🎓 College Basketball DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | 2/9

College basketball season is finally upon us, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for DFS grinders. Examining the slate for Feb. 9, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | Feb. 9

Studs Tier

Quincy Guerrier ($7,800) — While Bo Hodges ($8,800) has the top projection on the slate, he is more fragile than most. Hodges has played in just three games for Butler, and his team ranks bottom five in implied team total. Hodges also has better rates now than in his previous role at ETSU, making him incredibly fragile. In his place, players with secure roles like Guerrier look like safer options. Guerrier has played at least 34 minutes in three straight games for Syracuse and draws a solid matchup here. North Carolina State ranks 247th in interior defense, which matches up nicely against Guerrier’s 20.9% shot rate and 30.7% rebound rate. Playing a safer role than Hodges, saving some salary with Guerrier makes sense here.

Kevin McCullar ($7,400) — While this game environment doesn’t top the slate, West Virginia and Texas Tech played each other to an 88-87 score earlier this year. McCullar has played 32 minutes in each of Texas Tech’s last three games. He has accounted for a 17.1% shot rate, 19.2% rebound rate and 25.7% assist rate. West Virginia has allowed at least 72 points in each of their last four games after starting the year out hot. With double digits in two of his last three games, McCullar makes sense as a contrarian pivot off the other studs at the top of the slate.

John Petty ($7,000) — With the highest implied team total on the slate, Alabama is a 6.5-point favorite over South Carolina. This game has a 155.5 total, and both teams play with an above-average pace. South Carolina ranks 184th in defensive efficiency as well, setting up Petty for a solid performance. Petty has already played 32 minutes in three straight games for Alabama with a 15.3% shot rate, 15.8% rebound rate and 21.2% assist rate in Alabama’s offense. Herbert Jones may also miss this game, leading to elevated usage for Petty. In this game environment, Petty is significantly underpriced.

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Mid-Priced Tier

Denzel Mahoney ($6,500) — After scoring just 5 points in Creighton’s weekend game against Marquette, Mahoney saw his price drop to $6,500 ahead of today’s draw against Georgetown. Even in his disappointing performance, Mahoney still played 32 minutes for Creighton. On the year he has a 17.9% usage rate and has taken 19.2% of the shots. Before his 5-point performance in Creighton’s last game, Mahoney easily reached double-digit points in his two prior contests. Georgetown ranks 229th in defensive efficiency, and Creighton has the second-highest implied team total on the slate (79). Coming in as a buy-low, Mahoney is a preferred play.

Jermaine Couisnard ($6,000) — On the other side of the Alabama game, South Carolina continues to see line movement in their favor. As it stands, South Carolina has the fourth-highest implied team total on this slate. Prior to last game’s 16-point blowout, Couisnard played at least 32 minutes in South Carolina’s last two games. On the year Couisnard paces the team with a 20.7% usage rate. This features a 20.1% shot rate and 27.6% assist rate in the offense. Couisnard hasn’t scored more than 22.5 DraftKings points in three straight games for South Carolina. However, his usage and matchup point to him as a significant buy-low in this spot.

Justin Smith ($5,500) — Despite dealing with an injury last week, Smith has been called probable ahead of this game. Outside of Moses Moody ($6,800), Smith has played the most consistent role for this Arkansas team of late. Smith has played at least 30 minutes in three straight games, with an increasing usage rate. Smith has accounted for 16% of the team’s shots, 23% of the rebounds and 18.4% of the assists in Arkansas’ last three games. While he draws a tough matchup against a strong interior defense for Kentucky, Smith’s usage keeps him in play for tonight’s main slate.

Value Tier

Joey Hauser ($4,800) — Another strong buy-low target, Hauser played just 14 minutes in Michigan State’s last game after fouling out. Hauser typically plays 25 to 30 minutes and now saw his price fall for $4,800. Prior to his most recent game, Hauser recorded double-digit points in his two previous outings. Hauser also draws a Penn State defense that ranks 321st in interior defense. Already holding a 15% usage rate this season, Hauser makes sense as a buy-low in a strong matchup against Penn State here.

Emmitt Matthews Jr. ($4,400) — Despite playing for a West Virginia team with the lowest implied team total on the slate, Matthews looks like a potential value play after re-entering the starting lineup. Matthews hit the bench for a stretch of time after starting most of the season. In his return to the starting lineup, Matthews played 37 minutes, scored 10 points and secured 5 rebounds. Matthews only has a 12.1% usage rate on the season, but his elevated minute totals make up the difference.

Joshua Primo ($4,100) — With Jones potentially missing this game, Primo looks like a primary beneficiary. Primo already starts for this Alabama team and has played at least 24 minutes in each of Alabama’s last three games. Primo only has a 10.6% usage rate in Alabama’s offense, but he has a number of 30-DraftKings-point games on his profile already this season. With Jones potentially ceding 14.8% of the team’s usage, Primo looks like a punt play worth targeting on the highest implied team of the slate.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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