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CFB

College Football Betting Pick of the Day | Week 11 FAU vs FIU

Ben Rasa

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Matt Gajewski breaks down the top Week 4 College Football CFB DFS picks on DraftKings for your daily fantasy lineups, including Sam Ehlinger.

NCAAF Odds shopping is the best way to make sure you’re finding the best bang for your betting buck. Please enjoy our new, FREE website that shows you what each sports betting odds are in real time. You can sign up, track your bets, get notifications when a line moves and see how much money you’re making over time. Check it out right HERE. Lets get into the CFB Picks, including a college football betting pick from the Florida Atlantic and Florida International game on Friday night.


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Week 11 College Football Betting Picks + CFB Odds: Florida Atlantic vs Florida International 

CFB Pick: Florida Atlantic -9.5 (DraftKings)

We have three college games on tap for Friday night football, including a game from the Big Ten. College is really hurting with cancellations due to COVID and the Saturday slate is constantly updating, so keep an eye out for the status of games. However, all three games tonight seem to be good to go, and there is one I am willing to back in the betting market.

It is not a marquee game, but Florida Atlantic comes in as a 9-point road favorite against their in-state rival Florida International. The total is low at just 40.5 points, and that is due to FAU’s defense and FIU’s lack of offense. This game should be slower paced, but that doesn’t mean Florida Atlantic can’t rack up some points and cause some problems on both sides of the ball.

FAU is 3-1, and it is all due to their defense. They allow just 11.5 points per game, fourth best in the country, and they are limiting opponents to just 3.1 yards per rushing attempt. This is going to keep them in games even with a scoring offense that ranks 112th at just 16 points per game. They are experimenting at quarterback with Javion Posey getting some reps, and that will result in a heavy rushing attack for the Owls.


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Florida International, meanwhile, has played just one game since Oct. 10, and it has not been great when they have taken the field. They are 0-3 on the season, including a loss to an FCS opponent in Jacksonville State. Ideally they want to run the ball, but so far the offense has failed to generate much output. I don’t see anything changing considering the talent of Florida Atlantic’s defense, so expect points to be at a premium tonight.

With a total of just 40.5 points, it is never ideal to lay nearly double digits on the road. But given the situation with Florida International on both sides of the ball, I am willing to do it. Florida Atlantic has talent on offense but hasn’t put it together, while their defense has to be considered one of the better units in the country. I expect them to hold FIU’s offense down, and if they are able to generate any explosive plays, this one could get out of hand late.


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*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing support@awesemo.com.

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