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πŸŽ“ CBB DFS Breakdown: Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel | 2/22/21

Matt Gajewski



Matt Gajewski breaks down the best CBB DFS picks for DraftKings & FanDuel college basketball lineups on Monday, February 22 | Duke

College basketball season is finally upon us, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for Feb. 22, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | Feb. 22

Studs Tier

Matthew Hurt ($7,900) — While Evan Mobley ($9,800) has the top projection on the slate, his exorbitant price tag hinders the rest of lineups. With a number of mid-priced studs, taking the discount with Hurt could provide a more balanced roster. Jalen Johnson opting out of the remainder of the season, so Hurt played 38 minutes in Duke’s most recent game. Hurt scored 22 points and now has a 20% shot rate in Duke’s last three games. On the year, Hurt also has a 17.7% rebound rate and 8.2% assist rate. Duke enters the slate as a 5.5-point favorite over Syracuse in a game totaled at 151.5 points. This gives Duke the highest implied team total, putting Hurt squarely in play on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Chris Duarte ($7,600) — A less attractive DFS game overall, Oregon enters the slate as a 3.5-point underdog to USC in a game totaled at 138 points. Recently returning from injury, Duarte has played at least 34 minutes in three straight games for Oregon. In that span, he accounts for 24.4% of the team’s shots, 20% of the rebounds and 29.6% of the assists. Duarte also shoots a team-best 42% from 3. USC’s defense ranks 22nd overall, but they rank 76th in 3-point defense. With secure minutes and the matchup working in his favor, Duarte looks like a contrarian stud worth considering on tonight’s slate.

Quincy Guerrier ($7,500) — On the other side of the Duke game, Syracuse still has the second-highest implied team total as a 5.5-point underdog. With Alan Griffin ($7,300) recently dropping to 24 minutes, Guerrier looks like the preferred stud to target. Guerrier draws a Duke team that ranks 215th in defensive efficiency. Guerrier has played at least 35 minutes in three straight games. He also has a 17.1% shot rate and 31.6% rebound rate in Syracuse’s last three games. Playing in one of the tightest rotations in the country, Guerrier is a stud worth targeting.

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Mid-Priced Tier

Mac McClung ($6,900) — Falling in price, McClung eclipsed $8,000 in a few recent games. However, after two performances below 30 DraftKings points, McClung looks like a buy low. McClung leads Texas Tech with a 20.4% usage rate, including 28.6% of the team’s shots, 14.6% of the rebounds and 22.7% of the assist in their last three games. McClung has played at least 32 minutes in each of Texas Tech’s last three games. While Oklahoma State presents a difficult matchup, McClung’s upside as a shooter deserves consideration in the mid-priced range.

Buddy Boeheim ($6,500) — While Griffin and Guerrier have the highest price tags on Syracuse, Boeheim actually possesses a team-leading 19.3% usage rate. In Syracuse’s most recent game, Boeheim exploded for 29 points in 36 minutes. Boeheim has played at least 35 minutes in three straight games for Syracuse. He has a 23.3% shot rate and 18.9% assist rate in that span. With Duke also ranking 317th in 3-point defense, Boeheim is underpriced in the Orange offense.

Will Richardson ($5,100) — Another potential option on Oregon, Richardson’s price is attractive despite playing at least 31 minutes in three straight games for Oregon. In that span, Richardson has a 17.5% shot rate, 11.8% rebound rate and 25.9% assist rate in Oregon’s offense. With one of the tighter rotations in the Pac-12, Oregon starters continue to provide value in a sub-optimal game environment.

Value Tier

Jeremy Roach ($4,900) — For those looking at value plays, a few Duke players are underpriced with Johnson out of the picture. Roach is interesting as starter, playing at least 28 minutes in three straight games. Roach has a 13% usage rate this season, but these rates continue to rise. He has accounts for 12% of the shots, 10.7% of the rebounds and 11.4% of the assist in Duke’s last three. While he may not have the highest ceiling, Roach provides consistent value below the $5,000 mark.

Terrence Shannon ($4,700) – Risky even for a three-game slate, Shannon’s price has fallen all the way to $4,700 on DraftKings. Shannon has played limited minutes of late as he battles an ankle injury. Nothing suggests Shannon will miss the game, making him a potential value as he gets closer to full health. On the year, Shannon has a 17% usage rate, including 15% of the shots and 12.8% of the rebounds. Shannon typically comes off the bench and averages 25.4 minutes per game. At this price, Shannon is a strong value if healthy.

Jaemyn Brakefield ($4,700) — Brakefield also looks like another potential value play on Duke. Brakefield brings more risk coming off the bench. However, Mark Williams ($4,900) only played 7 minutes in Duke’s most recent game. Meanwhile, Brakefield played 29, scoring 11 points and securing 5 boards. Duke has rotated their forwards quite a bit this season. If Duke starts Brakefield, he becomes a preferred punt. If he comes off the bench, he is in play as a value in GPPs.

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Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.