College basketball season is in full swing, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for March 13, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | March 13
Stud Tier
Herb Jones ($8,000) – In Alabama’s dismantling of Mississippi State yesterday, most starters barely reached 20 minutes. With a more competitive affair on deck, the entire Alabama team comes in underpriced. Specifically, Jones continues to provide immense value with the highest projection on the early slate. Alabama sits as a five-point favorite over Tennessee in a game totaled at 139 points. Jones played 30 minutes in back-to-back games before the blowout and holds a 15.4% usage rate on the year. With a 20.8% rebound rate and 36.2% assist rate in Alabama’s last three, Jones deserves elevated ownership today on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Keith Williams ($7,300) – An interesting addition to the early slate, Wichita State remains four-point favorites over Cincinnati. Despite its struggles on offense, Cincinnati runs a tight rotation. Their main stud Williams enters the slate with a depressed price and team-leading 22% usage rate. Williams accounts for a 20.5% shot rate, 12.9% rebound rate and 23.1% assist rate in Cincinnati’s last three games. With Wichita State slightly weaker on the interior, Williams should take advantage of this matchup.
Ayo Dosunmu ($8,500) – Egregiously priced after a slaughtering of Rutgers yesterday, Dosunmu provides the top price-adjusted stud on any slate today. While Luka Garza ($10,000) has the superior projection, Dosunmu saves $1.5k on DraftKings. Illinois holds an 80.5-point implied team total as four-point favorites over Iowa in a game totaled at 157 points. Dosunmu’s absurd 22.9% usage rate includes 23.7% of the shots, 13.6% of the rebounds, and 28.9% of the assists on the season. Iowa ranks 159th in defensive efficiency, setting up Dosunmu for another smash performance.
Moses Moody ($7,100) – Arkansas currently sits as a 3.5-point favorite over LSU in a game with a 162.5-point total. Sitting with the highest team total, most of Arkansas’ studs look underpriced. After an underwhelming performance yesterday, Moody remains a buy-low option. Moody has played at least 34 minutes in three straight games for Arkansas. He holds a 17% usage rate, which features a 19.7% shot rate and 20.8% rebound rate in Arkansas’ last three games. LSU ranks 223rd in defensive efficiency, giving Moody and the rest of the Razorbacks a solid game environment here.
Moses Wright ($8,500) – Priced down after getting into foul trouble in Georgia Tech’s last game, Wright looks like an interesting stud option to target tonight. Georgia Tech sits as 4.5-point underdogs to Florida State in a game totaled at 146.5-points. Prior to the foul trouble, Wright easily eclipsed 30 minutes in all of his most recent games. In Georgia Tech’s last three, he accounts for a 23.6% shot rate, 27.6% rebound rate, and 20% assist rate in Georgia Tech’s offense. Even with a tough matchup, Wright is in play here.
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Mid-Priced Tier
Josiah-Jordan James ($6,200) – On the other side of the Alabama game, Tennessee holds the lowest implied team total on the early slate. However, with John Fulkerson expected to miss this game, Tennessee’s rotation narrows to a usable range here. With Fulkerson leaving early yesterday, James saw his minutes spike to 30. James has also shown increased involvement of late with a 24% rebound rate and 16.7% assist rate in Tennessee’s last three. With Fulkerson leaving consistent usage up for grabs, James looks like a beneficiary.
Morris Udeze ($6,100) – On top of having little value, the early slate looks weak at the forward position. Perhaps the best price-adjusted play on the smaller slate, Udeze fills the forward position. Udeze played 35 minutes for Wichita State yesterday and likely exceeds 30 again in a competitive affair. Udeze now holds a 13.2% shot rate and 29.2% rebound rate in Wichita State’s last three games. Middling in price, Udeze provides one of the few viable options at the forward position this morning.
Javonte Smart ($6,400) – LSU currently holds a 79.5-point implied team total as 3.5-point underdogs to Arkansas in a game totaled at 162.5 points. Egregiously priced, Smart has played at least 35 minutes in three straight games for LSU. Smart accounts for a 19.5% shot rate, 9.2% rebound rate, and 22.2% assist rate in LSU’s last three games. Arkansas plays solid defense overall, but both teams play with an above average pace. This should create an ample scoring environment for multiple studs in this contest, including Smart.
Justin Gorham ($6,000) – Easily the least enticing spot on the afternoon slate, Houston remains 7.5-point favorites over Memphis in a game with a 132.5-point total. Despite the lacking game environment, Houston runs a tight rotation in competitive games. Gorham looks like a potential target after played 33 and 36 minutes in back-to-back games for Houston. Gorham now accounts for a 12.6% shot rate, and 21.4% rebound rate in Houston’s last three games. While Gorham looks like a better option in GPPs, he remains a pivot away from the other chalky games.
Andrew Jones ($6,800) – While Texas rotates the guard position, Jones, Mate Coleman ($6,200) and Courtney Ramey ($6,400) remain locked into 30+ minute roles. Of the three, Jones holds the highest usage rate at 17.9%. Jones has played at least 29 minutes in three straight games. He now accounts for a 15.9% shot rate and 21.4% assist rate in that span. With Texas favored by 2.5-point against an up-tempo Oklahoma State team, taking a stab at one of the mid-priced guards makes sense here.
Value Tier
Santiago Vescovi ($4,800) – Similar to James, Vescovi also looks like a potential beneficiary here. The early slate provides little value outside of Vescovi. He already approached 30 minutes per game with Fulkerson in the lineup. Primarily a peripheral player, Vescovi has a 11.7% shot rate, 10.4% rebound rate and 20.9% assist rate on the year. Similar to James above, Vescovi should find extra minutes and usage, despite a tough matchup against Alabama here.
Chaundee Brown ($3,900) – A situation entirely dependent on injury, Brown may see elevated minutes today. Rumors continue to swirl of an Isaiah Livers absence. Yesterday, Brown played 28 minutes to Livers’ 15. If Livers does indeed sit, Brown immediately becomes the best value play on any of the three DFS slates. He holds a 13.6% usage rate this year.
Connor McCaffery ($4,700) – On the other side of the Illinois game, Iowa condensed their rotation in a heated battle with Wisconsin yesterday. While seldom involved, McCaffery provides a cheap attachment to an Iowa team with a 76.5-point implied team total. On the year, McCaffery holds an 11.8% usage rate, but this includes a 20% assist rate. While McCaffery doesn’t provide an immense ceiling, the afternoon slate also lacks value. Taking the consistent minutes with McCaffery looks like a sharp move here.
Mardrez McBride ($4,200) – Easily the worst game environment on the slate, North Texas sits as one-point favorites over Western Kentucky in a game with a 124 total. While neither team presents many viable options, McBride looks interesting because of a $4.2k price tag. McBride has played at least 30 minutes in three straight games and brings a useable 12.2% usage rate. McBride doesn’t possess much of a ceiling, but the value tier looks desolate on tonight’s slate.
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