Another Saturday CFB DFS slate is here and we have an 11 pack of games to breakdown. Unlike last week we have much more competitive games as well as a lot of conference matchups. There are still a few massive spreads, but overall we are starting to get into the thick of the season with games that should be coming down to the wire. Let’s get into some CFB DFS Picks for daily fantasy on Draftkings.
Make sure to also check out the Saturday Betting breakdown article which breaks down a few games in depth and also talks about a few betting lines that are worth looking into.
** Make sure to monitor news close to lock as a lot of news can break late in CFB. Sometimes there is nothing we can do, but many other times you will be at an advantage if you can swap off someone late when others miss the news **
Kelly Bryant, Missouri – 7.5k DraftKings
Mizzou has been a weird team to peg as they opened the season with a disappointing loss at Wyoming. Since then they’ve crushed West Virginia and SE Missouri St who clearly couldn’t compete, but it does leave us some interesting questions. Basically for QB Kelly Bryant we have only seen him play deep into the first game where he thru it 48 times for 423 yards and added 11 carries on the ground.
If Bryant approaches those numbers in any capacity then he’s primed for a huge game at home vs South Carolina. The gamecocks got dismantled thru the air last week by Tua and now are on the road as almost a double digit underdog. The O/U sits at a reasonable 61 and Missouri really should be attacking thru the air setting up Bryant for a potentially huge week. Just looking over QB in general we have guys like Tua for Bama and Joe Burrow from LSU who both are great options just expensive. On FanDuel where there are more games Spencer Sanders from Oklahoma State is a guy to look at with the ceiling he has.
Malik Cunningham, Louisville – 5.8k DraftKings ** If Pass is still out **
Keep an eye on the news as normal starter Juwon Pass could return from his injured foot and then clearly the situation would change. If Pass can’t go then it will be Malik Cunningham leading the Cardinals offense against Florida State. In the past targeting teams in Tallahassee wouldn’t be the ideal move, but this FSU defense isn’t one I’m too worried about. Again make sure to see the news before lock as Louisville has another QB that could also get time, but if Pass sits I believe Cunningham is the guy to look at.
The big appeal of Cunningham is that he is extremely mobile so the rushing upside is where he needs to excel. In his start last week he was just 8-13 for 119 yards thru the air , but he did find the endzone twice. The running ability were on display with 16 carries for 46 yards and although that’s not the return we want it shows he is willing to pull the ball down and run. There are no doubt safer options on the slate, but Cunningham is one of the few cheap QB’s that has big upside due to the fact he is mobile and should cause problems with his legs against FSU.
Also Considering – Ryan Hilinski
Cam Akers, Florida State – 7.8k DraftKings
Florida State is on the short list for most dysfunctional teams in the entire country. They come in as a -6.5 point favorite against Louisville at home with an O/U of 61. One of the few bright spots on this team has to be RB Cam Akers, who is doing what he can to keep the Seminoles in games.
Thru the first three games Akers has 5 total touchdowns and is averaging 130 yards per contest. He has chipped in with 10 catches to start the season as well which helps to boost the floor and get him the ball in space. There is no doubt he is going to be busy once again and possibly with FSU playing from ahead he could actually have a positive game script for a change. Louisville is a middle of the pack rushing defense and Akers is going to get the volume to easily justify this price tag.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, LSU – 6.1k DraftKings
LSU looks dangerously good so far this season. With QB Joe Burrows keeping teams honest thru the air it really opens up the rushing attack and a balanced look on offense. Edwards-Helaire looks to be the lead guy in this backfield and now they play Vandy who so far this season has allowed a horrendous 6.3 yards per carry. That is not the answer and one of the reason why Vanderbilt finds themselves as a 24 point underdog at home.
The volume is a little shaky with a big spread, but as I mentioned Edwards-Helaire is getting the lions share and so far taking advantage. He has four TD’s in the first three games and against Texas he had 19 touches which was the only competitive matchup so far for LSU. This game shouldn’t be that close, but it also doesn’t figure to be a massive blowout. That should allow Edwards-Helaire all the work he needs to return value given his price on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Also Considering – Lamical Perine
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If you have the money to go get Bama or LSU guys they make fantastic plays, but with not a lot of value on this slate it can be tough to have room for top tier WR’s.
Shi Smith, South Carolina – 5.9k DraftKings
There are some injury reports that have Shi Smith questionable with an upper body injury so keep an eye on news as we get closer to lock. If Smith is good to go (and I think he will be) then he makes a viable target in this South Carolina-Missouri game.
New QB Ryan Hilinski held his own against Bama last week so we know that the pass catchers are still in play despite a backup QB. Last week against Alabama Smith had 6/90/1 showing that he is one of the main weapons on this offense. Missouri’s defense is clearly a step down from what they saw last week and playing from behind again should set up Smith and the passing attack. If he sits or you don’t want to risk it fellow wideout Bryan Edwards makes sense, but he’s more expensive making it harder to get to him.
Chatarius Atwell, Louisville – 4.4k DraftKings
I do feel a little nervous about Louisville passing attack with a possible backup QB, but points are going to be put up in that game. Add in that value isn’t jumping off the page and you can look at Atwell for some gigantic boom bust potential. Last week against Western Kentucky he had a ridiculous game with 4 catches for 141 and 3 TD’s. Now obviously that isn’t happening again, but he is a speedster who only need a handful of catches to return value.
As I mentioned Florida States defense isn’t a side I’m too worried as the rank 66th in passing yards allowed per attempt so far this year. The spread expects Louisville to put up points and possibly be playing catchup late in the game which is the game script we are looking for. For this price I will take some stabs and hope Atwell can continue to break out these homerun catches producing huge stat lines.
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