College Football Playoffs DFS Breakdown + Picks 12/30 (FREE)

The two playoff games are complete and now we have a LSU Clemson championship game to look forward to in a few weeks. In the meantime we are in the thick of bowl season and basically everyday we will have a quality slate to breakdown. Monday gives us four games on the schedule, but with the first one starting early the sites have decided to mostly focus on a 3 game main slate. We have two ACC vs SEC matchups and another PAC12 vs Big 10 game, so we will have some decent names available on this slate.

** Make sure to monitor news close to lock as a lot of news can break late in CFB. Sometimes there is nothing we can do, but many other times you will be at an advantage if you can swap off someone late when others miss the news **

CFB DFS Picks: Quarterback

Tommy Stevens, Mississippi State – 7.2k DraftKings, 8k FanDuel

This was supposed to read Garrett Shrader, but apparently the freshman QB got into a post practice fight and injured himself. As a result he is unavailable for the game and that means Penn State transfer Tommy Stevens will get the call here. Stevens played a ton during the season so this isn’t a backup getting a start situation, and he should be in a position to succeed here.

Stevens isn’t the best pure passer, but he is a big guy who has shown an ability to run the football. One the year he has six touchdowns on the ground and keep in mind the playing time was not consistent. He draws a quality matchup with a Louisville defense that struggled all season and ranks 111th in scoring defense on the season. The way to attack them Is on the ground where they give up 200+ yards rushing and Stevens should be able to account for some of that production in this spot. The over under in this game clearly makes it the one to target so both quarterbacks are in play and a game stack could be utilized in this one.

Also Considering – Malik Cunningham

CFB DFS Running Backs

Christopher Brown Jr, California– 6.7k DraftKings, 8.4k FanDuel

Cal takes on Illinois in the first game of the main slate, and its really not an appealing one. The total sits at just 44 which is like an NFL game, and that clearly doesn’t scream shootout. Cal sits at 7-5 on the season while Illinois is just 6-6, so both teams have some issues. Adding to the confusion is that Cal has two quarterbacks that they utilize so it depends on the scenario and game flow to determine who is under center.

Regardless of all that we have Christopher Brown in the backfield for the Golden Bears, and he should be involved regardless. He comes into the game with 11 TD’s on the ground and should have success against the Illini front. The tempo and just overall blandness of Cal’s offense is always concerning, but he is the one player who should get volume regardless of game script. With a 6.5 point spread in favor of Cal this should set up for Brown to do work late and he is firmly in play on this slate.

Billy Kemp IV, Virginia – 3.6k DraftKings, 5.8k FanDuel

This is a guy I don’t know too much about, but on a slate this devoid of value we have to look for any opportunity to save salary. Kemp is a tailback at Virginia who seems to be solely a pass catcher, but that can hold some value in full point PPR formats. Virginia takes on Florida in the Orange bowl and is a big 14.5 point underdog so they should be playing catchup late in the game.

Against Clemson in the ACC Championship game Virginia was overwhelmed and trailing throughout which led to 14 targets for Kemp out of the backfield. We still do not have word if WR Joe Reed is available for Virginia, but either way Kemp could be the pure punt we are looking for. There is certainly a ton of risk for a guy like this, but I don’t see many other spots for salary relief and the game does set up perfectly for him to contribute.

** Make sure to head over and check out our AwesemoOdds weekly show Friday mornings 12 EST that breaks down the upcoming weeks NFL and College schedules from a betting perspective **

CFB DFS Picks: Wide Receivers

Chatarius Atwell, Louisville – 7.6k DraftKings, 9.1k FanDuel

Homerun threat on Louisville’s offense who really should be relied on heavily in this spot. Atwell has survived the quarterback carousel and thrived regardless of who is under center for the Cardinals. He is a big play type guy who comes into the game with six catches of 50+ yards on the year including a 90 yard TD against Syracuse. With the over under of this game sitting significantly higher than  the other two it’s another great spot to target the Card playmaker.

Atwell’s speed is can and probably will cause problems for Mississippi States secondary, and he is live to break any slate he is on. Once again we don’t have a ton to like when looking over the WR options, so Atwell is clearly the best available despite being expensive and possibly overpriced.

Kyle Pitts, Florida – 5.7k DraftKings, 7k FanDuel

As I mentioned earlier we have Florida vs Virginia in the Orange bowl with the Gators coming in as the heavy favorite. They have had a quality year with just two losses on the resume (LSU & Georgia) both of which were nothing to feel  too bad about. They are looking for an 11 win season and they should get it when you consider this matchup. QB Kyle Trask really thrived once he took over after Franks went down early in the season and the pass catchers will have opportunities in this one.

One of the major weapons for Florida is the tight end in Kyle Pitts. He is a 6 foot 5 225 pound Sophomore who really has carved out a role and looks to have unlimited potential when you see his skillset. He is one of Trasks most reliable options and I don’t know how Virginia plans to really blanket him. Florida has burners like Van Jefferson on the outside if you are looking for ceiling type performances, but Pitts has a great floor and should have plenty of opportunities to return value in this spot.

Also Considering – Terrell Jana (especially if Reed sits)

**Stay tuned for additional CFB Content and make sure to hop in the #premium_cfb channel in our premium Awesemo slack for updates, Q&A and important news leading up till lock.

Good Luck everyone!

Author
*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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