Week 14 of the College Football season is upon us. Each week, I’ll take a deep dive into the matchups and break down the games from a CFB DFS perspective. From the data, we can pinpoint the games that we see as being the top fantasy-point producers on the slate and who should be in line for the majority of the offensive output. Thus, leading us to finding the best CFB DFS picks for both DraftKings and FanDuel Week 14 daily fantasy lineups.
Week 14 CFB DFS Picks & Matchup Breakdowns | DraftKings + FanDuel
Ohio State vs Michigan State
Ohio State CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 76.2
Pass Rate: 41.0%
Justin Fields ($10,000) – Heisman hopeful Fields finds himself priced above any other player on the DraftKings main slate. Fields currently averages 301.5 passing yards passing per game on just 28.3 attempts. A decent dual threat, Fields also has 135 cumulative yards rushing this season. Fields has already reached 300 yards passing in three of four games this year. While stacking Fields remains cost prohibitive, he has one of the best ceiling/floor combinations on the slate.
Master Teague ($8,300) – Pulling away from Trey Sermon ($3,500), Teague has now out-carried Sermon in three of four games this year. Teague averages 19 opportunities per game and 95 yards on the ground alone. With Ohio State favored by three scores again, Teague should find ample opportunities on the ground. Even Sermon probably enters the punt conversation as a player averaging 12.3 touches per game just above the minimum price.
Garrett Wilson ($8,800) – Playing in his second season at Ohio State, Wilson has emerged as the alpha receiver. Wilson averages 9.5 targets per game in his last four contests and an absurd 128 receiving yards on the season. The only problem is cost when stacking with Fields
Chris Olave ($7,100) – Olave provides a slightly less expensive stacking partner to pair with Fields without sacrificing much upside. Olave averages 7.5 targets per game in his last four contests and 97 yards receiving per game for season. With a 28% target share in the offense, Olave remains worth a look.
Jameson Williams ($3,100) – Williams continues to split time with Jaxson Smith-Njigba and Ohio State’s WR3. Williams continues to run more routes, but he hasn’t been targeted more than two times in any individual game. He is simply a dart throw in Week 14.
Michigan State CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 71.2
Pass Rate: 49.4%
Rocky Lombardi ($5,100) – After a hot start to the season, Lombardi has cooled significantly in recent weeks. On the year, Lombardi averages 211 yards per game on 29.4 attempts. Lombardi isn’t much of a dual threat with 48 yards, despite only taking four sacks. The quarterback showed his ceiling with 300 yards passing in each of Michigan State’s first two games. Since then, he has totaled 415 yards in his three subsequent games. Ohio State has struggled to defend opposing passing attacks, allowing 491 yards to Michael Penix and 281 to Sean Clifford.
Connor Heyward ($4,600) – With Jordan Simmons missing Michigan State’s most recent game, Heyward led the backfield with 24 carries. However, Michigan State played from ahead in that contest, which seems unlikely here. Heyward, Simmons, and Elijah Collins ($3,000) are all low-upside, dart throws.
Jalen Nailor ($4,500) – Nailor remains the alpha in Michigan State’s offense with a 26 % target share. He also leads the team with 379 yards receiving. Coming at a cheap price, Nailor remains worth a look as a run-back in Ohio State stacks.
Jayden Reed ($4,300) – Only trailing Nailor by three targets on the year, Reed also deserves a look as an Ohio State run back. The Western Michigan transfer runs out of the slot and ranks third on the team in receiving with 252 yards.
Texas A&M vs Auburn
Texas A&M CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 67.1
Pass Rate: 47.5%
Kellen Mond ($7,700) – Former dual threat and current pocket passer, Kellen Mond averages 225 yards passing per game on 31 attempts. Texas A&M continues to play some of the slowest football in the country, depressing Mond’s overall play volume. Unlike previous seasons, Mond has ignored his scrambling ability with just 139 yards rushing on the year. Mond also brings extra volatility with a pair of 300-yard passing games and another three below 200 yards. Auburn remains stout against the pass, allowing 237 yards per game.
Isaiah Spiller ($7,600) – With Ainias Smith ($5,500) moving to slot receiver, Spiller has completely dominated Texas A&M’s backfield. Spiller averages 20.4 opportunities per game and continues to see elevated work in the pass game. Spiller has four targets in each of his last two games, while averaging 111 yards per game as a pure rusher. He is a strong option in the higher price tier.
Jalen Wydermyer ($5,600) – Despite playing tight end, Wydermyer leads Texas A&M in targets. Playing slow football, Wydermyer only averages seven targets per game in his last four contests. He will play on almost every down in Week 14.
