College Football DFS – Week 3 Picks DraftKings 9/19/2020

The Week 3 College Football DFS slate on DraftKings features a ten-games slate covering a number of the nations top programs. Below, I break down every viable player on the Week 3 College Football DFS slate.

Tulsa vs Oklahoma State

Tulsa – 22 Team Total

Offense – Philip Montgomery has coached Tulsa since 2015. He is the former offensive coordinator at Baylor and will run the offense. Tulsa runs a wicked offense, featuring 82.2 plays per game (2nd) and a 49-percent pass rate (53rd). Tulsa’s offense could take a step forward too. Last year, they replaced 123 total starts. This year, six players return on the offensive line, who have started at least one game.

Zack Smith ($5,600) – Zach Smith is a decent quarterback option in a game with a high total. He doesn’t offer anything on the ground with -96 rushing yards last year. He eclipsed 300 yards passing on five occasions last year. That seems like a tall task in this game.

Shamari Brooks ($4,900) – Brooks is the lead runner, but he offers very little as a pass catcher. He will split time with Corey Taylor and this doesn’t look like a great situation to target.

Keylon Stokes ($5,800) – Stokes will function as Tulsa’s primary slot receiver. Josh Johnson will also play this role and they are listed with an “or” on the depth chart. They will go four-wide at times, so I don’t think this means Stokes is coming off the field. Stokes led the team with 99 targets and 1,040 yards last year.

Sam Crawford ($4,800) – Crawford saw 90 targets on the outside last year, racking up 777 yards. He is a solid price adjusted play.

JuanCarlos Santana ($3,000) – JuanCarlos Santana draws the start over Josh Johnson and he has a great projection at the minimum price. He stands 6-1, 173-pounds and should play on the outside here.

Josh Johnson ($3,700) – Johnson was listed with an “or” on Tulsa’s depth chart alongside Stokes. They should both play plenty here.

Defense – This defense could take a step back after losing two players to the NFL (Reggie Robinson and Trevis Gipson). They return four starters on defense.

Oklahoma State – 44.5 Team Total

Offense: Mike Gundy’s Cowboys leaned on the run more last year, moving from Mason Rudolph to Spencer Sanders. They passed just 40.7-percent of the time (100th) and ran 72.8 plays per game (50th). Oklahoma State only returns one full-time starter (left tackle). However, their right tackle has four starts and their center has five starts. Their projected right guard is a West Virginia transfer with two years of starting experience, so Chuba Hubbard should be fine.

Spencer Sanders ($7,600) – Sanders is a bit of a game manager, but he dealt with some injuries last year. He only attempted 22.5 pass attempts per game (a few more factoring injuries). However, he is a dual threat with 628 yards last year. He went over 100-yards on the ground twice last year, but he never once threw for 300 yards.

Chuba Hubbard ($8,500) – Chuba Hubbard is an absolute monster and a near lock to hit the 100-yard rushing bonus. He totaled 328 carries, 30 targets, and 2,094 yards on the ground last year.

Tylan Wallace ($7,700) – Coming off an ACL tear, Tylan Wallace registered 81 targets for 903 yards in just nine games played last year. He is an NFL talent, but he only started practicing in August. If Oklahoma State gets up early, he should be the first starter off the field.

Dillon Stoner ($5,800) – Stoner functions as Oklahoma State’s primary slot receiver. He totaled 70 targets for 599 yards, but he is just an outside consideration with Oklahoma State’s limited passing attack.

Braydon Johnson ($4,700) – Johnson is listed as the team’s third receiver after seeing 27 targets last year.

Jelani Woods ($3,800) – Woods functions as a hybrid H-back/tight end type player. He shouldn’t be involved.

Logan Carter ($3,000) – Oklahoma State listed Logan Carter as one of the starting tight ends. He shouldn’t be considered this week.

Syracuse vs Pittsburgh

Note: This game opened -6 in favor of Pitt and has moved to -21 in most places.

Syracuse – 14 Team Total

Dino Babers returns for his fifth season as head coach of Syracuse. Babers hired Sterlin Gilbert to coordinate the offense. Gilbert already has familiarity with Babers and runs the same veer-and-shoot offense that Syracuse is known for. Last year, Syracuse ran 80.5 plays per game (4th) and passed the ball 47.46-percent of the time (68th). Syracuse returns four offensive line starters after one of the worst performances in college football last year. This group allowed their quarterbacks to get sacked 40 times. Will it improve with experience or is this group lacking talent?

Tommy DeVito ($5,900) – Devito struggled against North Carolina, completing just 41.9-percent of his passes for 112 yards. He averaged an anemic 3.6 yards per attempt in the pass game. However, he still threw 31 times. He is an outside consideration after he eclipsed 300 yards passing twice and 250 yards on five occasions last year.

Jahwar Jordan ($5,900) – Jordan played 76-percent of Syracuse’s snaps and handled a sizeable workload for a player standing 5-9, 172-pounds. More importantly, he played on 77.3-percent of Syracuse’s run plays. He carried 14 times and saw three targets in the pass game. This could be a solid role after DeVito targeted Neal, Adams, and Howard 31, 15 and 10 times respectively last year.

Taj Harris ($5,900) – Primarily an outside receiver, Taj Harris recorded an absurd 15 targets against North Carolina (46.9-percent target share). He also finished second on the team with 61 targets last year. He remains underpriced for this role.

Anthony Queeley ($4,200) – Former special team’s ace Anthony Queeley registered five targets while playing on the outside opposite Harris. Positively, he played a full compliment of snaps unlike Nykeim Johnson or Courtney Jackson.

Nykeim Johnson ($4,300) – Johnson only played 45-percent of snaps and ran a route on 53.9-percent of DeVito drop backs. He primarily plays in the slot, but he split time directly with Courtney Jackson. He only recorded 3 targets as well. After dealing with injuries last year, he finished 5th on the team in targets.

Courtney Jackson ($3,300) – Jackson played 42-percent of Syracuse’s snaps and spent most of that time in the slot. He projects to split time again with Nykeim Johnson.

