College Football Betting Pick of the Day | Wisconsin at Iowa 12/12

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College Football Betting Picks + CFB Odds: Wisconsin at Iowa 

We are almost at the end of the college football season, but before we turn to Bowl Games and the Playoff, we still have some regular-season slates to attack. Some teams are playing their finale, while others haven’t been able to get on the field lately due to multiple cancellations. It is really a case-by-case basis, one that is rapidly evolving as we get closer to Saturday. There are a bunch of games on the schedule, and for betting purposes, we have a lot to break down.

Iowa Moneyline +110 

For my best CFB bet of the week, we go to the Big Ten to a similar situation that we found success with last week. As a 14-point underdog, we backed Indiana on the road against Wisconsin, and not only did cover that spread, the Hoosier pulled off the major upset. This Wisconsin team once again is favored, but this time the situation is even worse, in my opinion. They head to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes and are a 2-point favorite despite the struggles last week. I am all over Iowa in this game and believe they should be favored in this spot.

First, let’s start with Wisconsin, who is 2-2 on the season and coming off that disappointing loss to Indiana. They have no offense at all and have just 13 points total in their last two games, which unsurprisingly were both losses. Freshman quarterback Graham Mertz has struggled in recent weeks, and outside of his five-touchdown opening debut against Illinois, he has just three touchdowns and four interceptions on the season. There is zero explosiveness from this team, and the only way they can win games is for their defense to play out of their mind. The one positive for them is they do have a top-tier defense that allows a nation-best 12.2 points per game, but when a team is generating basically no offense, it’s a tough team to back.

On the other side is a 5-2 Iowa team that has won five straight and looks to be rounding into form. They aren’t the flashiest team, which is why this total is just 41 points, but they have an identity on both sides of the ball. The two-headed monster of Tyler Goodson and Mekhi Sargent should lead the rushing attack and allow the passing game to take a backseat. Against a team like Wisconsin, limiting turnovers and putting up a few touchdowns could get the job done, as we saw Indiana do last week. Iowa’s defense is no joke either, allowing just 17.3 points per game, which is 16th best in the country. To me, Iowa is just a better version of Wisconsin, as they have a top-end defense as well but at least have a few playmakers on offense, particularly in the backfield.

Shorting Wisconsin has been effective in recent weeks, and I have no reason to stop now as they head into Iowa City. The Hawkeyes are playing good football, and for a struggling offense like Wisconsin, the last team they want to see on the schedule is a team like Iowa. The Hawkeye defense is going to cause major problems, and I think we will see a similar situation as we did last week with Indiana, so I will back Iowa outright in this game.


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Author
*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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