Welcome back to another night of CBB DFS fun! This Thursday slate has six or nine games on tonight’s slate, depending on what site you’re playing on. We also have a few games tonight with high over/unders, so there will be plenty of offense to play with. If you have any questions, please feel free to reach out @VarneyDFS. Without further ado, let’s get into some CBB DFS picks from Jarron Cumberland to Luka Garza.
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Games and Lines
Iowa at Indiana (-1) – 149
Memphis at Cincinnati (-6) – 139.5
Colorado at Oregon (-5) – 139
Washington at USC (-3.5) – 137
Arizona State at Stanford (-2.5) – 137.5 (DraftKings Only)
Washington State at UCLA (-8) – 137 (DraftKings Only)
Utah at Oregon State (-5) – 135
Wichita State (-3) at Central Florida – 132
Arizona (-9) at California – 131 (DraftKings Only)
FanDuel and DraftKings CBB DFS Targets
CBB DFS Guards
Jarron Cumberland – Cincinnati – FanDuel $7,300 DraftKings $8,000
Memphis is a good defensive team, but it’s outweighed by them playing extremely fast, 27th fastest in the country to be exact. Cumberland has taken over as a monster of late for the Bearcats and his price is yet to completely rise on either site. The new and improved superstar has been over 33 DraftKings points in six straight games and he’s locked into at least 33 minutes a night. This game is going to be extremely fast-paced and Cumberland is my favorite pay-up guard on the slate. He won’t come in over 20% owned and I would much rather play him than Tyler Bey oFanDuel r Payton Pritchard, especially with the discount considered.
Chris Duarte – Oregon – FanDuel $6,600 DraftKings $7,700
You can pay up for Pritchard and lock in 35 fantasy points, but you’re going to be hindering yourself on a slate without a ton of value. Duarte plays a huge role next to Pritchard for the Ducks and he has a similar ceiling as the superstar. Duarte dropped nearly 60 fantasy points in back-to-back games just last week and is consistently around 30 fantasy points. Colorado likes to play fast and Bey is their top defender. He’ll certainly be on Pritchard, which will leave Duarte and McKinley Wright to face off. I’ll take Duarte to finish around 40 fantasy points with the upside for many more. His price is fair on both sites and I’d much rather get the discount on Duarte with the Buffaloes paying more attention to Pritchard.
C.J. Frederick – Iowa – FanDuel $4,900 DraftKings $5,500
This Iowa-Indiana game holds the highest total on the board at 149, but neither team is very fruitful at the guard position. We’ll touch on a couple forwards from this game, but it admittedly feela like reaching at guard here. Frederick is the top Hawkeyes option and the only guard I’m considering in cash games. His price is in the gutter on both sites and he plays 35 minutes in almost every game. The Hoosiers like to pick up the pace and Frederick is going to be needed to keep up. He has the upside to get hot and go for 30-plus fantasy points and I don’t see much of a floor in the highest total game of the evening. Connor McCaffrey and Joe Toussaint are excellent GPP options, but tough to consider elsewhere.
Dexter Dennis – Wichita State – FanDuel $4,400 DraftKings $5,500
It’s been a weird season for Wichita State, and this guard spot is a good example of it. Erik Stevenson opened the season as the Shockers’ best scorer and play maker, but has since fallen cold and been taken over by Dennis. Dennis, the six-foot-five, ridiculously talented sophomore has now played 30 minutes in three of his last four and hasn’t been below 27 since Jan. 18. The Shockers have discovered a gem in Dennis and his price has yet to rise on either site. You can play him in all formats as my favorite value guard on the entire slate. You can also likely get him for under 15% owned.
Consider – Devonte Green (Indiana, Lester Quinones (Memphis), Remy Martin (Arizona State), Payton Pritchard (Oregon)
CBB DFS Forwards
Luka Garza – Iowa – FanDuel $8,700 DraftKings $9,400
Garza is your top play on this slate and I recommend playing him if you can fit him. It’s always a good idea to get exposure to one of the best fantasy players in the country in a game with a high total. Garza averages over 40 fantasy points per game with 23.1 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks a night. He’s going to have his usual fun against the smaller Indiana interior and I expect a full 35 or so minutes out of the superstar. The price is certainly up there on both sites, but I’d recommend fitting Garza along with the next option we will look at.
Tres Tinkle – Oregon State – FanDuel $8,100 DraftKings $8,800
Tinkle is my other superstar lock on this slate. Like Garza, the matchup is incredible and the consistency is undeniable. Tinkle has been over 30 fantasy points in every game since Dec. 18 when he was injured against UTSA. Both of these teams are willing to play up in pace and I expect Utah to have a hard time covering Tinkle. Timmy Allen is a bit too big to stay with him and Both Gach is questionable to play in this game. You can pencil Tinkle in to play his usual 35 to 40 minutes and don’t be surprised if he never comes off the floor, as this is a huge game for Oregon State. Tinkle will be locked in next to Garza in every lineup of mine.
Trayce Jackson-Davis – Indiana – FanDuel $7,100 DraftKings $7,400
While Garza is as dominant as can be offensively, the Hawkeyes still rank 173rd in defensive efficiency against power forwards and centers. With the huge projected total in this game, there’s nothing wrong with getting exposure to both sides and I’m a fan of Jackson-Davis in all formats. The freshman phenom has been amazing for the Hoosiers of late, eclipsing 25 fantasy points in six straight games while averaging 32 minutes per game. He stuffs the stat sheet when on the floor and will thrive in the fast-paced nature of this game. The matchup with Garza isn’t great on paper, but I think Justin Smith will cover him for most of the game and Jackson-Davis should get 30 or so fantasy points on both sites.
Chris Vogt – Cincinnati- FanDuel $5,300 DraftKings $7,000
Again, I’m a fan of these Bearcats against fast-paced Memphis. Of 353 teams, the Tigers rank 27th with 75.7 possessions per game and the Cincinnati offense is going to see a bunch of extra possessions tonight. With more possessions comes not only extra shots, but there are more peripherals to go around as well. Vogt is too cheap across the board for a guy that holds 20% usage and is going to give the smaller Tigers issues in the paint. If Vogt is willing to assert himself in the paint next to Precious Achiuwa, we could be looking at one of his best games of the season. I’m a big fan of Vogt in all formats here and love pairing him with Cumberland at guard.
Nahziah Carter – Washington – FanDuel $5,400 DraftKings $6,700
Jaden McDaniels and Isaiah Stewart get a lot more attention in the Washington interior, but Carter is extremely consistent and averages over 30 minutes per game. The upside isn’t huge for Carter, but he’s been over 23 fantasy points in four straight games and he’s going to be needed against a dangerous USC interior. Carter always comes in under 10% owned and while he doesn’t have the most upside, value is weak at forward on this slate and Carter allows you to pay down while getting that 20-fantasy-point floor. USC has weapons in the middle, but they play fast and Carter will benefit from the transition. Expect around 25 fantasy points out of the uber-consistent Carter.
Consider – C.J. Elleby (Washington State), Precious Achiuwa (Memphis), Jalen Hill (UCLA), Spencer Jones (Stanford), Justin Smith (Indiana)
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