Aaron Hackett ($3,500) – Hackett remains Syracuse’s primary tight end, but he did not receive significant work.

Defense – They’re running a new defense under Tony White, which will be a 3-3-5. That’s probably what they’d run anyway against North Carolina. This new defense essentially just plays a safety/linebacker hybrid which is very common in college football. Syracuse is returning two corners, one safety, and one defensive lineman. They’re replacing all three linebackers, two members of their defensive line, and two defensive backs. This did not go well against UNC. They allowed 8.7 yards per pass attempt and 4.6 yards per carry.

Pittsburgh – 34.5 Team Total

Note: Make sure to contextualize all of Pitt’s Week 1 stats. They played Austin Peay and they actually decided to shorten rules in the second half. Some of Pitts’ starters sat out and the ones that played barely made it into the second quarter

Offense – Pat Narduzzi remains the head coach of Pitt, with Mark Whipple entering his second season as offensive coordinator. Pitt runs an exciting offense with 75.3 plays per game (19th) and a 55.9-percent pass rate. However, they get almost all of their offensive line back, which could help the run game.

Kenny Pickett ($6,600) – Don’t worry about his passing volume, Kenny Pickett averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game last year. He also offers a little bit in the run game. Pickett remains a solid price-adjusted play here for Pitts’ pass-heavy attack.

AJ Davis ($5,200) – AJ Davis looked like the potential starter here, but Pitt came out and named Vincent Davis the lead back. Both should split time here, with a few others mixing in. He led the team in rushing last year before suffering an injury. He should function as that again this year after playing on 35.1-percent of Pitt’s run plays. He also plays a decent role in the receiving game. He didn’t see any targets in Week 1, but he ranked fourth on the team with 28 targets last year. He is 6-0 215-pounds.

Vincent Davis ($5,000) – Vincent Davis named the starter for Pitt. He was listed with or’s next to Todd Sibley, and Daniel Carter.

Shocky Jacques-Louis ($4,500) – Jacques-Louis projects to play on the outside opposite Taysir Mack after growing into a larger role in 2019. He is a burner and recorded four targets in the opener.

Taysir Mack ($6,300) – Mack didn’t play in the opener against Austin Peay, but he expects to make his debut. He had 105 targets last year, which ranked second on the team. He projects to play on the outside for Pitt.

Jared Wayne ($4,100) – He is listed with an OR alongside Taysir Mack. This seems injury related. Wayne only saw 19 targets last year, showing Pitt certainly prefers to use Taysir Mack.

Jordan Addison ($3,500) – Addison plays the slot for Pittsburgh. He led the team with eight targets in against Austin Peay and is arguably the top price-adjusted play on this slate

Lucas Krull ($3,000) – Pitt listed Krull as the starting tight end, but this offense doesn’t heavily utilize the tight end position. He is a big 6-6 player with a lot of hype, but he is a 5th year. He didn’t appear against Austin Peay.

Defense – Pittsburgh has a very strong defense despite Jaylen Twyman opting out. Paris Ford is still an NFL caliber player and Rashad Weaver is going to eat Syracuse’s sub-par offensive line.

Navy vs Tulane

Navy – 20.5 Team Total

OffenseKen Niumatalolo is the head coach here and Ivin Jasper in the offensive coordinator. They run the infamous triple option attack. This offense will be rebuilding a bit with a new quarterback and only two returning offensive line starters. However, the three replacements are seniors. All of them played a bit last year, but we are still looking at an inexperienced unit.

Dalen Morris ($6,700) – Navy lost stud Malcolm Perry and Dalen Morris got the first shot at the job. However, he disappointed in a major way, opening a competition with Xavier Arline. Morris is 6-1, 206-pounds, so he is quite a bit bigger than Malcolm Perry.

Xavier Arline ($4,500) – Arline is much smaller than Morris at just 5-9, 165-pounds, but these two could split work.

Jamale Carothers ($6,700) – Carothers is 5-9, 203-pound full-back for Navy. He took over for Nelson Smith midway through 2019. He accounted for 734 yard and 11 touchdowns on just 111 attempts. He carried nine times in the opener for 28 yards, but he allowed Nelson Smith to mix in for five carries himself. This isn’t a great situation to target with Navy coming in as underdogs again.

Myles Fells ($3,900) – Fells only carried three times on 78-percent of Navy’s snaps. Fells plays the slot back position opposite Williams/Warren. He stands 5-11, 180-pounsd and only carried 18 times last year for 130 yards. He also caught three balls for 11 yards, but he isn’t really viable.

CJ Williams ($3,200) – He missed Week 1 against BYU with a minor injury. He had an additional two weeks to heal up and should suit up for this spot. He might be viable after carrying 56 times for 298 yards last year as Navy’s primary slot back. Williams stands 5-8, 175-pounds and should play the same role this year.

Chance Warren ($3,000) – Warren also played 78-percent of Navy’s offensive snaps in Week 1, but he only carried one time for five yards. With Williams potentially returning, he cannot be considered.

Wide Receivers – Don’t play wide receivers in triple option offenses.

DefenseNavy’s defense improved significantly last year under new defensive coordinator Brian Newberry. They were number ten in rushing defense and number 38 in passing defense. He now enters his second season with six returning starters. However, they took a huge step back in their first game against BYU. They allowed an absurd 6.1 yards per carry and look likely to struggle again here.

Tulane – 27 Team Total

Offense – Willie Fritz remains Tulane’s head coach and Will Hall enters his second season as offensive coordinator. Hall and the Tulane offense only passed 38.9-percent of the time 119th, while running 75.1 plays per game (20th). Overall, this is an exciting offense, that should take advantage of Navy’s woes in run defense. Tulane’s offensive line is solid too. They return five players who have started games and earned a solid transfer from Duke. This is a major mismatch. Unfortunately, very few of the skill players eclipse 50-percent of the snaps for Tulane. That was the case last week in a 27-24 win over South Alabama, making this team a complete mess for DFS.

