This series is tied 1-1 and heading back to Vegas for Game-3 in what should be an awesome environment for some playoff hockey. In both games so far, the team that won was both outshot and out-chanced. I’m expecting to see similar matchups in Game-3 as the top lines will face each other for the majority of their even-strength time. Here are some of the plays that I (Tommienation1) am looking to play for tonight’s slate.
The scoring system on FanDuel will essentially be the same outside of no goalie, but you will want (what you think will be) your top scorer to be in your “Captain” spot where you’ll get all of his scoring times 1.5. On DraftKings, Goals (8) and Shots on Goal (2) are weighted more than they are in the traditional scoring, but the faceoff bonus (0.2) is a little bit of a game-changer, making centers and guys who take face-offs a little bit more valuable. Winning goalies will (in general) also score very well, which is similar to traditional scoring.
VGK1: Smith-Karlsson-Marchessault ($31,600 DK/$31,600 FD)
The Vegas top line has been great in the first 2 games of the series, but they did have a bunch of trouble getting shots and scoring chances against WPG3 in Games 1 and 2. Now on home ice, they will likely hard-match the Winnipeg top line which they’ve had most of their success against this series. This line has carried the Golden Knights all season, and we should expect them to create the most chances of any line tonight as they’ll been great at even-strength and all play on the top power-play as well.
Alex Tuch ($6,500 DK/$8,200 FD)
Tuch is one of the top values on the slate if David Perron is forced to miss another game as he would be playing on Erik Haula’s line with James Neal which is a very favorable spot. However, Tuch still makes sense if Perron can play, as he’s on the top power-play unit with line listed above. If Tuch is listed on the 3rd line in morning or pregame skate, I will likely be pivoting to James Neal or Erik Haula, as I want to attack the Winnipeg 2nd line which has been out-chanced 15-3 in this series at even-strength.
Jacob Trouba ($6,200 DK/$8,400 FD)
Trouba is more of a price play as he doesn’t get power-play time, but he certainly has some offensive upside and will get 20+ minutes of ice time again tonight. He has attempted over 5.5 shots per game these playoffs which ranks 3rd (behind Byfuglien and Laine) on the Jets this postseason, but you get a $3,800 discount on him compared to his teammate Byfuglien. If I’m looking to save for a one-off, Trouba is near the top of my list in his price range on DK.
Nate Schmidt ($5,600 DK/$7,600 FD)
The offensive numbers don’t look great for Schmidt on the season, but in the first 2 games of this series he has looked fantastic all-around. He’s done a great job defensively on the Winnipeg top line, and looks much more aggressive offensively, attempting 11 shots in the first 2 games of the series and leading the team in minutes by over 5. He even gets power-play time on the 2nd unit, so if you’re stacking the Haula-Neal combo (which I also like tonight), Schmidt makes for a nice add-on for a punt price on DraftKings.