There are 3 studs up top and then a decent mid-tier tonight on DK, but there isn’t much I’m crazy about after that. You can really take your pick at the top between Scherzer, Verlander, and Sale and you’ll see where I’m at as far as those 3, then we’ll have a mid-tier option and a dumpster diving option after that. Awesemo will update this article later with his notes on each pitcher, so make sure to check back before lock!
Justin Verlander ($13,000 DK/$11,300 FD)
As of this writing, the Rangers’ team total is below 3, which is the lowest on the slate. Verlander should be able to have another great outing with one of the best Swinging-Strike rates (14.4%) and a top-15 Whiffs/Swing% on the year and going up against a free-swinging opponent. Over the last two weeks, the Rangers are in the top-5 in Swinging-Strike% and O-Swing% and are 3rd in K% on the year against righties. At this inflated price tag, you’re going to need him to go deep which he is more than capable of doing as he’s reached 100 pitches in half of his starts this season. You’re splitting hairs in the top tier with him, Scherzer, and Sale, but I prefer the Verlander in GPPs tonight.
Kenta Maeada ($9,100 DK/$8,400 FD)
Maeda gets a nice matchup against the Reds (3.2 implied total) at home tonight where he should be able to go pretty deep and rack up some strikeouts. While they don’t strike out very much, the Reds rank 28th in ISO and 25th in wRC+ against righties this season, so Maeda seems like a fairly safe option at a nice price. The inconsistency in his pitch count is a little bit concerning, but he is an overwhelming favorite at a discounted price, and his 14.1% Swinging-Strike rate and 32.4 Whiffs/Swing% have me believing he can strike out 6-8 of these Reds.
Dan Straily ($4,900 DK/$5,500 FD)
This is a price and slate-specific play as I don’t think Straily is some fantastic pitcher, but I do think there is some value here even in a below-average matchup against Atlanta. At a sub-$5K pricetag on DK, Straily can miss some bats (15.6% Swinging-Strike% in his last start) despite only 2 strikeouts in each of his first 2 starts. On most slates, I wouldn’t even consider him, but I think he has a pretty realistic chance at 12-15 DK points, and I’d take that all day for this price. I don’t expect Straily to go out and throw a no-hitter, but he does allow you to get a much different roster construction tonight as he should be low-owned and allows you to get in some great bats.
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