Keon Howard ($6,100) – Howard looks like a decent target here. He threw the ball 30 times in Tulane’s opener with limited success (14 completions for 191 yards). However, he offers dual threat ability and rushed for 31 yards on the ground. We still haven’t seen much of him. This is his first year starting, but Tulane’s pace is solid enough. They just need to keep Navy off the field.

Tyjae Spears ($6,000) – He is listed as the true half back and he handled 11 carries for 105 yards in Tulane’s opener against South Alabama. He only played 51-percent of snaps too. However, this is a full-blown time share, with Tulane taking an interesting stylistic approach.

Amare Jones ($4,500) – He is listed at slot back and only played 39-percent of Tulane’s snaps. He carried five time, but saw another five targets in the pass game.

Cameron Carroll ($) – He played 37-percent of snaps and saw ten carries for 26 yards. He showed dreadful efficiency, but still figures to mix in for work.

Note: Tulane rotates all of their receivers. Here are the ones who play the most. Amare Jones, who doubles as an RB actually led this team in targets.

Duece Watts ($4,700) – Watts will run as the starting X-receiver, but he only ran a route on 36-percent of Howard drop backs. He received one target (3.4-percent)

Phat Watts ($3,500) – Watts will run as the starting Z-receiver, but he only ran a route on 30.1-percent of Howard drop backs. He received four targets (13.8-percent)

Jacob Robertson ($5,100) – Robertson will run as the slot receiver, but he only ran a route on 41.7-percent of Howard drop backs. He received one target (3.4-percent)

Tyrick James ($3,500) – James will run as the tight end and he actually ran a route on the highest percentage of Howard drop backs at 58.3-percent. He received one target (3.4-percent)

Sorrell Brown ($) – Brown ran a route on 50-percent of drop backs. He received three targets (10.3-percent).

Mykel Jones ($) – Jones ran a route on 38.9-percent of drop backs. He received four targets (13.8-percent)

Jha’Quan Jackson ($) – Jackson ran a route on 33.3-percent of drop backs. He received three targets (10.3-percent).

Louisiana vs Georgia State

Louisiana – 36.5 Team Total

OffenseBilly Napier remains the head coach after Lafayette went 11-3 last year. Rob Sale also enters his third season as offensive coordinator for the Cajuns. Lafayette ran 71.6 plays per game last year (60th) and passed the ball 42.96-percent of the time (91st).  Week 1 proved much of the same, with Louisiana running just 59 plays and passing 40.7-percent of the time. This Cajuns team returns eight starters on offense. However, they replace two starters on the offensive line in Robert Hunt and Kevin Dotson. This team is very good and held ISU to 14 points.

Levi Lewis ($6,500) – Lewis only threw 21 times in his debut performance for 154 yards, while rushing one time. Lewis remains an unexciting option for DFS. Last year, Lewis completed 64.3-percent of his passes for 3,050 yards, 26 touchdown and only four interceptions. He is a decent dual threat with 195 rushing yards last year. Louisiana likes to keep him under control though with easy reads. He only bested 300 yards on one occasion last year and he isn’t near the top of this slate in projected pass attempts. He stands just 5-10, 184-pounds.

Elijah Mitchell ($5,800) – Mitchell only carried eight times for 46 yards in his 2020 debut, splitting the backfield with Trey Ragas. Mitchell played 46-percent of Louisiana’s snaps and appeared on just 29-percent of their rushing snaps. Mitchell led the Cajuns in rushing with 1,147 yards and 16 scores. He also mixed in 10 receptions. He stands 5-11, 218-pounds and now has two straight seasons over 985 rushing yards. He also caught 20 passes in 2018 for 349 yards, so this dude has a complete skillset. His touches are always capped because of Ragas.

Trey Ragas ($5,200)– Ragas only played 32-percent of snaps, but he appeared on 41.2-percent of Louisiana’s rushing plays. He finished with 14 carries for 14 yards. Ragas finished as the team’s third-leading rusher with 820 yards on 116 carries. He also carries 207 times for 1,181 yards in 2018. He added 25 receptions that year, so he is another complete back in this offense. Raymond Calais is out of the picture, so Ragas should play a larger role in the offense. Ragas stands 5-10, 230-pounds.

Chris Smith ($4,200) – Smith is listed as the third-string back. He mixed in for 23-percent of Louisiana’s snaps and carried eight times in their debut against Iowa State. He carried 32 times for 334 yards last year. That is an absurd 10.4 yards per carry. Smith stands 5-9, 194-pounds.

Note – Jamal Bell, Cassius Allen and Calif Gossett are out for the season with injuries. Ja’Marcus Bradley and Jarrod Jackson both graduated, leaving an unproven stable of receivers.

Peter LeBlanc ($7,000) – Lebland led this team with five catches for 82 yards after running a route on just 65-percent of Lewis’ drop backs. LeBlanc received 33 targets last year and ranked fourth in receiving with 344 yards on 28 catches. LeBlanc stands 6-2, 190-pounds. His upside is questionable after he put up a 118-yard game against App State, but otherwise only cleared 33 yards on one other occasion.

Jalen Williams ($4,700) – Williams only saw four targets, but he ran the most routes (81-percent of drop backs). Williams received 28 targets last year and ranked fifth in receiving with 279 yards on 21 catches. Williams stands 6-3, 218-pounds and looks like an outside receiver here. LeBlanc is too expensive, making Williams the preferred play.

Dontae Fleming ($4,100) – Fleming stands 6-1, 167-pounds as an incoming freshman atop this Cajuns’ depth chart. He is a three-star prospect and the number 229 receiver in the 2020 class. He is listed at the starting X-Receiver despite only running five routes.

Johnny Lumpkin ($3,100) – He is the starting tight end, but he isn’t a strong receiver. He ran a route on just 46-percent of Louisiana’s drop backs. Lumpkin missed all of 2019 with an injury, but he caught six passes for 67 yards in 2018.

