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College Football Oct. 11 (FREE): Friday Betting Pick 3 and DFS

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Ben Rasa goes over college football odds for the three-game slate with CFB betting analysis and CFB DFS Picks for Friday's action.

Another Friday slate is upon us and we have three games to breakdown. The season is rolling along and we are in conference play across the CFB landscape. Looking at this three-game slate, we see a few ranked teams in play and only one spread that looks to have major blowout risk. This article is going to be a hybrid and will touch upon the games in general, the upcoming Friday night CFB DFS slate and the betting markets for the teams in action. Each section will highlight a few names, teams, or games to keep an eye on for this three-game Friday night slate in CFB.

Games on Slate

We have a three-game slate to breakdown, and as I mentioned, these games are mostly expected to stay close. We have one ACC, one Mountain West, and one PAC-12 matchup, so we get a taste of several conferences across the country.

Virginia at Miami (FL) -2.5, O/U 43.5

This is an ACC matchup between the 4-1 Virginia Cavaliers and the 2-3 Miami Hurricanes. Virginia has been a surprise and may be the biggest threat to Clemson running away with the conference. On the other side, Miami just lost to a Virginia Tech team who was in turmoil and the pressure is mounting already in Coral Gables.

Virginia is a well-rounded team, but quarterback Bryce Perkins is the clear leader and makes that offense go. The dual threat quarterback has eight touchdown passes so far this season while adding two more on the ground. He is going to test this Miami defense who allowed Virginia Tech’s new quarterback to hang 42 points on them last week.

On Miami’s side, they are going with N’Kosi Perry at quarterback, so he will get his chance to build on his massive relief effort after coming in against Virginia Tech. Perry threw for 422 yards against the Hokies and that type of effort will give them a chance for a big win against a ranked Virginia team. The over/under sits at just 43.5, so the points will be at a premium and Miami has to limit the turnovers if they are going to have a chance.

Colorado St -3.5 at New Mexico, O/U 66.5

This game looks ugly as 1-5 Colorado State travels to New Mexico to take on the Lobos. New Mexico sits at 2-3 on the season, but both teams have issues on both sides of the ball. First off is Colorado State, who lost their starting quarterback to injury so that was a major blow to the offensive attack. Add that to a defense who cannot stop the run and it is no surprise to see this over/under north of 65.

New Mexico is a triple option attack so that means not a lot of passing yards for whoever is under center. However, if they get it going on the ground it can be a long day for opposing defenses as the Lobos set the pace. So far this season, they’ve beaten FCS Sam Houston State and rival New Mexico State, both of who aren’t exactly top-end competition. They will need to be better here and find some stability at quarterback if they want to hold serve at home on Friday.

Colorado at Oregon -20.5, O/U 58

This is the game that is expected to get out of hand as Colorado travels to Eugene to take on the Ducks. Colorado is a decent team, but they are banged up and not of Oregon’s caliber, so it could be a long night for them. Plus, the game is in Oregon, which is one of the tougher places to play in the entire country.

Oregon has rebounded nicely after that heartbreaking loss to Auburn and still has their sights set on finding a way into the playoffs. Truth be told, they will need a lot of help, but they still are a dangerous team with a ton of talent. Quarterback Justin Herbert is starting to get his weapons back on the outside and he has the best offensive line in the country keeping him clean. Last week, they looked a little sluggish at home against Cal, but they still were able to pull away in the second half despite the lackluster effort.

On the Colorado side, they are walking wounded and their All-American receiver Laviska Shenault is currently questionable to suit up. He joins 11 other Buffaloes with a Questioanble tag, and even though college football has terrible injury reporting, it is clear they aren’t playing with a fully healthy squad. Last week, Colorado came up short at home to Arizona and dropped to 3-2 on the year.

DFS Plays

QB Sheriron Jones, New Mexico – 6.1k DraftKings, 8.4k FanDuel

We have to make sure head coach Bob Davies decides to roll with Jones as New Mexico has been using two quarterbacks in some instances. Granted, Jones was fantastic last week against San Jose State while fellow quarterback Tevaka Tuioti was dismal, so it is hard to imagine it not being Jones. Then again, earlier in the season the results were flipped, so make sure to keep an eye on the news before lock of this game. Regardless of who is under center, it’s a nice spot for New Mexico to rack up some yards from the quarterback position

New Mexico runs a triple option offense, which means the quarterbacks need to rack up the yards on the ground. Neither quarterback is going to have the ability to throw for a ton of yards, but the rushing upside has me interested here. Colorado State is 120th in rushing yards allowed per attempt and that is a problem when playing against this type of offense. I expect New Mexico to have success running the ball and whoever gets the nod at quarterback could be in line for a monster day.

WR Joe Reed, Virginia – 7k DraftKings, 8.6k FanDuel

Reed is the go-to option on the outside for Perkins and has found the end zone in four out of five game this season. He comes into this game with a healthy 32/322/4 and also added a kickoff return to the 2019 resume, so we know he can score from anywhere.

Miami’s pass defense is average at best (77th) and we have seen lesser offensive attacks than Virginia’s move the ball on them. The over/under in this game isn’t ideal so I don’t anticipate a shootout, but that doesn’t mean Reed cannot have a big game. Look for him to continue the touchdown streak and receive 10-plus targets against the Miami defense that will struggle to slow him. .

** Make sure to head over and check out our AwesemoOdds weekly show Friday mornings 11:30 EST that breaks down the upcoming weeks NFL and College schedules from a betting perspective **

Games against the Spread

My Pick : Oregon -20.5

A pretty poor effort against California was surprising as Oregon was coming off a bye and California had their backup quarterback in play. Now they get another home game against a Colorado defense that isn’t near the caliber of Cal’s. Oregon is going to need some style points in addition to a lot of help if they have any dream of getting back into the playoff picture.

As I mentioned earlier, Colorado has double-digit guys with questionable tags and that may result in massive losses at key positions. The secondary has been hit hard and going against a top-end quarterback like Herbert could be a recipe for disaster. Add in that the Ducks looked pretty bad against California and we may see a refocused effort in this one. Although the spread is hanging around three touchdowns, I’m willing to lay the points with Oregon at home in a game I think gets out of hand.

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Good Luck everyone!

*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing support@awesemo.com.

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