The college basketball slate for Sunday, March 27, continues the Elite 8 of the 2022 NCAA Tournament and provides some great CBB DFS picks. This article will go over the top CBB picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy college basketball lineups as well as the best plays from each price range. Don’t forget to visit the CBB DFS projections and Awesemo College Basketball pages.
March Madness Elite 8 CBB DFS Picks Today
NCAAB Picks Today for Miami vs. Kansas
Miami – 70.75 Implied Team Total
After knocking off USC, Auburn and Iowa State to punch their ticket to the Elite Eight, Miami now faces Kansas as a 5.5-point underdog in a game with a 147-point total. The better game environment overall, Miami’s 70.75-point implied team total ranks third on this slate. Still, this game environment projects to score 10 more points than the second game, making it the superior target for DFS.
For DFS purposes, Miami runs a narrow rotation, highlighted by Kameron McGusty ($7,500). McGusty plays every minutes, leads the team with an 18.9% usage rate and participates in every major statistical category. Over the Hurricane’s last three games, McGusty has a 32.1% shot rate, 19.6% rebound rate and 14.9% assist rate. Miami will also use guards Charlie Moore ($7,100) and Isaiah Wong ($6,600) for as many minutes as they can handle. Moore plays primarily in the periphery behind a 44.7% assist rate in Miami’s last three games. Wong provides consistency across statistical categories with a 24.4% shot rate, 15.2% rebound rate and 12.8% assist rate over Miami’s last three games. Wong’s 17.7% usage rate is also slightly higher than Moore’s 17.5% usage rate on the year. This gives Wong a slight edge, but both are viable here. For value plays in this game, Jordan Miller ($5,900) and Sam Waardenburg ($5,500) will also play around 35 minutes in close games. Miller has the better rates on the year, but Waardenburg has been more active of late. Over Miami’s last three games, Miller provides a 13.7% shot rate, 15.2% rebound rate and 10.6% assist rate. Meanwhile Waardenburg functions more like a traditional big man, adding a 10.7% shot rate, 17.4% rebound rate and 19.2% assist rate. Miller has the better price-adjusted projection, but both are clearly in play here.
Kansas – 76.25 Implied Team Total
Bringing the highest implied team total in the best game environment, Kansas presents a clear DFS spot to target. Interestingly, the studs for this Jayhawks team still project slightly below some of the other studs on a cost adjusted basis. Ochai Agbaji ($7,800) and Christian Braun ($7,400) aren’t quite as active as the studs on Miami or North Carolina. However, their team total makes them elite GPP plays. Both will log 35+ minutes in a competitive affair and Agbaji in particular brings an elite ceiling behind his 23.2% shot rate. Agbaji also leads the team with an 18.5% usage rate. Braun provides more consistency across the statistical categories with a 17.5% shot rate, 17.1% rebound rate and a 17.5% assist rate this year. This gives Braun a solid floor, but a slightly lower ceiling than Agbaji. The top price-adjusted projection from this team actually comes from Jalen Wilson ($6,700). After a slow start to the year, Wilson has settled into a consistent role for this team. He has played 38, 32 and 20 minutes in three straight games for Kansas, contributing a 20.5% shot rate, 25.6% rebound rate and 7.3% assist rate. He also takes advantage of a significant size advantage over one of the smallest teams in the country in Miami. Remy Martin ($6,300) also projects well as he continues to recover from a mid-season injury. Still, Martin brings a few concerns. The transfer has only played 27, 29 and 21 minutes over Kansas’ last three games and his price has finally climbed to an acceptable point. Martin has provided an 18.4% shot rate, 12.4% rebound rate and 26.8% assist rate in that span, keeping him viable. However, he isn’t the lock and load play from earlier in the tournament. The final starter here is David McCormack ($6,200). Playing the most volatile role on the team, McCormack has notched 23, 25 and 23 minutes in Kansas’ last three games. He has a 10% shot rate, 12.4% rebound rate and 7.3% assist rate in that span. When given 30 minutes, McCormack has elite double-double upside, but that is far from a guarantee here. Another problem for McCormack is the health of Mitch Lightfoot ($3,400). Lightfoot played limited minutes in the first two rounds after picking up an injury in the Conference Tournament. However, he jumped back to 16 minutes in Kansas’ most recent game and could do just enough to cannibalize McCormack. Both Lightfoot and Dajuan Harris ($4,000) are high risk GPP options off the Kansas bench for those playing large-field tournaments. Harris splits time with Martin.