Hezekiah Jones ($3,600) – Jones returned from injury to play his every-down role within Texas A&M’s offense. He also has eight targets in two of three games since returning from injury. Coming at a cheap price point, Jones looks like the preferred pass catcher in the offense.
Chase Lane ($5,400) – Lane has battled injury this season but was expected to practice early in the week. His status hasn’t been updated, so monitor closely. Lane typically plays the boundary and averages 4.9 targets per game this year. Smith plays the slot, but DraftKings listed him at running back, making him unplayable.
Auburn CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 72.5
Pass Rate: 48.3%
Bo Nix ($6,500) – Making strides as a player, Nix averages an efficient 232 yards passing on 32.9 pass attempts per game. Nix also provides a solid rushing floor with 283 cumulative yards rushing on the year. Nix still only has one 300-yard passing game this year, but he has only fallen below the 200 mark on two occasions. He provides a high enough floor to target this week.
Tank Bigsby ($6,000) – Bigsby was called day-to-day by Gus Malzahn. Auburn seldom offers actionable injury updates, so watching Bigsby’s pregame warmup is crucial. This is even more important this week, because DJ Williams ($3,500) is also questionable heading into the game. Auburn deployed Mark-Antony Richards ($3,100) and Shaun Shivers ($3,700) in a committee with the other backs injured. As underdogs in a low-scoring environment, this isn’t a situation to try and decipher.
Seth Williams ($5,400) – Underpriced weekly, Williams enters Week 14 averaging 8.3 targets per game in his last four contests. He also leads Auburn with 579 yards receiving on the year. The future NFL receiver remains worth a look here.
Anthony Schwartz ($5,900) – Confusingly priced above Williams, Schwartz has recorded fewer targets (71) and less receiving yards (565) than Williams this season. Schwartz still provides a massive ceiling, but Williams remains the superior price-adjusted play. Eli Stove ($4,500) also deserves a look as the third receiving option on this team. He averages 5.5 targets per game in his last four contests.
Texas vs Kansas State
Texas CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 75.8
Pass Rate: 51.0%
Sam Ehlinger ($9,100) – With Texas embracing a run-heavy approach, Ehlinger’s passing yardage average has dropped to 266 yards per game on 35 attempts. This coincides with a drop in pass rate down to 51.0%. Ehlinger provides excellent dual threat ability and actually ranks first on the team with 388 yards rushing this year. This is despite taking 22 sacks already this season. Ehlinger has eclipsed 300 yards in just one of eight games this season, Texas’ opener against UTEP.
Bijan Robinson ($5,700) – With Keaontay Ingram leaving the program, Texas may have a somewhat usable backfield this weekend. Last week, Robinson out-carried Roschon Johnson ($4,100) 16-4. Already averaging 11.4 touches per game, Robinson’s workload should increase down the stretch. With Kansas State’s defense allowing 160 yards rushing per game, Robinson actually enters the Week 14 DFS conversation
Joshua Moore ($4,700) – Despite missing a game with injury, Moore continues to pace Texas in targets and routes in 2020. Moore has 45 targets this year and ran more routes than any other receiver in last week’s game. Coming in cheaper than Eagles, Moore looks like the superior pass catcher to target.
Brennan Eagles ($5,800) – Despite seeing 15 combined targets in Texas’ two most recent games, Eagles still continues to work behind Moore. Eagles ran a route on 73% of Texas drop backs, compared to 81% for Moore.
Jake Smith ($4,900) – Texas’ primary slot receiver, Smith began to cede work to Jordan Whittington ($4,300), who recently made his return from injury. Smith out-targeted Whittington 6-4, but this situation remains tumultuous with Moore and Eagles playing more full-time roles within the offense.
Kansas State CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 60.0
Pass Rate: 42.0%
Will Howard ($5,300) – Filling in for Skylar Thompson, Howard continues to keep the game manager seat warm. Howard averages an inept 125 yards passing per game on just 18 attempts. Kansas State remains one of the slowest teams in the country with 60 plays per game. Usually crossing them out of the player pool provides the safest option. However, Howard remains cheap and provides some rushing ability with 285 cumulative yards. He is still better off ignored.
Deuce Vaughn ($6,600) – Kansas State’s primary running back, Vaughn provides a solid touch floor with 15.7 opportunities per game. However, he lacks scoring upside given Kansas State’s slow offense. With a 21.5-point implied team total, spending the $6,600 elsewhere makes sense. As a team running 60.9 plays per game, Kansas State doesn’t have a pass catcher averaging north of 43 receiving yards per game. All pass catchers are dart throws at best.
