College basketball season is finally upon us, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for Feb. 20, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
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Studs Tier
Ayo Dosunmu ($9,200) – The premier stud on the main slate, Dosunmu brings the top projection on the entire slate. Illinois sits with the third-highest implied team total as 5.5-point favorites over Minnesota in a game totaled at 148.5. Dosunmu holds a 22.8% usage rate, including a 27.3% shot rate, 15% rebound rate and 30.8% assist rate. Minnesota ranks 163th in defensive efficiency, setting up Dosunmu for another elite performance in his every-minute role.
Quincy Guerrier ($7,900) – Sitting with the fourth-highest implied team total on the slate, Syracuse remains 2.5-point home favorites over a Notre Dame team in a game totaled at 149.5 points. Notre Dame ranks 294th in defensive efficiency and Syracuse plays a narrow rotation. While Alan Griffin ($8,300) and Buddy Boeheim ($5,700) are also solid plays, Guerrier looks like a solid buy-low. Guerrier holds a 15.9% usage rate on the year. He has played at least 34 minutes in three straight games and accounted for 17.2% of the shots and 27.2% of the rebounds in that span. Ultimately, all three Syracuse studs should be considered, but Guerrier offers solid usage at his price.
Prentiss Hubb ($7,300) – On the other side of the Syracuse game, Notre Dame holds a sizable 73.5-point implied team total. Syracuse plays better defense, but Notre Dame also runs a tight distribution of minutes. Hubb leads the team with an 18.7% usage rate and plays almost every minute for the Irish. Hubb has a 22.3% shot rate, 13% rebound rate and 44.2% assist rate in Notre Dame’s last three games. Playing in an up-tempo spot against the Orange, Hubb holds elite upside in this matchup.
Mid-Priced Tier
Keyshawn Bryant ($6,800) – Another matchup featuring elite pace, South Carolina enters the slate 3.5-point underdogs to Missouri in a game totaled at 151.5 points. South Carolina will play this game without Jermaine Couisnard and potentially Justin Minaya, who continues to deal with a head injury. In South Carolina’s most recent game, Bryant played 34 minutes and now accounts for 15% of the shots, 20.5% of the rebounds and 14% of the team’s assist in its last three games. Struggling of late, Missouri’s defense has slipped for 149th in defensive efficiency. Even as underdogs, Bryant remains playable in an emerging role within the offense.
Savhir Wheeler ($6,700) – Perhaps the top game environment on the slate, Georgia remains eight-point underdogs to Florida in a game totaled at 155 points. Wheeler functions as Georgia’s top scorer and leads the team with an 18.8% usage rate. Florida ranks 117th in defensive efficiency, but has struggled at times to defend guards. Wheeler plays almost every minute and leads the team with a 20.4% shot rate and 46.8% assist rate. Perhaps $1k too cheap, Wheeler looks like a mid-priced option worth considering.
Greg Brown ($6,600) – Top-5 in implied team total, Texas remains 3.5-point home favorites over West Virginia in a game totaled at 147 points. The Longhorns hold sizable advantages in this spot. West Virginia ranks 193rd in interior defense, and Texas holds one of the strongest front courts in college basketball. Brown, a freshman, has recently secured a consistent role for Texas. He played 30 minutes in their last game and holds a 14.9% usage rate. He now accounts for a 12.8% shot rate, 20.5% rebound rate and 7.5% assist rate in Texas’ last three games. While still volatile, Brown holds elite upside in this matchup.
Value Tier
Emmitt Matthews Jr. ($4,100) – On the other side of the Texas game, West Virginia looks intriguing with a few value plays. Jalen Bridges ($4,500) also holds an affordable price, but Matthews saves another $400. Matthews has played at least 31 minutes in three straight games with an increasing usage rate. Matthews has accounted for a 14.7% shot rate, 12.9% rebound rate and 15.4% assist rate in West Virginia’s last three games.
Tre’ Williams ($3,800) – On the other side of the Illinois game, Minnesota holds a respectable 71.5 implied team total as 5.5-point underdogs over Illinois. Minnesota holds significant home/road splits, but they return home for this contest. In their last game, Gabe Kalscheur suffered an injury opening minutes for a rotational player. Williams started in Minnesota’s last game and played 34 minutes. He scored 11 points and added solid peripheral involvement. On the year, he has a 13.8% usage rate and provides immense value in this spot.
Anthony Duruji ($3,700) – On the other side of the Georgia game, Florida leads the slate with an 81.5-point implied team total. While Florida continues to mix up their rotation, Duruji started and played 27 minutes in the Gator’s most recent game. Duruji only scored seven points and secured four boards, but he holds a dirt-cheap price tag. Georgia ranks 283rd in interior defense, setting up a solid matchup for Duruji as well.
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