🎓 CBB DFS Breakdown: DraftKings & FanDuel Picks | 3/8/21

College basketball season is in full swing, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for March 8, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | March 8

Stud Tier

Jalen Moore ($9,500) — With a number of viable studs in play, taking a stars-and-scrubs approach looks like a strong way to attack today’s DFS slate. Oakland currently is a 1.5-point underdog against Northern Kentucky in a game totaled at 148 points. Northern Kentucky ranks 273rd in defensive efficiency, creating a strong game environment for Oakland. After playing two straight overtime games, Moore has now played at least 39 minutes in three straight games. He has a 23.5% usage rate, 22.7% shot rate, 14.8% rebound rate and 68.6% assist rate in Oaklands last three games. While Daniel Oladapo ($8,200) provides a slightly cheaper attachment to the offense, Moore’s elite rates cannot be discounted.

Colbey Ross ($9,200) — Another potential stud worth looking at, Ross continues to dominate scoring for an uptempo Pepperdine team. Pepperdine is a 9-point underdog to BYU in a game totaled at 148.5 points. Ross has an elite 20.4% usage rate and has played at least 38 minutes in each of Pepperdine’s last three games. In that span, Ross accounts for a 26.1% shot rate, 9.6% rebound rate, and 66.7% assist rate in Pepperdine’s offense. BYU plays solid defense overall, but Ross provides a large enough minute/usage combination to target in GPP on DraftKings.

Jalen Suggs ($7,900) — Easily the top team on the slate, Gonzaga is an 18-point favorite over Saint Mary’s in a game totaled at 143.5 points. While the Gonzaga studs run the risk of limited minutes in a blowout, Corey Kispert ($8,700), Drew Timme ($8,900) and Suggs all deserve consideration. As the cheapest option, Suggs makes the most sense with his 19.5% usage rate. Suggs has taken 16.9% of Gonzaga’s shots, 20% of the rebounds and 33.3% of the assists in their last three games. Capable of scoring from all over the court, Suggs likely draws elevated ownership today on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Mid-Priced Tier

Kane Williams ($5,800) — Georgia State is a 7-point favorite over Appalachian State in a game totaled at 135.5 points. While this total leaves a little to be desired, Georgia State’s recent condensed rotation deserves consideration here. In particular, Williams played 30 minutes in two of Georgia State’s last three games. He has a 20.2% usage rate, which makes him a strong price-adjusted play when playing 30 minutes. In their last three games, Williams accounts for 16.1% of the shots and 23.5% of the assists. A strong buy-low, Williams shot 1-for-8 and 4-for-15 in Georgia State’s last two games.

Adrian Nelson ($5,600) — On the other side of the Oakland matchup, Northern Kentucky has the third-highest implied team total on the slate. Oakland ranks 335 in defensive efficiency, putting all of the Northern Kentucky studs in play. Trevon Faulkner ($7,100), Marques Warrick ($6,400), Bryson Langdon ($6,600) and Nelson have all played at least 31 minutes in each of Northern Kentucky’s last three games. Nelson provides the most value despite a mere 8.3% usage rate. Nelson’s shot rate has recently increased to 9.1% and his rebound rate jumped to 32.7%. While the other three studs provide a better raw projection, this slate is short on value. For those that can’t find their way to an expensive Northern Kentucky piece, Nelson plays a consistent role at a discounted price.

Ross Cummings ($5,400) — After playing in a pair of blowouts, Mercer finally condensed their rotation in their most recent game. Cunning played 32 minutes and has now eclipsed the 30 minute mark in two of Mercer’s last three games. Cummings possesses a 15.1% usage rate this year and now accounts for a 13.3% shot rate, 18.3% rebound rate and 11.9% assist rate in Mercer’s last three games. Mercer is a 5-point underdog to UNC-Greensboro, but both teams play with an above-average pace. Mercer’s recent distribution of minutes give Cummings confidence as a mid-priced play today on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Value Tier

Caleb Lohner ($5,000) — Without many secure value plays on the slate, Lohner looks like the safest path to minutes among the value plays. BYU ranks second on the slate with a 78.75-point implied team total and a solid matchup against Pepperdine’s 251st-ranked defense. Unlike most of BYU’s starters, Lohner has played at least 31 minutes in three straight games. Lohner has a 10.5% usage rate, but his involvement continues to increase. In BYU’s last three, Lohner accounts for 13% of the shots, 22.8% of the rebounds and 9.6% of the assists. Without many other value options, Lohner could be a popular CBB DFS pick tonight.

Kyle Bowen ($3,800) — While Tommy Kuhse ($6,300) and the rest of Saint Mary’s starters have depressed price tags, the Gaels have the lowest implied team total. Cheapest of all, Bowen’s price keeps him in consideration as a value play. Bowen possesses a horrific 6.9% usage rate on the season. In Saint Mary’s most recent game, his minutes jumped to 32. He also accounts for 12.1% rebound rate in their last three. While he doesn’t possess much of a ceiling, Bowen’s minute security provides an access point to some of the slate’s studs.

R.J. Duhart ($3,600) — Despite a 64.25 implied team total, Appalachian State provides a potential value play in Duhart at $3.6k. With James Lewis Jr. missing time, Duhart played 32 and 40 minutes in Appalachian State’s last two games. Duhart hasn’t shown huge upside, but he took 7 shots and recorded 5 boards in Appalachian State’s most recent game. If starting again, Duhart provides another path to potential studs on today’s slate. With Appalachian State playing in an early tip, this news should be available before the slate locks.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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