Georgia State – 21 Team Total

Offense – Shawn Elliott remains the head coach here and Brad Glenn enters his second season as offensive coordinator. Georgia State runs a hyper-aggressive offense with 77.2 plays per game last year (13th) and a 39.9-percent pass rate (107th).

Cornelius Brown ($5,200) – He is a pro-style quarterback in his first full season as the starter. He played a little bit last year and didn’t run for negative yards! This Louisiana defense held Iowa State’s Brock Purdy to 145 passing yards on 35 pass attempts. Brown remains a GPP consideration, with Louisiana likely to drain clock.

Destin Coates ($5,500) – Coates looks like a potential bell-cow after finishing third on the team in rushing with 546 yards. He saw eight targets last year too, but this could be a role worth targeting. Tra Barnett had 16 catches last year. Coates stands 5-11, 198-pounds and makes an interesting price-adjusted play in this spot.

Tucker Gregg ($3,000) – Gregg profiles as a change of pace. He carried 15 times last year for 56 yards. Georgia State fed Barnett 248 carries last year and Coates 82 as a change of pace. In better matchups he is a consideration, but not in this spot.

Cornelius McCoy ($5,200) – Last year’s leading receiver, McCoy notched 757 yards on 93 targets. He remains the favorite for targets in this spot, but Louisiana wants to slow the game. Georgia State also prefers to run, making McCoy an outside consideration.

Terrance Dixon ($4,300) – Terrance Dison only recorded 82 yards, but he cracks the projected starting lineup here.  He is a 5-7, 170-pound slot receiver.

Sam Pinckney ($4,800) – Pinckney finished as last year’s second-leading receiver with 460 yards on 50 targets. At this price point, paying up for McCoy makes more sense.

Roger Carter ($3,700) – Carter was the team’s third-leading receiver with 334 yards on 29 targets. He plays tight end, but he is an efficient target for this offense.

Duke vs Boston College

Note: This line has moved 1.5 points in Boston College’s favor.

Duke –23 Team Total

OffenseDavid Cutcliffe remains the head coach of Duke and he will take over play calling again. Cutcliffe hasn’t called plays since the 2007 season, when he coached at Tennessee. Their former offensive coordinator, Roper, worked under Cufcliffe at various points in his career, so the offense shouldn’t shift too much. Last year, Duke ran 73.7 plays per game (38th) and passed 44.64-percent of the time (85th). In Week 1 Duke ran 70 plays, but passed 57.1-percent of the time against Notre Dame. The play volume likely increases against other teams after Notre Dame rode the run all of the second half. Duke returns four starters along the offensive line and they also receive Stanford transfer Devery Hamilton. Hamilton started six games for Stanford in 2018, but suffered an injury last year.

Chase Brice ($6,800) – Brice is a 6-2, 235-pound Clemson transfer, who threw 38 times in his debut. He also rushed a bit for 41-yards, which we love to see. He entered the picture at Duke as a former three-star quarterback and the number-17 quarterback from the 2017 class. Brice has never thrown more than 85 passes in a season, but he threw for 581 yards last year in relief for Trevor Lawrence. He has solid rushing upside with 93 and 94 yards respectively in his first two years at Clemson. Those totals occurred on 16 and 14 rushing attempts (6.2 YPC). Brice still remains too cheap for a game with an up-tempo pace.

Deon Jackson ($5,500) – Jackson led Duke’s backfield with 641 yards last year. He also added 21 receptions. He carried 15 times in Week 1 to Durant’s 5 carries. He played on 67-percent of the run snaps to Durants 29-percent.

Mataeo Durant ($3,900) – Durant finished as Duke’s third-leading rusher last year, with 461 rushing yards. He also added 16 receptions. He is the change of pace back to Deon Jackson here.

Jake Bobo ($4,500) – Bobo saw 5 targets in Duke’s opener and ran a route on 72-percent of Brice’s drop backs. Bobo recorded 30 targets last year, but he came on strong after not seeing a target in the first four weeks of the season. Bobo caught ten balls for 122 yards. He stands 6-4, 215-pounds and remains the starting X-receiver.

Jalon Calhoun ($6,600) – Calhoun led duke with seven targets in their opener, while running a route on 70-percent of Duke drop backs. Calhoun recorded 60 targets for Duke last year, but he finished as the team’s leading receiver. He notched 46 catches for 420 yards. He stands 5-11, 190-pounds and was listed as the team’s starting slot receiver.

Damond Philyaw-Johnson ($3,200) –He easily remained the WR3 here with a route on 77-percent of drop backs. That led the team, but he comes in so cheap here after seeing just a pair of targets. Johnson only saw four targets last year. He managed two receptions for 31 yards. He stands 6-1, 170-pounds. Duke listed Johnson as the team’s starting Z-receiver. While most think Eli Pancol is the third receiver to target here, Philyaw-Johnson offers a cheap, contrarian stacking option with Brice.

Noah Gray ($4,500) – Gray quietly remains involved in Duke’s offense. He received five targets, but only ran a route on 48-percent of drop backs.

Eli Pancol ($5,000) – Pancol only ran a route on 20-percent of drop backs.

DefenseDuke replaces all four starters along the defensive line. Duke usually only plays with two linebackers on the field, but both starters from last year are gone. Koby Quansah graduated and Brandon Hill opted out. Luckily Shaka Heyward started six games last year and provides some experience. However, the secondary returns four starters in Mark Gilber, Josh Blackwell, Leonard Johnson and Michael Carter.

Boston College – 28.5 Team Total

Offense – Jeff Halfey is the brand-new head coach of Boston College. He is a defensive minded coach from Ohio State and he brings in Frank Cignetti as his offensive coordinator, who most recently coached quarterbacks with the Packers. That season, the Packers ranked top five in pass attempts, so this offense might undergo a transformation here. This Boston College team does come with concerns, however. They return one offensive line starter from last year. Luckily, Duke just coughed up 178 rushing yards to Notre Dame in their opener.