Oklahoma State vs TCU
Oklahoma State CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 79.4
Pass Rate: 40.5%
Spencer Sanders ($6,500) – After battling injury to begin the year, Sanders has provided a spark to the Oklahoma State offense. He already has 169 yards with his legs and importantly feeds his top receiver Tylan Wallace. Sanders still doesn’t possess much of a ceiling with just one career 300-yard passing game and two 100-yard rushing games. With Oklahoma State employing a run-first approach, Sanders looks like a dart throw.
Chuba Hubbard ($6,500) – Hubbard allegedly aggravated his existing ankle injury prior to Week 13, causing him to miss the game. Similarly, LD Brown ($4,300) entered Week 13 as a game time decision. He even suited up for the game, but failed to play as he also battles injury. Based on this information, Brown looks more likely to suit up than Hubbard. If either suits up, the backfield likely turns to a timeshare.
Dezmon Jackson ($6,200) – The backfield likely turns to a time share because of a dominant performance from Jackson last week. Jackson turned 36 carries into 235 yards rushing and three scores. With such a positive performance, Jackson should play a role for this team down the stretch. Hubbard likely regrets returning to school at this point.
Tylan Wallace ($7,300) – The only viable pass catcher in the Cowboy’s offense, Wallace holds a 33% target share and averages 112 yards receiving per game. Dillon Stoner’s target share comes in at 16.7%, but he averages a neutered 29 receiving yards. Wallace is the only pass catcher worth targeting in this spot.
TCU CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 72.0
Pass Rate: 43.9%
Max Duggan ($7,500) – A DFS darling throughout his career, Duggan enters the Week 14 main slate with an elevated price tag. TCU has struggled with efficiency this year, getting off just 72 plays per game. This has caused Duggan to attempt 25.4 pass attempts per contest with 172 yards. Duggan’s 409 yards rushing keep him in play, but better price-adjusted plays exist at lower dollar amounts. Duggan remains reliant on this rushing production, because he has fallen short of 200 yards passing in more than half of his games this year.
Zach Evans ($4,000) – Outside of a naked Duggan, DFS lineups shouldn’t contain many TCU players. The team rotates five running backs when all are healthy. They also don’t have a single pass catcher averaging over 41 yards receiving per game. Taye Barber ($5,100) remains laughably priced.
Nebraska vs Purdue
Nebraska CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 70.4
Pass Rate: 43.2%
Adrian Martinez ($7,200) – After a positive performance against Iowa, Martinez looks like the most likely option to start in Week 14 as Nebraska continues to ping pong between quarterbacks. Martinez completed 18 of 20 passes for 174 yards against Iowa, while turning in 28 yards as a rusher. Martinez possesses excellent dual threat ability and averages 4.6 yards per carry throughout his career. While his leash is short, he does provide upside in Nebraska’s offense.
Dedrick Mills ($5,100) – “Fingers crossed Mills can suit up against Purdue.” Straight from Scott Frost, Mills still looks questionable at best for this weekend’s game. Without Mills, Nebraska rotates Marvin Scott, Rahmir Johnson, and even Wan’Dale Robinson in the backfield.
Wan’Dale Robinson ($6,900) – Nebraska’s only viable pass catcher received a price hike ahead of this weekend’s game. Robinson boasts a 28.4% target share within the offense and handles a handful of carries every game. Still only averaging eight targets per contest in his last four games, Robinson’s price is a lot to pay here. Behind Robinson, no other target receives consistent volume.
Austin Allen ($3,400) – Allen got banged up last week, but reportedly is good to go here. He is the second-most targeted pass catcher and may be worth a look with Nebraska’s 29.5 implied team total.
Purdue CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 71.2
Pass Rate: 62.6%
Jack Plummer ($7,900) – With Aidan O’Connell going down with an injury, Plummer stepped up as Purdue’s starting quarterback. Purdue’s didn’t change whatsoever with Plummer in the lineup. He currently averages 39 attempts per game for 302 yards passing. Throwing the ball 62.6% of the time, Plummer will back-door his way into 300-yard bonuses. Another positive is that he isn’t a negative rusher, giving him an added floor that O’Connell did not possess.
Zander Horvath ($8,400) – Horvath draws a phenomenal Week 14 matchup against a Nebraska run defense allowing 204 yards rushing per game. Horvath out-carried King Doerue ($3,200) 19-6 last weekend and should remain the head of a committee. Horvath also brings an elite pass catching role with 28 targets already this season. In fact, he is averaging 6.5 targets per game in his last four contests. Horvath remains a solid, yet expensive option here.
Rondale Moore ($6,800) – Purdue’s alpha wide receiver when healthy, Moore has 28 target in two games this year. Still absurdly priced, Moore is a near cash game lock on this slate. He also averages 96 receiving yards per game since his return.
