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College Football DFS: Week 12 DraftKings & FanDuel CFB Picks | Friday, 11/19/2021

Matt Gajewski



Week 12 action continues with a Friday five-game slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. This college football DFS breakdown will look at both teams and provide information about each skill position player of note. Make sure to check out Awesemo’s projections, depth charts and datasheets for more information. With that said, let’s dive into this week’s iteration of the Week 12 CFB DFS picks for Friday’s matchup.

College Football DFS: Week 12 Friday CFB Picks

Southern Miss vs. Louisiana Tech

Southern Miss (17.25 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 67.1 (102nd)

Pass Rate – 46.36% (71st)

Southern Miss has completely abandoned the quarterback spot. Jake Lange ($4,900) only played two snaps last week and the team did not list a quarterback on the depth chart.

Frank Gore Jr. ($6,600) will play running back for Southern Miss and handle some wildcat quarterback snaps. Gore averages 70.9 yards rushing per game and another 15.5 receiving on 18.9 touches. Gore handled 19 carries last week and threw the ball three times. Southern Miss only threw seven total times, erasing what pass catching upside he had. Louisiana Tech allows 170 yards rushing per game to their opponents.

At receiver Antavious Willis ($3,000) is suddenly very interesting as Gore’s counterpart as wildcat quarterback. He threw four times and rushed the ball 18 times himself. Jason Brownlee ($5,200) was the leading receiver of this team and was targeted on five of Southern Miss’ seven pass attempts. Demarcus Jones ($3,500) missed last week’s game, allowing Jakarius Caston ($3,000) and Brad Dennis ($3,000) to play virtually all the snaps. None of these receivers are viable in Southern Miss’ new offense.

Louisiana Tech (33.75 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 71.2 (58th)

Pass Rate – 53.51% (30th)

Louisiana Tech benched Austin Kendall ($5,600) and J.D. Head ($5,800) in favor of Aaron Allen ($4,500). Allen hasn’t shown much mobility, with two yards rushing on the year. However, he could benefit from a pass-heavy and uptempo Louisiana Tech offense in the right matchups. He is GPP viable based on his miniscule sample as quarterback.

At running back Marcus Williams ($6,500) should continue to dominate touches. He has at least 20 touches in two straight games, including 29 carries last week. Greg Garner ($3,200) and Keyon Henry-Brooks ($3,900) will handle change of pace work, but this is Williams’ backfield for the most part. He averages 69.7 yards rushing and 20.2 receiving per game.

Smoke Harris ($5,900) and Tre Harris ($3,500) are the top two receivers here, eclipsing 80% of the routes last week. Isaiah Graham ($4,100), Griffin Herbert ($3,800) and Jerrod Means ($3,400) split time as the WR3. Both Harris’ are solid price-adjusted plays here. .

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Memphis vs. Houston

Memphis (25.5 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 72 (48th)

Pass Rate – 53.86% (28th)

Seth Henigan ($8,200) is a decent GPP play based on Memphis’ elevated pass rate. Henigan averages 308 yards per game, but he faces a difficult Houston defense as an 8.5-point underdog. Henigan is somewhat mobile, with 102 yards on the ground, but he is fairly expensive on this slate.

Brandon Thomas ($6,000) has been banged up, forcing Memphis to use a three-back committee. This group also utilizes Rodrigues Clark ($4,200) and Asa Martin ($3,000). With a potential three-way timeshare in a touch matchup, this is not the best situation to target.

Calvin Austin ($7,900) has not been practicing during the week and he is playing limited snaps on the weekend. He only saw three targets last week and looks to be playing at less than 100%. This makes him a GPP only play. However, Javon Ivory ($4,300), Eddie Lewis ($3,700) and tight end Sean Dykes ($4,400) all project well in elevated roles. Dykes has the best role on the year, but all three are viable here.

Houston (35 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 71.9 (49th)

Pass Rate – 49.30% (52nd)

For Houston, Clayton Tune ($6,900) is a veteran quarterback. Tune only has 24 yards rushing this year after a midseason hamstring injury, but he has shown this ability in the past. Here, Tune benefits from a 35-point implied team total and a matchup against a Memphis defense allowing 266.8 yards per game. Houston is above average in pass rate and pace, making Tune a solid quarterback play here.