Phil Jurkovec ($6,000) – He is a Notre Dame transfer. He former 4-star prospect and the number-four dual threat quarterback from the 2018 class. Because of Boston College’s changes in the coaching staff and Jurkovec’s dual threat ability, he makes a solid contrarian play at the quarterback position.

David Bailey ($6,900) – Bailey is a 6-0, 236-pound bruising back, build similar to AJ Dillon. He rushed for 844 yards on 148 attempts last year as a change of pace to Dillon. He will carry the load here, but this offense is undergoing massive shifts. He still remains a 6-point favorite, making him a solid play.

Kobay White ($4,800) – White will play the X-receiver for Boston College. He finished last season with 47 targets, which he turned into 460 receiving yards. He averaged 15.9 yards per reception

Zay Flowers ($5,500) – Flowers will play the Z-receiver. He finished with 36 targets, which he turned into 341 yards, but he also added 27 carries on the ground. Flowers remains a dynamic play-maker for this offense. He also averaged 15.5 yards per reception.

Jaelen Gill ($4,400) – Gill will play the slot. He is the former four-star Ohio State receiver. He was the number two all purpose back in the 2018 class. He transferred out of the Ohio State program in order to see immediate opportunity.

Hunter Long ($4,700) – Long will play tight end. He notched 34 targets and finished with 509 receiving yards. He is averaged 18.2 yards per reception from the tight end position

Appalachian State vs Marshall

Appalachian State – 32 Team Total

Offense – App State only passed 39.5-percent of the time last year (110th) and ran 70.7 plays per game (68th). In Week 1, they beat Charlotte 35-20, but they only ran 71 plays, while passing 29.6-percent of the time. This team is built to run the ball after returning four starters on the offensive line, who were already recognized as pre-season all-Sun Belt honorees.

Zac Thomas ($5,900) – Thomas enters his third season as the starting quarterback for Appalachian state. He threw 359 times last year, but he only averaged 25.6 attempts per game. That is also the problem here with App State. This team relies on the run-game, curbing Thomas’ attempts. Last year, he only eclipsed 300 yards passing on one occasion. He does offer rushing ability, with 440 yards on 104 carries, but he maxed out at 63 yards. He doesn’t provide 100-yard bonus ability in either phase of the game.

Marcus Williams ($4,800) – They list three running backs as the starter. Williams stands 5-10, 210-pounds and carried 15 times for 60 yards and a pair of scores against Charlotte. He played on 33-percent of App State run plays. Williams received one target in the pass game and he remains the only running back to see a target this year.

Daetrich Harrington ($5,100) – Harrington carried 14 times for 117 yards and one score. He appeared on 35.4-percent of App State run plays.

Camerun Peoples ($4,600) – He also carried 13 time for 97 yards and a score after tearing his ACL last year. He showed no ill effects and played on 29-percent of App State’s run plays.

Thomas Hennigan ($6,000) – Hennigan remains App State’s number one receiver. He caught five of five targets for 120 yards in their debut, while running a route on 92.3-percent of drop backs. Hennigan led the team with 773 receiving yards last year.

Malik Williams ($4,300) – Williams remains the other potential receiver to target after he received five targets himself. Williams ran a route on 80-percent of Thomas drop backs. Williams finished third on the team with 598 receiving yards last year.

Jalen Virgil ($3,900) – Jalen Virgil is listed as the WR3, but he only ran a route on 50-percent of Thomas drop backs. He isn’t a consideration. Virgil finished fourth with 383 receiving yards last year.

Henry Pearson ($3,100) – Pearson will play tight end for App State, but he only ran five total routes. Ignore Pearson here.

Marshall – 27.5 Team Total

Offense – It is impossible to gather anything from their 59-0 win over Eastern Kentucky. Doc Holliday returns as head coach and Tim Cramsey returns as offensive coordinator. Last year, Marshall passed 41.3% of the time (99th) and ran 68.8 plays per game (85th). There’s no reason to change here. The offensive line returns 4 starters including both tackles. They actually had 3 tackles who made starts last year.

Grant Wells ($6,300) – Wells is 6-2, 210-pounds and reportedly ran a 4.70 40-yard dash out of high school. Labeled a pro-style quarterback, Wells only threw 23 times in his debut. However, he racked up 307 yards. That remains unlikely here. However, he added 30 rushing yards on six attempts last week. That ability provides a solid floor for Wells most weeks.

Brenden Knox ($7,200) – Knox is 6-0, 223-pounds and fresh off a 270-carry, 1,387-yard rushing season. He also caught 14 balls for 129 yards. He projects for some of the highest volume, after seeing 18 carries for 85 yards in the opener. He should remain on the field more in this game and projects for heavy volume.

Sheldon Evan ($4,000) – Evans saw eight carries as a change of pace to Knox last year. Now expected to trail, he isn’t much of a consideration. Last year’s second-leading rusher likely sees additional volume in positive game script. He carried 69 times for 375 yards last year. He is 5-11, 200-pounds.

Broc Thompson ($4,900) – Thompson saw a team-leading six targets in Week 1. He ran a route on 56-percent of Marshall drop backs and looks like one of the top receiving weapons for this offense. He finished as Marshall’s third leading receiver with 334 yards on 19 catches. He will play on the outside.

Willie Johnson ($5,300) – Johnson is the other receiver who ran a route on 56-percent of Marshall drop backs. He only caught one of four targets, potentially depressing his ownership here. Johnson finished as Marshall’s second leading receiver with 349 yards on just 13 catches. He is 6-0, 176-pounds.

Talik Keaton ($4,300) – Keaton remains just a fringe play here after appearing on just 31-percent of Marshall’s drop backs. He should play in the slot I’m guessing and remains listed as a starter. He is 6-1, 188-pounds. He caught nine balls for 140 yards last year.