David Bell ($7,500) – An impressive sophomore receiver, Bell is simply too expensive within the offense. Moore has sapped his ceiling and he only has 15 total targets in the two games Moore played. He makes a contrarian leverage play off of Moore
Milton Wright ($3,900) – Amad Anderson entered the transfer portal and Jared Sparks opted out of the season. This should potentially narrow the wide receiver rotation. Wright has seven targets combined in the last two games and likely functions as a seldom-used WR3 for this offense.
Georgia Tech vs North Carolina State
Georgia Tech CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 70.8
Pass Rate: 42.1%
Jeff Sims ($7,300) – Freshman four-star quarterback, Sims continues to play through growing pains in 2020. Sims averages 25 pass attempts and 186 passing yards per game as Georgia Tech continues to transition away from the triple option offense. Sims provides most of his upside as a rusher. His 385 yards currently rank second on the team and he is fresh off a 100-yard rushing performance. However, at $7,300, Sims remains a dicey option with so much of his production coming on the ground.
Jordan Mason ($4,200) – Jahmyr Gibbs left the field in the second quarter and returned to the sideline in the second half on crutches. This set up former lead back Mason for 21 carries. Heading into the season, most pegged Mason as the team’s leading rusher prior to injury. Now working ahead of Dontae Smith, Mason finds himself setup for a sizeable workload at a cheap price.
Jalen Camp ($4,300) – Georgia Tech hasn’t supported any viable pass catchers despite their transition to a more traditional offense. Camp averages 4.1 targets per game, which ranks just ahead of Malachi Carter (3.9) and Ahmarean Brown (3.0). None average more than 40 receiving yards per game.
North Carolina State CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 72.7
Pass Rate: 48.3%
Bailey Hockman ($7,400) – With Devin Leary injured earlier this season, NC State turned the reigns over to game manager Hockman. Hockman currently averages 186 passing yards per game on 24 attempts. NC State has slowly transitioned to a run-first team with Hockman’s struggles. Positively, Hockman did eclipsed 300 passing yards for the first time in his career against Syracuse last week. However, betting on Hockman’s larger sample and fading at this price looks like a worthwhile strategy.
Zonovan Knight ($6,300) – With NC State embracing the run, Knight and Ricky Person ($4,300) have emerged for productive outings in recent weeks. Person has actually out-carried Knight this season (127-124), but Knight has four more touches overall. Knight remains the more efficient runner, but this is a direct timeshare. That makes Person a more interesting play in a matchup against a Georgia Tech defense allowing 186 rushing yards per game.
Thayer Thomas ($5,900) – Emerging as Hockman’s favorite target, Thomas has 22 targets in his last two healthy games. Typically a low volume passing attack, NC State likely struggles to support multiple pass catchers on a week-to-week basis. However, the Wolfpack enter the slate with a 39.5 team total. This also puts Emeka Emezie ($4,900), Devin Carter ($3,700), and receiving tight end Cary Angeline ($4,100) in play as potential dart throws in the offense. All continue to run a route on a majority of drop backs within the offense.
Syracuse vs Notre Dame
Syracuse CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 62.8
Pass Rate: 54.6%
Rex Culpepper ($4,900) – With Tommy DeVito and JaCobian Morgan both injured, Culpepper will draw another start. Syracuse has allowed 40 sacks already this season (maybe why so many quarterbacks are hurt), completely torpedoing the offense. No matter who starts, this is a situation to avoid.
Sean Tucker ($4,300) – Despite a relatively efficient season as Syracuse’s lead back, Tucker remains a tough sell on a team implied for nine points. Tucker averages 16 touches per game, but carries almost no scoring equity.
Taj Harris ($5,700) – Syracuse’s lone receiver of consequence, Harris pops up for monster games on occasion. One of those games occurred last week, with Harris handling 20 targets. Still, Harris averages 74 receiving yards per game and carries very little scoring equity in a slow, low-totaled game.
Anthony Queeley ($3,200) – Queeley runs a lot of routes and averages 5.8 targets per game in his last four contests. However, he averages just 33.6 receiving yards per game and carries almost zero upside.
Notre Dame CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 74.1
Pass Rate: 40.5%
Ian Book ($9,300) – Priced up after three straight ceiling games against Clemson, Boston College, and North Carolina, Book finds himself in a cupcake matchup against Syracuse. Notre Dame typically plays slow, run-first football when they possess a lead. Book still only averages 27.9 attempts and 233 passing yards per game, making him a tough sell at an elevated price tag. His rushing upside is solid with 412 yards this year.
Kyren Williams ($9,200) – An impressive newcomer to the Notre Dame offense, Williams averages 20.9 touches per game and ranks third overall on the team in targets (28). Williams also averages 99.8 rushing yards per game and finds himself facing a Syracuse defense allowing 202 yards on the ground to opposing offense. The only concern remains volume as Notre Dame has rested Williams in blowouts in the past.
