This college football bowl game projection article will provide a DFS breakdown and look at each team and provide information about each skill position player of note. Make sure to check out Awesemo’s projections, depth charts and datasheets for more information. With that said, let’s dive into this week’s iteration of the CFB DFS picks for today’s bowl game matchups.
CFB DFS Picks: College Football Bowl Picks & Predictions
Quarterback
Cameron Rising ($6,700) — Taking over for Charlie Brewer midseason, Cameron Rising has been excellent for Utah. Rising has 407 cumulative rushing yards on the year, while averaging 189.9 as a passer on 24.8 attempts. Utah plays slow and run-heavy, making volume Rising’s main issue for DFS. However, Ohio State is a four-point favorite in a game with a 64-point total. With projected negative game script for Utah, Rising could be looking at more volume against an Ohio State team decimated by opt outs.
Sean Clifford ($6,000) — Penn State enters this game as a three-point underdog with a 48.5-point total. They have played fast with 74.9 plays per game and a 54.5% pass rate. Arkansas also plays fast, putting this total in question with multiple opt outs on both sides. At quarterback, Sean Clifford averages 242.7 yards passing per game, while he contributed 116 yards on the ground throughout the year. It should be noted that he also missed some time due to sickness/injury. This is a tough matchup here, but Clifford’s price remains too cheap.
Matt Corral ($9,100) — Future NFL quarterback Matt Corral will play in this game and remains an excellent option at the top. Corral is very mobile with 597 cumulative rushing yards this year. As a passer, he averages 278.4 yards per game on 32.2 attempts in Ole Miss’ uptempo offense. Baylor plays solid defense, but Ole Miss finally has a healthy receiving corps after Dontario Drummond, Jonathan Mingo, and Braylon Sanders all dealt with injuries during the regular season.
C.J. Stroud ($9,900) — One of the premier quarterbacks in the country, C.J. Stroud averaged 351.1 yards passing per game on 36 attempts. Stroud is not mobile whatsoever, so he relies on this elevated volume. Utah plays tough defense, but Ohio State still leads the slate with a 34-point implied team total. Stroud himself looks very expensive, but stacking Ohio State became far more affordable with the opt outs at receiver.
Running Back
Chris Tyree ($3,100) — Stud running back Kyren Williams opted out of this game, leaving Chris Tyree and Logan Diggs to split the backfield. Tyree functioned as a change of pace back earlier in the year until injury slowed his progress. Overall, he accounted for 204 yards rushing and 143 receiving on seven touches per game. Positively, he out-touched Diggs in each of the last two games. While this remains a timeshare, Tyree should be heavily involved in a pick-’em game against a strong Oklahoma State defense.
Abram Smith ($6,800) — Baylor enters a game against Ole Miss as 1.5-point underdogs in a game with a 57.5-point total. The Bears run a slow, run based offense with a 41.2% pass rate. With such a heavy run rate, Abram Smith remains one of the premier backs on the slate. Initially playing in a timeshare with Trestan Ebner, Smith slowly worked his way into more volume this year. He averages 109.7 rushing yards per game on 19.1 touches, but he has seen at least 20 touches in three of Baylor’s last four games. Without many salary restrictions, he looks like a solid play against an Ole Miss defense allowing 189 rushing yards per game.
Gavin Williams ($3,600) — Iowa has a horrific 20.5-point team total, a tough matchup, and a World War II offense, but lead back Tyler Goodson opted out leaving 256 carries and 1,148 rushing yards behind. Gavin Williams has allegedly been working with the first team in practice, making him interesting just above the stone minimum. Ivory Kelly-Martin should also be involved here, but both Iowa backs are extremely cheap.
Receiver
Marvin Harrison ($3,000) — Mentioned above, Ohio State lost both Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson to opt out here. This means Marvin Harrison and Julian Fleming should take on a larger role. When Wilson missed a game earlier this season, Harrison and Fleming split the WR3 work evenly with four and five targets apiece. Now with two available spots, Harrison and Fleming should become near-full time plays at dirt cheap prices.
KeAndre Lambert-Smith ($3,400) — Penn State lost Jahan Dotson to an opt out ahead of their bowl game. He vacates 1,182 yards on 138 targets (33.5% target share). This creates supreme value with Parker Washington and KeAndre Lambert-Smith. On the year, Lambert-Smith recorded 447 receiving yards on 52 targets, but still played in an every-down role. Without Dotson, his 12.6% target share should rise, and he is barely priced above the stone minimum.
Jaxson Smith-Njigba ($7,700) — Without Olave and Wilson, Jaxson Smith-Njigba also becomes an elite play for Ohio State. Smith-Njigba recorded 1,259 receiving yards on 96 targets this year, finishing at Ohio State’s leading and most efficient receiver. Wilson vacates 1,058 yards on 102 targets, while Olave leaves behind 936 yards on 101 targets. Smith-Njigba should see immense volume as the only veteran receiver left in the offense.
Wan’Dale Robinson ($8,200) — Star receiver Wan’Dale Robinson will allegedly play in this game, despite having an NFL future. His total is low in a projected slow game against Iowa. However, Robinson has one of the best roles in the country. He accounted for 1,172 receiving yards on 128 targets (40.3% target share), while occasionally recording a carry out of the backfield. With little salary restrictions, paying up for Robinson remains an easy task on this slate.
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