Xavier Gaines ($4,600)Gaines might be the most dynamic playmaker among all pass catchers. He saw four targets in Week 1, and ran a route on 37.5-percent of Wells’ drop backs. Gaines was the team’s fourth leading receiver at the tight end position. He interestingly carries the ball a little bit too. He caught 27 balls for 306 yards last year. He is 6-2, 220-pounds

DefenseThey return 4 starters, but it doesn’t matter much.

South Florida vs Notre Dame

South Florida – 12 Team Total

Offense – Jeff Scott is the new coach of South Florida and he hired Charlie Weis Jr. and the offensive coordinator. Weis most recently coordinated the Florida Atlantic offense. That offense ran 77.5 plays per game (11th) and passed 48.8-percent of the time. This USF team returns two full time starters on an offensive line that ranked 126 out of 130 teams in sacks allowed last year. Playing anyone on this offense could be brutal.

Jordan McCloud ($5,500) – McCloud only threw 16 times in a blowout win over Citadel in Week 1. He also did not record any rush attempts. Last year, he only completed 55.4-percent of his passes for 1,429 yards, but he did showcase some dual threat ability with 283 yards on the ground. Notre Dame looks like a potential pass funnel here, so maybe McCloud sees elevated passing attempts.

Kelly Joiner ($5,100) – Joiner is listed as the clear starter on USF’s depth chart, but he will split time with Johnny Ford. He carried just eight times for 87 yards and a score before exiting. This probably becomes a time share to some degree, but it remains impossible to gather much about the true split after a contest against Citadel. Joiner remains a solid receiving back, who ran a route on 35.5-percent of drop backs in Week 1.

DeVontres Odoms-Dukes ($3,900) – Dukes will start for this Bulls team and he ran a route on 54.8-percent of USF drop backs in Week 1. He only saw three targets, but play volume projects to increase that raw number here.

Randall St. Felix ($4,600) – St Felix received four targets and ran a route on 74-percent of USF drop backs

Bryce Miller ($4,300) – Miller will play the slot for USF. He saw a team-leading five targets and played on 61-percent of drop backs.

Mitchell Brinkman ($3,300) – Brinkman will play tight end for USF. He only saw one target, but he played on 58-percent of USF drop backs.

Notre Dame – 36.5 Team Total

OffenseBrian Kelly returns as head coach, of course. Offensive coordinator – Notre Dame fired Chip Long and promoted Tommy Rees to offensive coordinator this offseason. Of course, Rees is a former player who finished 23-8 as a starting QB under Kelly. Rees sped up the tempo to 76 plays per game, which is a bit step up from last year. Rees has coached QB’s with Notre Dame since 2017 and he notably developed former 3* Ian Book in to the suitable starter he is today. Notre Dame ran 69.5 plays per game last year (78th) and passed 47.6-percent of the time. They return three-year starting quarterback Ian Book, but they lose his top three pass catchers. Positively, Notre Dame returns all five starting offensive linemen, who combine for 109 career starts.

Ian Book ($8,200) – Book is a 6-0, 206-pound decorated passer from Notre Dame. Now entering his third year as the starting signal caller, Book threw for 3,034 yards, 34 touchdowns, and only six interceptions last year. However, he loses his top three receiving options. Still, his returning player have experience and he provides dual-threat ability after rushing for 546 yards last year. He is a solid cash game option.

Kyren Williams ($8,400) – Notre Dame gave Kyren Williams the chance to earn feature back duties and he did that and more. He carried 19 times for 119 yards, while receiving six targets and another 193 receiving yards. Kyren Williams is a 5-9, 195-pound sophomore on Notre Dame’s roster.

Note: Former Northwestern superstar Bennett Skowronek left last week’s game with an injury and Notre Dame left him off the depth chart for Week 2. It doesn’t look like he will play.

Avery Davis ($5,100) – Notre Dame’s slot receiver, Davis only saw a pair of targets in Week 1 as he ran a route on 52-percent of Notre Dame’s drop backs. Last year, Davis caught 10 passes for 124 yards last year. Davis stands 5-11, 205-pounds and will rotate here.

Javon McKinley ($6,100) – After failing to register a target in Week 1, McKinley still looks like a locked in starter. He played on 80-percent of Notre Dame’s snaps and ran a route on 78-percent of Ian Book drop backs. He could be a nice bounce-back option, but his price remains elevated. McKinley caught 11 balls for 268 yards (24.4 yards per reception). McKinley stands 6-2, 215-pounds and will start at the Z-receiver position.

Joe Wilkins ($4,100) – Wilkins played 53-percent of Notre Dame’s snaps even with Skowronek starting this game. He ended up with five targets and running a route on 53-percent of drop backs. He is a solid price-adjusted play here.

Tommy Tremble ($3,700) – Tremble played 76-percent of Notre Dame’s snaps and tied for a team leading six targets. He is an outside consideration here after running a route on 55-percent of Book drop backs.

Note – Most expected Braden Lenzy and Lawrence Keys to start at wide receiver. Keys played 20 snaps, while Lenzy didn’t make any appearances on offense. Wilkins and McKinley remain the two top receivers here.

DefenseNotre Dame replaces a lot on their defensive line after losing Julian Okwara, Khalid Kareem, and Jamir Jones. They have just one returner with significant starting experience on the defensive line. They lose Asmar Bilal for linebackers, but they return two solid backers in Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah. For defensive backs, they lose Troy Pride, Alohi Gilman, and Jalen Elliott. However, they return Tariq Bracy at corner who played a lot last year, along with stud safety Kyle Hamilton. Shaun Crawford also returns as a starter. He should play safety and mix into nickel coverage. They also received transfers from Nick McCloud and Isaiah Pryor. McCloud is a former captain and 11-game starter with NC State. Pryor started seven games for Ohio State in 2018 at safety. Last week, Shawn Crawford got dismantled for over 100 yards allowed in his coverage.

Central Florida vs Georgia Tech

Central Florida – 36 Team Total

Josh Heupel remains the head coach of Central Florida so expect much of the same from this program. They ran 78.8 plays per game last year (6th) and passed 46.9-percent of the time (72nd). UCF is replacing some production on their offensive line, but they return four dudes who started at least one game in the past. They also added a solid grad transfer in Marcus Tatum to help here.