Bennett Skowronek ($6,200) – The Northwestern transfer enters Week 12 with an elevated price tag after Notre Dame played a series of competitive games. Averaging 5.3 target per game in his last four contests, Skowronek still never saw more than seven targets in any individual game. With the same holding true for Javon McKinley ($6,000), paying all the way down for athletic freshman tight end Michael Mayer ($3,900) makes the most sense. Mayer continues to run a route on the majority of Notre Dame drop backs.
Florida vs Tennessee
Florida CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 69.8
Pass Rate: 53.6%
Kyle Trask ($9,600) – Another Heisman hopeful, Trask continues to dazzle with 351 passing yards on 34 attempts as his weekly average this season. Unlike Fields, Trask’s pass catcher come in at slightly more affordable prices, making this a favorable environment to stack. Trask provides just as much upside as Fields as a passer. However, his dual threat ability is nearly non-existent with most of his 88 rushing yards coming in a single game.
Dameon Pierce ($5,200) – Playing in a three-man committee, Pierce averages 11.6 opportunities per game in Florida’s offense. With Florida scoring so many points, Pierce occasionally pops up for a big game. However, Malik Davis ($3,900) and Nay’Quan Wright ($3,600) will continue to play roles in this backfield making it a dicey proposition.
Kyle Pitts ($7,800) – College Football’s top tight end returned with a bang last week. Now appropriately priced, Pitts should continue to function as Trask’s top pass catcher. What Pitts lacks in volume; he makes up for in efficiency with 85.5 receiving yards per game. He is the premier stacking partner with Trask.
Kadarius Toney ($6,700) – Another solid, semi-affordable stacking option with Pitts, Toney averages 6.5 target per game in his last four contests. Fortunately, the Gators use Toney in a variety of ways including as a ball carrier on occasion. With upside in both phases of the game, Toney is one of the best one-off plays on the slate.
Trevon Grimes ($5,200) – Behind Pitts and Toney, Florida rotates pass catchers to some degree. Grimes ranks third on the team in targets (35) and receiving yards (358) making him the preferred ancillary pass catcher of the group.
Tennessee CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 70.6
Pass Rate: 43.1%
Harrison Bailey ($4,500) – Tennessee refuses to commit to a starting quarterback despite Jarrett Guarantano playing at a high school level. Rumors also continue to swirl that Guarantano could be in isolation due to Covid-19. Pruitt did explain that Bailey will play at some capacity this weekend. Either way, the Tennessee passing attack has been one to avoid this season. Unless clarity emerges or Bailey starts, Tennessee quarterback can be ignored.
Eric Gray ($7,300) – With Ty Chandler ($3,700) battling injury in recent weeks, Gray emerged as Tennessee’s lead ball carrier. Gray now has carry-counts of 31 and 22 in back to back games for Tennessee. He also has at least 19 in each of his last four game, putting his season average at 22.3 per game. While the volume is elite, Gray finds himself as a three-score underdog on a team implied for 22 points.
Josh Palmer ($4,900) – With Tennessee struggling to settle on a quarterback, all pass catchers are probably unusable. However, if testing the waters, Palmer leads the team in targets (43) and receiving yards (331). He averages 5.8 targets per game in his last four contest. The next most targeted receiver is Brandon Johnson (23 targets).
Indiana vs Wisconsin
Indiana CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 72.2
Pass Rate: 53.6%
Jack Tuttle ($5,800) – Young star Michael Penix tore his ACL, putting Tuttle in position to start for Indiana. Tuttle initially committed to Utah as a four-star prospect, but has now failed to win starting jobs at two colleges. Tuttle was recruited as a pro-style quarterback and Indiana throws the ball 53.6% of the time. This makes him worth a GPP flier, despite his questionable track record.
Stevie Scott ($6,900) – Turning in his first ceiling performance of the season, Scott enters a difficult matchup against a stout Badgers’ defense. Scott averages 22.2 opportunities per game, but an inefficient 67.5 rushing yards on the ground. Interestingly, Tim Baldin ($3,600) popped up for 16 carries himself last week. While Indiana handled Maryland with ease, this is a situation to monitor moving forward. Either way, Indiana is a 14-point road underdog with a 15.75 implied team total.
Ty Fryfogle ($6,500) – Coming off a series of monster games, Fryfogle only saw two targets in Indiana’s most recent game. Holding a 26.5% target share this year, Fryfogle has actually been out-targeted by Whop Philyor 59-57 this year. Still, Fryfogle holds a sizeable edge in receiving yards (644-367). Still an elite weapon in the offense, Fryfogle’s early season success cannot be ignored.
