🎓 College Basketball DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | 2/19

College basketball season is finally upon us, and DraftKings and FanDuel continue to provide sizable contests for CBB DFS grinders. Examining the slate for Feb. 19, a number of core plays stand out. In this piece I’ll be locating top plays from each college basketball matchup and determining the top CBB DFS picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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CBB DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Core Plays | Feb. 19

Studs Tier

Marreon Jackson ($9,400) — Looking at the studs on the slate, the Toledo – Buffalo game must be prioritized. Toledo is a 2-point underdog in a game totaled at 160 points. Despite coming in as the slight underdog, Toledo still has the second-highest implied team total by 7.5 points. Playing nearly every minute for Toledo, Jackson has an absurd 22.2% usage rate for this team. In Toledo’s last three games, Jackson has accounted for 19.6% of the team’s shots, 29.3% of the rebounds and 50% of the assists. With Buffalo on deck, Toledo likely will ask Jackson to run the show here.

Neemias Queta ($8,200) — Utah State is a 1.5-point underdog to Boise State in a game totaled at 140 points. When these teams played earlier this season Utah State won 70-61, but now Boise State draws the home court. On the Utah State side, Queta looks like a stud worth paying up for. Queta has a 17% usage rate, which consists of a 26% shot rate and 22.1% rebound rate in Utah State’s last three games. Queta has double-digit points in each of his last three games, including 32 points and 10 rebounds in his most recent contest. Boise State ranks 138th in interior defense, setting up Queta for another nice matchup here.

Jeenathan Williams ($7,000) — On the other side of the Toledo matchup, Buffalo leads the slate with an 81-point implied total. Buffalo runs a tight core consisting of Williams, Jayvon Graves ($7,500), Ronaldo Segu ($6,800) and Josh Mballa ($8,500). While each player deserves consideration, Williams looks like the top price-adjusted option here. Williams leads the team with a 22.1% usage rate and plays at least 30 minutes in competitive games. He has a 22.9% shot rate, 17.1% rebound rate, and 17.6% assist rate. In a projected close game here, Williams likely sees a full allotment of minutes. With the total so much higher than any other, taking at least two Buffalo studs makes sense here.

Mid-Priced Tier

Javonte Perkins ($6,700) — Coming in with the third-highest implied team total, Saint Louis is a 5.5-point favorite over Dayton in a game totaled at 137.5 points. Saint Louis runs a tight rotation primarily consisting of Perkins and Jordan Goodwin ($9,200). Goodwin is extremely expensive and has an inferior usage rate to Perkins. on the year, Perkins has a 22.5% usage rate to Goodwin’s 19.5%. Saint Louis has blown out each of their last opponents by 20-plus points, but prior to the blowouts, Perkins easily reached 36 minutes three games ago. On the year, Perkins has a 22% shot rate, 8.6% rebound rate and 11.1% assist rate. For those taking a contrarian approach, Goodwin is in play as a stud. Hasahn French ($5,900) often fouls his way out of minutes, but he also makes sense as a mid-priced option.

Quan Jackson ($6,100) — Facing off against Old Dominion as a 7.5-point favorite, UAB brings some DFS intrigue with a tight minute distribution. In particular, Jackson stands out with his 15.1% usage rate. Two of UAB’s last three games featured margin of victories north of 10. Jackson played just 22 and 20 minutes in those contests. However, in UAB’s most recent game, Jackson reached 35 minutes in a 5-point loss. From a statistical perspective, Jackson accounts for 11.7% of the team’s shots, 12.8% of the teams rebounds and 11.4% of the assists. Old Dominion ranks 209th in defensive efficiency, creating a positive DFS environment.

Ryan Rollins ($5,500) — For those looking at more affordable options on Toledo, Rollins provides a cheaper path to minutes for this team. Rollins has the second-highest usage rate on the team (16.9%) and has played at least 28 minutes in three straight games for Toledo. Involved in every facet of the game, Rollins has a 18.1% shot rate, 14.7% rebound rate and 15% assist rate on the year. Rollins has battled foul trouble at times this year, including Toledo’s most recent game. However, his cheap minutes and solid usage warrant consideration in the mid-priced tier.

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Value Tier

Mustapha Amzil ($4,900) — Another team with a narrow rotation, Dayton is in play for DFS despite entering the slate as 5.5-point underdogs to Saint Louis. Amzil has played 31, 27, and 42 minutes for Dayton in each of their games. Amzil has a mere 11.5 usage rate on the season, but his involvement in the offense continues to rise. In Dayton’s last three games, Amzil has accounted for 13.9% of the team’s shots, 15.5% of the rebounds, and 8.5% of the assists. While technically priced below $5,000, Jordy Tshimanga ($5,100) is only $200 more than Amzil. Tshimanga has a 10.2% shot rate, 31.1% rebound rate and 4.3% assist rate in Dayton’s last three games. Both can be considered, along with Jalen Crutcher ($7,700) and Ibi Watson ($7,100) as contrarian options in a tight rotation.

Joe Reece ($4,700) — On the other side of the UAB game, Old Dominion has some intrigue despite having the worst implied team total on the slate. Now sporting a fully healthy lineup, A.J. Oliver II ($4,500) and Reece look like particular value plays. Both have 12.5% usage rates, but Reece has emerged as a player with consistent rates. He has an 11.8% shot rate, 17.5% rebound rate and 13% assist rates in Old Dominion’s last three games. Reece also showed elite minutes upside, playing 36 minutes two games ago. Most of Old Dominion’s other recent games ended with a margin of victory/defeat in excess of 10.

Laquill Hardnett ($4,000) — For those looking at pure punt options on Buffalo, Hardnett provides a potential target. Hardnett starts for this Buffalo team, but he has played just 18, 13 and 33 minutes in Buffalo’s last three games. In his limited contests, Buffalo’s margins of victory were 32 and 24. Additionally, Hardnett fouled out in just 18 minutes in Buffalo’s last game. He still accounts for 12.7% of the team’s rebounds in their last three games despite the limited minutes. He also takes advantage of a Toledo defense that ranks 227th in interior defense. For those looking at fliers, Hardnett provides immense upside in this Buffalo offense.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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