Dillon Gabriel ($7,400) – Gabriel is a returning starter at quarterback for UCF. He played highly efficient ball, averaging 281 yards per game on just 30.6 attempts per contest. He always remains a consideration with UCF’s high-octane offense.

Otis Anderson ($6,100) – The Knight’s backfield employs a committee, but efficiency keeps them all in play. Anderson remains the favorite for DFS. On top of his 726 rushing yards, Anderson received 41 targets last year in the pass game.

Greg McCrae ($4,900) – McCrae projects to push for the team lead in carries. He missed portions of last year, but finished with 529 yards on just 98 attempts.

Bentavious Thompson ($4,100) – Thompson finished the 2019 strong as a rusher. He finished with 604 yards on 92 carries and figures to play a chance of pace role.

Jacob Harris ($4,400) – Harris projects to replace Gabriel Davis. Harris will not assume Davis’ role, but he makes a fine value play here. He received 30 targets last year and posted 448 receiving yards.

Tre Nixon ($6,800) – He returns 80 targets and finished second on the team in receiving with 830 yards behind the since graduated Gabriel Davis. He remains the favorite for targets here.

Marlon Williams ($5,700) – Williams should man the slot again in 2020 after notching 717 receiving yards on 68 targets.

Jake Hescock ($4,000) – Hescock will play tight end and remains a pure dart throw.

Jaylon Robinson ($4,200) – Robinson is an Oklahoma transfer, who should see some time in the slot this year. He is a breakout candidate, but remains a pure dart throw here.

Georgia Tech – 27.5 Team Total

OffenseGeoff Collins remains the head coach of Georgia Tech after transitioning away from the triple option last year. Dave Patenaude is back after arguably the toughest job in college football. He was tasked with taking a triple option roster and molding it into a traditional offense. George Tech showed major improvements last week in this regard.

Last year, Georgia Tech threw the ball 40.3-percent of the time (102nd) and ran 63.0 plays per game (130th), which ranked dead last in football. Patenaude comes from Temple though. In his final season calling plays for the Owls, he ran 74.6 plays per game (44th) and passed 47.7-percent of the time (59th). However, this team will have another obstacle to overcome, replacing three offensive linemen. Right tackle is a Vanderbilt transfer, who made 32 starts in his career in Devin Cochran. Right guard is a Tennessee transfer in Ryan Johnson, who started 19 games. Center Kenny Cooper got hurt last year, but he started 19 games in his career at Georgia Tech. Left guard is Jack DeFoor, who started nine games last year. Left tackle Zach Quinney started 21 games in his career. We should continue to see improvements from this Georgia Tech team this year.

Jeff Sims ($5,300) –A four-star prospect and the number ten dual threat quarterback from the incoming 2020 class, Sims won the Georgia Tech starting quarterback job and immediately balled out. He completed 68.6-percent of his 35 pass attempts for 277 yards, one score, and a pair of interceptions. More importantly, he registered 64 yards with his legs on 13 carries. He is a strong price-adjusted dual threat there.

Jordan Mason ($5,600) – Mason led Georgia Tech in rushing last year with 899 yards on 290 carries. Mason stands 6-1, 218-pounds, but this is a pure time share. Mason handled 14 carries for 55 yards in the opener, while playing on 44-percent of Georgia Tech’s run plays.

Jamious Griffin ($3,900) – Griffin carried 37 times for 279 yards last year. Griffin stands 5-10, 218-pounds, but he played a larger role than expected. Griffin handled nine carries and played on 42-percent of Georgia Tech’s run snaps, forming a committee with Mason.

Jahmyr Gibbs ($) – Gibbs didn’t handle any carries, but he is 5-11, 201-pounds and remains the crown jewel of Georgia Tech’s recruiting class. He is a four-star prospect and the eighth-best running back in this class.

Jalen Camp ($4,000) – Camp is a bounce back candidate for Georgia Tech this week after sweeing six targets and running a route on 75-percent of Sims’ drop backs. This mark led the team. The 6-2, 220-pound veteran only appeared in four games last year before going down with injury. He has 7 catches for 134 yards in that span. He will start for Georgia Tech with big games coming in the near future.

Ahmarean Brown ($4,300) – Brown only saw four targets last week, but he led Georgia Tech in receiving as a freshman last year with 21 catches, 396 yards and seven scores on a team-leading 47 targets. He is 5-10, 170-pounsd and should play in the slot. He also ran a route on 66-percent of Sims’ drop backs, which ranked second on the team.

Malachi Carter ($4,700) – At first glance, Carter looks like the top receiver for Georgia Tech after receiving eight targets. However, he ran a route on just 57-percent of Sims’ drop backs. That mark fell below Camp, Brown, and even tight end Deveney. Carter caught 16 balls for 240 yards. He will mix in with Sanders. Carter stands 6-3, 200-pounds.

Dylan Deveney ($3,200) – The tight end Deveney is a consideration as a complete punt play. He only saw three targets, but he ran a route on 63.6-percent of Georgia Tech drop backs. This is a worthwhile consideration as a punt play.

DefenseGeorgia Tech’s defense was horrible last year, but they return their top five tacklers and significant experience at all levels. They return most of their defensive line, both corners (who are long), and a pair of safeties with experience. This team overall is on the come up.

Austin Peay vs Cincinnati

Austin Peay – 9 Team Total

Austin Peay is now 0-2 after losing to Central Arkansas and 55-0 to Pitt where they decided to shorten quarters in the second half.

Offense – Austin Peay runs some interesting formations 12-personnel or 21-personnel. Because of that, only two wide receivers are in play. They still pass about two-thirds of the time, which is mostly out of necessity. The Govenors pass about 62-percent of the time, but they average 64.5 plays per game through two contests.