Whop Phiylor ($4,400) – The oft-targeted slot receiver, Philyor enters this contest with a discounted price. Philyor averages 10.5 targets per game in Indiana’s four most recent contests making him a solid price-adjusted play. Still, the uncertainty with Tuttle at the helm renders him a volatile asset.
Peyton Hendershot ($4,100) – The transition to Tuttle may affect the ancillary pass catcher more than anyone else in Indiana’s offense. Receiving tight end Hendershot had averaged 5 targets per game in his last four contests, while Miles Marshall ($3,300) averaged 5.8. Both are volatile punt plays at the moment.
Wisconsin CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 78.7
Pass Rate: 38.6%
Graham Mertz (6,700) – Allegedly Jack Coan will be available for this game as well, but Wisconsin continues to more forward with Graham Mertz. Despite Mertz’s raw talent, Wisconsin fails to embrace the modern innovations in the game of football. Mertz averages 28 attempts per game for 201 passing yards. Without any dual threat ability, Mertz is basically unusable at this price.
Jalen Berger ($5,800) – Despite running an archaic offense, Wisconsin knowns how to churn out running back production. Freshman Berger looks likely to lead a backfield committee down the stretch for Wisconsin. He led the group with 15 carries each of the last two weeks, averaging 16.5 touches and 90 rushing yards per game. Nakia Watson ($4,900) will mix in as a change of pace. He currently averages 13.3 touches per game himself. However, that may be elevated due to injury.
Garrett Groshek ($4,400) – Technically a full back in Wisconsin’s offense, the Badgers often deploy Groshek as a pass-catching/goal line back. Groshek averages 15.5 opportunities per game through two contests with this team. This includes target counts of five and six, making him the second-most targeted player despite missing a game. He is worth a look even with his unconventional role.
Jake Ferguson ($7,000) – One of the Big Ten’s premier tight ends and Wisconsin’s top pass catcher, Ferguson continues to battle a shoulder injury. His 20 targets (24% share) currently lead the team, but his status needs to be monitored prior to game time.
Kendric Pryor ($3,600) – After missing some time with injury, Pryor expects to make his return for Wisconsin. Danny Davis ($5,300) also missed the game with injury. Davis typically receives more targets than Pryor, but his price at $5,300 is a bit ridiculous. If neither can go, Chimere Dike ($4,200) will fill in as the top receiver.
West Virginia vs Iowa State
West Virginia CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 79.0
Pass Rate: 53.9%
Jarrett Doege ($6,200) – A pure pocket passer, Doege averages 38.6 pass attempts per game for 276 passing yards. However, Doege remains reliant on the 300-yard bonus due to his poor pocket awareness. Doege has -73 cumulative rushing yards this year as he fails scramble or rush the ball whatsoever. Iowa State plays excellent pass defense, making this a tough ask for Doege.
Leddie Brown ($8,000) – West Virginia’s feature back, Brown averages an elite 24.1 touches per game. This includes 112 rushing yards per contest and a sizeable role in the pass game (29 total targets). Brown draws one of his tougher matchups of the year against a stout Iowa State defense allowing only 110 rushing yards per game. Also playing as an underdog, Brown carries extra risk. Still, his volume is elite.
Winston Wright ($5,000) – West Virginia runs a tricky wide receiver rotation, but Winston Wright has emerged as the leader of the group in recent weeks. He averages seven targets per game in his last four contests and leads the team with 484 yards on the year. Last game, he ran a route on 71% of the team’s drop backs
Bryce Ford-Wheaton ($4,000) – West Virginia’s X-receiver, Ford-Wheaton ranks second on the team in targets (50) and averages six targets per game in his four most recent contests. Also second on the team in receiver (365 yards), Ford-Wheaton remains the second-most attractive option in the offense.
Sean Ryan ($3,300) – For those looking for a solid punt play, Ryan stands out over Sam James ($3,400) and TJ Simmons ($5,100). The Mountaineers demoted James for Ryan and Simmons continues to play a part-time role within the offense. Ryan averages four targets per game in his last four contests, but remains on the map as a punt play.
Iowa State CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 68.3
Pass Rate: 47.3%
Brock Purdy ($7,000) – Another one of college football’s premier game managers, Purdy averages 225 passing yards per game on 30 pass attempts. Purdy does offer some dual threat ability with 272 yards on the ground this year. Purdy does possess a ceiling in the right game environments. He already has a pair of 300-yard passing games under his belt, but Iowa State’s slow pace often hurts him.