Houston has increasingly used a running back by committee with Alton McCaskill ($7,200) leading the way. However, Texas Tech transfer Ta’Zhawn Henry ($4,400) also has at least 10 carries in each of Houston’s last four games. Even with his involvement, McCaskill has still eclipsed 20 in two straight. Memphis allows over 150 yards rushing per game, putting both in play.

At receiver Nathaniel Dell ($8,200) is a more attractive expensive option with a limited Austin on the other side. Dell averages 9.5 targets per game over his last four contests and 86.6 yards per game on the year. The only other receiver that stands out at first glance is Jeremy Singleton ($3,600) now playing a full-time role in the offense. Still, he only averages 3.3 targets per game over Houston’s last three. Typically, KeSean Carter ($3,800) runs as the WR2, but he missed last week with an injury. This allowed Jake Herslow ($3,400) and Jaylen Erwin ($3,300) to receiver more work. Tight end Christian Trahan ($3,900) is second on the team in targets behind Dell with 39 to Dell’s 90. Ultimately, only Dell is a preferred option here. The rest are best left to tournaments.

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Dell is one of the most expensive options on tonight’s five-game slate but is still popping in the Awesemo projections models when running optimal lineups. For more free optimal CFB DFS lineups, check out our DraftKings CFB cheat sheet.

Arizona vs. Washington State

Arizona (19.25 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 75.4 (24th)

Pass Rate – 51.10% (39th)

Will Plummer ($5,500) is somewhat mobile, with 171 cumulative yards rushing this season. However, he is inept as a passer, throwing for 128.1 yards per game on 23.3 attempts, despite Arizona’s elevated pass rate and tempo. He is a GPP-only option as 15-point underdogs to a solid Washington State pass defense.

The backfield has devolved into a timeshare between Michael Wiley ($4,500), Drake Anderson ($3,200), Jalen John ($3,700) and Stevie Rocker ($3,000). Rocker has been the most involved with 14 carries over the last two weeks, but none of them are good options.

Arizona uses Stanley Berryhill ($5,000) as their alpha receiver and the is the only one who projects halfway decent. Berryhill averages 59.7 yards per game on 9.5 targets. Arizona recently upgraded Dorian Singer ($3,800) to an 86% route share with Anthony Simpson ($3,000) running third. Brian Casteel, Boobie Curry, Tayvian Cunningham and Jamarye Joiner all ran 20 routes or fewer.

Washington State (33.25 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 68.1 (90th)

Pass Rate – 56.28% (14th)

Jayden de Laura ($7,300) also looks too cheap as Washington State’s quarterback. He is somewhat mobile, with 70 yards on the ground this year. He averages 248.7 yards passing on 32 attempts in Washington State’s pass friendly offense. Arizona does not play good defense in any way, setting up de Laura for a solid game.

Max Borghi ($5,200) and Deon McIntosh ($4,600) split the backfield nearly 50/50. Arizona does allow 176.7 yards rushing per game, but Borghi and McIntosh average 14 and 10.9 touches per game, respectively. While the volume is not secure, the matchup makes them solid tournament plays.

Washington State uses four receivers on almost every play. Travell Harris ($6,900) and Calvin Jackson ($6,400) are the two alphas. Harris averages 68 yards per game on 8.5 targets, while Jackson averages 74.5 yards per game on 8.2 targets. De’Zhaun Stribling ($4,000) and Donovan Ollie ($3,300) play every snap, but average 5.4 and 3.3 targets per game, respectively.

Air Force vs. Nevada

Air Force (25.25 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 73.4 (39th)

Pass Rate – 15.28% (129th)

Air Force runs the triple option, meaning Haaziq Daniels ($6,400) must be treated like a glorified running back. He has 639 yards rushing this year, while averaging 90.9 as a passer. He is a middling option due to his lack of pass game volume.

Brad Roberts ($7,000) plays full back for Air Force, but he averages 106.6 yards per game on 23.4 opportunities. Air Force will seldom use a change of pace, but Omar Fattah ($3,000) is typically that guy.

At receiver Brandon Lewis ($3,900) averages 2.9 targets per game, but also has 13 carries this year. He has emerged as the WR1, while playing the slot back position. Dane Kinamon has also taken on a much larger role, with 10 targets over the last two weeks and nine carries. He is not in the DraftKings player pool. David Cormier ($3,000) and DeAndre Hughes ($3,800) are somewhat interesting, because of their recent involvement. Hughes will get a few carries too. Ultimately, none of the other receivers get enough volume to consider.