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NCAAB Picks Today for Saint Peter’s vs. North Carolina
Saint Peter’s – 64.25 Implied Team Total
Easily the lowest implied team total on this slate, Saint Peter’s remains an 8.5-point underdog to North Carolina. Shockingly participating in the Elite Eight, Saint Peter’s has now strung together three straight upsets over Kentucky, Murray State and Purdue to reach this point. On top of their low team total, Saint Peter’s also runs a 10-man rotation, making this a difficult situation to navigate for DFS. Leading the team, K.C. Ndefo ($6,900) predictably fouled out against the Purdue big men in 19 minutes. He easily provides the best rates on this team, but he is egregiously priced when compared to the other studs in this range. Ndefo should be reserved for the largest of GPPs. From there, Saint Peter’s plays 4-5 guys 20-28 minutes. Fortunately, they are all priced at $4,600 or below. Social media star Doug Edert ($4,500) projects poorly after playing 20, 24 and 25 minutes over the last three games. Running hot on his shots and popular in the eyes of the public, Edert could be a strategic fade. Among the values, Daryl Banks ($4,800) and Matthew Lee ($3,900) project the best. Banks has played 28, 27 and 37 minutes over Saint Peter’s last three games, contributing a 24.4% shot rate, 9.3% rebound rate and 7.3% assist rate for the Peacocks. Entirely shot reliant, Banks provides a solid ceiling, but a miniscule floor here. Conversely, Lee plays the point guard position and has logged 30, 28 and 26 minutes over the last three games. He has contributed a 12.8% shot rate, 5.8% rebound rate and 26.8% assist rate. His peripheral involvement gives him a better floor and a lower ceiling than Banks. Hassan Drame ($4,600) and Fousseyni Drame ($3,500) occupy the frontcourt. Hassan plays better minutes and provides better rates, behind his 20.9% rebound rate over the last three games. Both are pure GPP darts. Clarence Rupert ($3,200) and Isaih Dasher ($3,000) should also be mentioned as potential punts. Rupert has played 22, 16 and 19 minutes over the last three games. Dasher has played 17, 16 and 18 over the last three. Rupert is significantly more involved. Jaylen Murray ($3,300) is the last player to mention. He has received 10, 11 and 19 minutes over the last three games. He actually has a solid 17.2% usage rate and has contributed an 11% shot rate, 8.1% rebound rate and 9.8% assist rate over the last three games. Likely to be the least owned, Murray could make sense in certain builds in large-field tournaments.
North Carolina – 72.75 Implied Team Total
The second-highest implied team total on the slate, North Carolina has been red hot this post-season, knocking off Marquette, Baylor and UCLA. For DFS purposes, North Carolina plays one of the tightest rotations in the country at an up-tempo pace. Highlighting the Tar Heels, Armando Bacot ($9,200) remains underpriced even above $9,000. Averaging a double-double this year, Bacot has played 31, 39 and 28 minutes over North Carolina’s last three games. In that span, he has a 16.8% shot rate, 32.5% rebound rate and 14.5% assist rate for the Tar Heels. Even at this price, Bacot remains a priority. Behind him, Caleb Love ($6,500) continues to be significantly underpriced across DFS platforms. Love leads the team with a 19.4% usage rate this year, maximized by playing 40, 32 and 34 minutes over the last three games. R.J. Davis ($7,000) has deservedly seen his price increase after a solid showing during the NCAA Tournament. Like Love, Davis will play every minute and he has contributed a 22.8% shot rate and 11.3% assist rate over the last three games. On the year, Love has superior usage and rates, making him the buy low and preferred play between the two. Brady Manek ($7,300) also continues to be underpriced. Manek has played 38, 28 and 33 minutes over the last three games, limited only by his ejection in the Baylor game. Manek has contributed a 20.8% shot rate, 19.15 rebound rate and 11.3% assist rate in that span. Rounding out the starting five, Leaky Black ($5,300) has played 39, 40 and 34 minutes in North Carolina’s last three games. Primarily used for his strong defense, Black’s only strong rate remains the 17.2% assist rate this year. Puff Johnson ($3,200) and Dontrez Styles ($3,100) are hope and pray value options if one of the starters fouls out or gets ejected again.
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