Breece Hall ($8,700) – One of the country’s premier feature backs, Hall averages 24.1 opportunities per game and 138.9 rushing yards. Hall also draws a difficult matchup against a stout West Virginia front seven. However, Hall’s elite volume speaks for itself. With Iowa State playing as 6.5-point favorites, Hall should see his characteristic high-volume workload.
Xavier Hutchinson ($5,600) – JUCO transfer Hutchinson has operated as Iowa State’s top receiver for most of 2020. Holding a 23.9% target share, Hutchinson averages 58.1 receiving yards per game. However, he was his targets drop to three last game with the return of Tarique Milton ($3,700). Milton didn’t even run a route on 30% of the team’s drop backs but the speedster notched eight targets. His return from injury renders this a cloudy situation.
Charlie Kolar ($4,800) – One player unaffected by Milton’s return is receiving tight end Kolar. Iowa State runs plenty of 12-personnel, keeping Kolar on the field for a majority of snaps. Kolar currently ranks second on the team with 50 targets and just saw ten targets in Iowa State’s most recent game.
Iowa vs Illinois
Iowa CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 71.3
Pass Rate: 47.2%
Spencer Petras ($5,500) – A poor man’s Graham Mertz, Petras averages 190 passing yards on 32 pass attempts this season. Similar to Wisconsin, Iowa prefers to take a run-first approach when playing with a lead. Wildly inefficient, Petras has eclipsed 200 yards passing in just two of six games this season.
Tyler Goodson ($7,400) – With Petras barely able to manage games, Iowa’s offense flows through Goodson. The sophomore sensation averages 21.3 opportunities and 21.3 opportunities per contest. Gooson also remains an excellent pass catcher with 15 targets on the year. Illinois’ defense allows 195 rushing yards per game and Iowa stands as a 13.5-point favorite. These factors make Goodson one of the top running back plays on the slate.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette ($4,200) – The transition to Petras has been brutal for all Iowa pass catchers. Last year’s top receiver, Smith-Marsette currently sits with 25 targets on the season. He averages four per game in his last four contests. Sam LaPorta ($3,900) leads the team in targets (37), but Iowa doesn’t have a single catcher averaging more than 35 receiving yards.
Illinois CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 68.2
Pass Rate: 37.0%
Brandon Peters ($5,900) – Making his return to the lineup last week, Brandon Peters completed 18 of 25 passes for 205 yards and a score through the air. Peters also possesses quiet dual threat ability with 111 rushing yards this year. Projected to play in negative game script, Peters possesses a higher ceiling and floor than Petras on the other side of this game.
Chase Brown ($5,300) – Despite perpetual negative game script, Illinois continues to run the ball. Fortunately, they’ve found a new lead rusher in Brown. Brown now has 17 and 26 carries in back-to-back games, while occasionally receiving a target. Brown has been able to grind his way to 71.4 yards per game, but Illinois remains two score underdogs with an 18.5 implied team total.
Josh Imatorbhebhe ($4,800) – Fortunately for the offense, Peters’ return may make some of these pass catchers usable again. Imatorbhebhe leads the team with 28 targets and a 27% target share. Still notching only 43 yards per game, Imatorbhebhe requires increased efficiency from Peters in order to his value.
Daniel Barker ($3,300) – Similar to Imatorbhebhe, receiving tight end Barker may see increased efficiency with Peters’ return. Barker ranks second on the team with 21 targets and averages 4.8 per game in his last four contests. A complete dart throw in the offense, Barker at least has a secure role on the field.
Boston College vs Virginia
Boston College CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 70.9
Pass Rate: 51.9%
Phil Jurkovec ($6,600) – Jurkovec practice on Wednesday after getting banged up in last Saturday’s game. Jurkovec has apparently battled a shoulder injury for a few weeks now, but he appears healthy enough to play. Jurkovec possesses a strong ceiling, averaging 34 pass attempts and 256 passing yards per game. He also possesses dual threat ability with 150 rushing yards. This number would be much higher, if he hadn’t absorbed 24 sacks so far this year. Virginia allows 291 passing yards per game, setting up Jurkovec for a solid outing.
David Bailey ($4,900) – Bailey also picked up an upper body injury in last week’s game. Similar to Jurkovec, he was described as progressing well and hopeful to play this weekend. If Bailey can’t go, Travis Levy ($4,700) will play an elevated role. Levy already averages 13.87 opportunities within the offense. Muddying the waters further, Pat Garwo ($3,300) returned to action, making this a potential three-way committee. Bailey would be the preferred option if all are healthy enough to play.
Zay Flowers ($5,200) – Boston College’s top receiver, Flowers averages ten targets per game in his last four contests. Flowers also leads the team in overall target share (28.2%) and receiving yards (712). Boston College often uses Flowers as a ball carrier out of the backfield, making him one of the most intriguing plays on the slate.