Nevada (27.25 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 75.8 (21st)

Pass Rate – 67.16% (3rd)

Carson Strong ($9,000) is a phenomenal passer, averaging 354.8 yards per game on 46 attempts. Nevada is one of the fastest and pass heaviest teams in the country, benefitting Strong. Strong needs this elevated volume and the 300-yard bonus to reach his ceiling, because of his negative rushing output. On the year, Strong has negative-146 yards rushing. Either way, Strong is still a solid volume-based play.

In our FanDuel lineup optimizer, Strong was one of the players populating most. Check out all of our free CFB DFS picks for cash games and tournaments in our FanDuel CFB cheat sheet.

Toa Taua ($5,700) functions as Nevada’s lead back, while Devonte Lee ($3,800) offers a change of pace. Due to Nevada’s high pass rate, Taua and Lee average just 14.6 and 9.5 touches per game, respectively. Air Force also plays solid run defense, making this a neutral matchup at best.

Losing Elijah Cooks early in the year, Romeo Doubs ($8,000) has stepped up as Nevada’s alpha. He averages 94.8 yards per game on 9.6 targets. Tight end Cole Turner ($7,400) is heavily involved as well with his 9.2 targets per game. Turner missed last week’s game with a concussion, but he expects to return here. Melquan Stovall ($5,800) is the true WR3 with 58.1 yards per game on 6.1 targets. Tory Horton ($6,700) and Justin Lockhart ($4,700) are somewhat less involved, with 4.9 and 4.7 targets per game, but both participate in a majority of the routes and can be used here as cheaper options.

San Diego State vs. UNLV

San Diego State (26 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 66.1 (107th)

Pass Rate – 37.31% (124th)

San Diego State uses a slow, run-heavy offense. Lucas Johnson‘s ($5,700) 192 cumulative yards rushing are not enough to overcome his lack of a role in the pass game. He averages 16 pass attempts per game.

At running back Greg Bell ($6,100) is San Diego State’s featured player. He averages 84.3 yards per game on 18.2 touches. Concerningly, he began ceding some work to Chance Bell ($3,600) and Kaegun Williams ($3,000) last week in a close game against Nevada. He is still a decent option against an UNLV defense allowing over 150 yards rushing per game.

San Diego State typically does not throw enough to warrant consideration. However, for those in large GPPs, Jesse Matthews ($4,500) is the WR1, but he only averages 19.2 yards receiving per game on 3.5 targets. He has recently been challenged by Tyrell Shavers ($3,200), tight end Daniel Bellinger ($3,300) and Elijah Kothe ($4,900). There is not much separating their offensive roles, making Shavers and Bellinger the most interesting overall.

UNLV (15 Implied Total)

Plays/Game – 65.1 (114th)

Pass Rate – 48.81% (59th)

Cameron Friel ($5,600) looks to have fully taken over for Doug Brumfield ($5,900) at this point. Friel is not the most mobile, with 64 cumulative yards this year. He also averages just 192.6 as a passer on 26.8 attempts. This is a tough matchup for UNLV, making Friel a difficult option to trust.

Charles Williams ($7,500) has one of the best roles in the country on one of the worst teams. Williams averages 107 rushing and 12.8 yards receiving per game on 23.1 touches. San Diego State plays elite run defense, but Williams is a volume-based contrarian play here.

Kyle Williams ($5,500) is the team’s leading receiver with 66 yards per game on 7.8 targets. He is followed closely by Steve Jenkins ($5,400) as the WR2. Both have averaged 8.5 targets per game over UNLV’s last four contests. Marcus Phillips ($3,000) has been the WR3 of late, but UNLV has dealt with multiple injuries to their ancillary pieces. He has four targets per game over UNLV’s last three, but he runs the risk of getting phased out of the offense. Giovanni Fauolo ($3,500) is the seldom used tight end that still somehow ranks third on the team with 23 targets.

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Looking for more college football DFS advice and DFS college football picks? Check out our industry-leading college football DFS projections for today. Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world, developed and maintains the DraftKings DFS college football ownership projections for today.

Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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