Jeremiah Oatsvall ($4,700) – Oatsvall is completing a horrific 42-percent of his passes. He also has 40-yards as a rusher in a pair of games, making him a fade in the run game.

Brian Snead ($4,100) – Snead has 21 carries and 52 yards on the ground through two games in this time-share

CJ Evans ($3,800) – Evans has 14 carries and 102 yards on the ground through two games in a Governor’s time share.

Baniko Harley ($3,800) – Harley leads this team with 15 targets, seven receptions, and 122 receiving yards through two games. That stat line just won’t play in GPP’s or cash.

Eugene Minter – Minter is tied for second on this team in targets, but he isn’t in the player pool

Cincinnati – 43.5 Team Total

Offense – Luke Fickell is still the head coach for Cincinnati, with Mike Denbrock as his offensive coordinator. This team passed just 40-percent of the time last year (106th) and ran 73.3 plays per game (42nd). Cincinnati returns four starters on the offensive line. Cincinnati dealt with injuries last year, so a couple of these guys started out of necessity. They also added Michigan transfer James Hudson, who sat out last year. He will play left tackle and should help.

Desmond Ridder ($8,700) – Ridder is another low-upside option at the quarterback position after he attempted just 25 pass attempts per game last year. He offers some ability as a dual threat, who registered 650 yards on the ground. He never eclipsed 300 yards as a passer, but he bested 100 rushing yards on three occasions.

Gerrid Doaks ($7,600) – Michael Warren leaves this team and now Gerrid Doaks projects to lead this team in rushing. Doaks carried 100 times for 526 yards, while adding five receptions. The question remains, how much does he play?

Jerome Ford ($5,700) – Jerome Ford is an Alabama transfer, who received immediate eligibility with Cincinnati. He figures to play a time share role this year and will certainly receive cracks here.

Alec Pierce ($7,900) – Pierce saw 58 targets last year. He led this team in receiving with 652 yards. He averaged 17.6 yards per reception. He should lead this team in receiving, but Cincinnati likely doesn’t need to air it out.

Jayshon Jackson ($5,100) – Jackson saw 27 targets last year. He projects to start for this team after receiving 171 receiving yards last year.

Michael Young ($5,600) – Michael Young looks likely to start here. He is the Notre Dame transfer, who totaled six catches for 21 yards. He probably bust, but honestly anyone could rack up a big game here.

Bruno Labelle ($5,000) – Labelle only recorded nine yards last year, but he should start here. He remains a pure dart, with cheaper options readily available.

Citadel vs Clemson

Citadel – 5.5 Team Total

Offense – Citadel runs a weird offense too. They often run four-wide receivers, but they use a full back sometimes too. I don’t expect much of anything here. They just lost to South Florida 27-6 and ran 52 run plays despite their clear talent deficiencies. They passed 29-percent of the time.

Brandon Rainey ($4,600) – Rainey completed 22-percent of his passes against USF in their debut. He did rush 18 times for 71 yards, but that doesn’t seem replicable against Clemson.

Logan Braucht ($3,000) – Braucht carried 13 times for 31 yards against USF

Raleigh Webb ($3,300) – Webb couldn’t secure any of his team-leading five targets against USF.

Ryan McCarthy ($3,600) – McCarthy also saw five targets, securing two for 44 yards.

Keefe White ($3,700) – Keefe also drew five targets. He secured two for 40 yards.

Clemson – 52 Team Total

Dabo Swinney is the head coach and Tony Elliott is the offensive coordinator. Clemson is so efficient that it doesn’t matter what they do. They ran 73.4 plays per game last year (40th) and passed 48.6-percent of the time (60th). Clemson just demolished Wake Forest 37-13

Trevor Lawrence ($9,700) – Lawrence completed 78.6-percent of his passes for 351 yards and a score. His salary is prohibitive in a game where he might not attempt 20 passes. He needs touchdown efficiency to pay off.

Travis Etienne ($9,200) – Etienne carried 17 times for 102 yards and added three receptions for 47 yards out of the backfield. He is a strong play here based on efficiency alone.

Lyn-J Dixon ($5,600) – Lyn-J Dixon allegedly will return from injury. He is battling his way back from a knee injury suffered during camp. Swinney also said they will play it cautious with Dixon. It doesn’t make sense to play him here. Don’t expect a large workload even if active.

Darian Rencher ($4,400) – Rencher carried 7 times for 34 yards last week in a change of pace roll. He could see elevated opportunity in this spot against Citadel

Chez Mellusi ($3,000) & Michael Dukes ($3,000) – Both depth running backs didn’t travel last week. This is only noteworthy because of the opponent. Both remain questionable here.

Demarkcus Bowman ($3,800) – Bowman carried six times for 22 yards and could see more opportunities here.

Kobe Pace ($3,000) – Pace carried six times for 22 times as well and could see more opportunities.

Joseph Ngata ($7,400) – Ngata received three targets in the season debut and ran a route on 47.5-percent of Lawrence drop backs. His cost remains prohibitive.

Cornell Powell ($6,400) – Powell received two targets in the season debut and finished with just 15 yards. He also ran a route on 47.5-percent of Clemson drop backs.

Amari Rodgers ($8,300) – Rodgers will start in the slot. He led Clemson with seven targets and 90 receiving yards in the season debut. He ran a route on 60-percent of drop backs.

Braden Galloway ($4,500) – Galloway plays tight end and saw six targets last week. He also ran a route on 47.5-percent of drop backs.

Frank Ladson ($5,000) – He saw a pair of targets. He is a player with buzz, so the other backups are probably better plays based on ownership alone. EJ Wililams and Brandon Spector are the other names on the two deep.


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Author
Matt Gajewski graduated from the University of Wisconsin with a degree in Economics. Matt has worked in the fantasy industry for the past four years, focusing on DFS and Sports Betting. Matt specializes in NFL, College Football, College Basketball, XFL, and MMA. With GPP victories across the major sports, Matt also qualified for the DraftKings 2020 Sports Betting Championship and won a seat to the College Basketball Tourney Mania final.

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