Hunter Long ($4,700) – Athletic tight end, Long plays a strong receiving role for Boston College. He ranks second on the team in targets and averages 7.5 targets per game over the course of the year. He also currently sits second on the team with 57.5 receiving yards.
CJ Lewis ($5,000) – Behind Flowers and Longs, Lewis has emerged as Boston College’s third-most targets receiver. He averages 4.3 targets per game in his last four contests, compared to 3.5 targets per game for Jaelen Gill ($3,800) in that same span. Both receivers are cheap dart throw attachments to Jurkovec.
Virginia CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 79.9
Pass Rate: 51.7%
Brennan Armstrong ($8,200) – One of the slate’s premier dual threat quarterbacks, Armstrong leads Virginia in rushing. Armstrong also benefits from Virginia’s pass-first approach and up-tempo pace of play. Armstong’s season-long numbers remain somewhat depressed due to injury, but his job looks secure heading into a competitive game against Boston College.
Ronnie Walker ($3,000) – Virginia absolutely smoked Abilene Christian in their most recent game, but Walker played a larger role in the offense. More than likely, Wayne Taulapapa ($3,400) retains his role as lead back, but Walker should siphon more carries as the season moves along.
Billy Kemp ($5,600) – Erroneously labeled a running back, Kemp remains difficult to play because of his position designation. Actually a receiver, Kemp leads the team in targets (78) and receiving yards (517). He still deserves a look despite DraftKings’ error.
Terrell Jana ($3,900) – Often lining up in the slot, Jana remains Virginia’s second-most targeted receiver (59) despite recent blowouts. Jana also ranks second on the team in receiving yards (392), making him a solid bounce back candidate here.
Lavel Davis ($6,100) – Davis is egregiously priced despite functioning as Virginia’s WR3 behind Kemp and Jana. He is a contrarian play only.
Tony Poljan ($4,500) – Former Central Michigan quarterback, Poljan now plays the athletic receiving tight end role for Virginia. Poljan actually ranks third on the team in targets (45) and remains a solid price-adjusted play within the offense.
Stanford vs Washington
Stanford CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 68.7
Pass Rate: 57.8%
Davis Mills ($6,900) – After dealing with injury to start the year, Mills has impressed in a small sample size. Mills averages 270 passing yards on 44 pass attempts per game. Mills doesn’t provide much dual threat ability, but his raw pass volume will lead to big DFS outings. This looks like one of Mills’ tougher matchups this season against a stout Washington defense.
Austin Jones ($7,100) – Despite playing as a slight underdog here, Jones looks like one of the most used running backs on the slate. He has at least 18 touches in every game this year and remains game script independent with nine targets in a single game two weeks ago. This puts him at 21.3 touches per game. Still relatively inefficient, he only averages 64.7 yards per game as a rusher.
Michael Wilson ($5,500) – Currently leading Stanford in targets (24) and receiving yards (212), Wilson looks like the top pass catcher in the offense. Wilson is priced significantly ahead of Simi Fehoko ($4,400) despite seeing only one more target. This makes Fehoko the better price adjusted play of the two, but both remain viable.
Connor Weddington ($5,000) – Another highly involved pass catcher, Weddington averages nine targets per game after missing Stanford’s first game of the year. Despite his absence Weddington already ranks third on the team in targets, providing another stacking option with Mills.
Washington CFB DFS Picks
Plays per Game: 70.3
Pass Rate: 42.2%
Dylan Morris ($6,400) – Despite Jacob Sirmon appearing briefly for Washington, Morris looks like the clear starter moving forward. Washington only passes 42% of the time, leaving little upside for quarterbacks. Morris averages 29 pass attempts and 214 passing yards per game. With Washington favored, this could be another low volume passing attack for Morris.
Kamari Pleasant ($5,000) – Despite Washington’s high run rate, their three-man backfield committee renders all of the backs dart throws. Pleasant currently leads the group with 30 carries, while Sean McGrew ($4,100) ranks second at 27. Richard Newton ($5,400) missed last week’s game, but he led the group prior to his absence. All of the backs looks like touchdown dependent dart throws.
Cade Otton ($6,000) – Receiving tight end, Otton has target counts of eight and nine in back to back games. Otton not only leads the team in targets (18), but he also leads the team in receiving (212 yards). With Washington embracing the run, Otton remains a risky play at an elevated price.
Terrell Bynum ($4,800) – Banged up in last week’s game, many though Bynum would lead this Washington wide receiver group this year. Bynum currently ranks second on the team with 15 targets, while Puka Nacua ($5,300) ranks third with 12. All ancillary pass catchers carry risk in Washington’s offense.
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