GPP plays today on FanDuel and DraftKings.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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