Tuesday, Sept. 8, has a mixture of early action before consolidating with a nine-game main slate beginning at 6:05 p.m. ET on DraftKings, FanDuel. Yahoo and SuperDraft. Before you lock in your MLB DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections.
For the Tuesday MLB Early Bird Show click HERE.
Early-Slate MLB DFS Picks
Tampa Bay Rays vs. RHP Anibal Sanchez – 5.4 implied runs
Don’t look now, but the Rays are actually leading the American League East by 4.5 games. Sanchez, the 36-year old veteran of 15 MLB seasons, is nearing the end of the line. This season he has allowed nine home runs with only 159 batters faced with three to lefties and six to same-handed batsmen. Since the beginning of last season, he has allowed a 1.40 HR/9 with a 32-34% hard hit rate and a .200-ish ISO to hitters from both sides of the plate.
Tampa Bay is loaded with power bats, even if they are not quite household names. Austin Meadows, Ji-Man Choi and Brandon Lowe have all compiled at least a .220 ISO against opposite-handed hurlers over the last two seasons. Willy Adames and Hunter Renfroe provide differentiation. Discount dandies will be rookie Yoshi Tsutsugo and Kevin Kiermaier.
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Main-Slate MLB DFS Picks
Miami Marlins at RHP Kyle Wright – 4.6 implied runs
In his four appearances this season, Wright has been just awful. He has allowed a 7.20 ERA and 2.20 WHIP with 12 punchouts and an eye-popping 16 walks in 15.0 innings. He has been at the alternative training site since his last appearance, so we will see if anything has improved.
It is crazy how much better the addition of Starling Marte makes the top of the Miami order. We can look to him, Corey Dickerson and Jesus Aguilar, who also have above-average pop against right-handed pitching. The Marlins work well as a discount or differentiation stack as we have a pretty idea where their production should come from. For a breakdown on the Mets against LHP John Means, check out Terry “TMcB” McBride’s analysis here.
Evening-Slate MLB DFS Picks
Chicago Cubs vs. RHP Tyler Mahle – TBD implied runs
Today it will be cool in the low 60s with a potential light drizzle and a 12-15 mph breeze coming in from center field. Regardless, I will still be looking at the batters swinging the stick from the left side of the plate against Mahle. Over his last 590 righty/lefty matchups, Mahle has ceded a 2.35 HR/9, 20.8% home run/fly ball rate with 40% hard hit and a .255 ISO. Yes, he has been a little better over the last 200 batters faced and the weather is not favorable, but I still want those lefties.
For differentiation we can look to Jason Kipnis batting out of the nine hole to start our wraparound stacks. Then we can look to the switch-hitting Ian Happ, who should be leading off, then Anthony Rizzo batting third. Kyle Schwarber has been putting it all together, and he is going to be popular batting fifth. This quartet averaged a .250 ISO against opposite-handed hurlers. While Happ, Rizzo and Schwarber will likely have righties between them, going with the wraparound stack and leaving out Schwarber will be the “leverage against the field” move.
Late-Slate MLB DFS Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers at RHP Luke Weaver – 5.6 implied runs
At the time of posting, we do not officially have the status of the Chase Field roof — click here for updates. Though Weaver has allowed just one home run over his last 19 innings, he has still allowed eight in 32.2 innings pitched this season. Lefties have accounted for a half dozen, while same-handed hitters knocked the other two out of the park. The home runs have really been an issue this season, but it is never fun facing a loaded Dodgers lineup for any pitcher.
Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy and Corey Seager are the trio of lefties to target. Mookie Betts and A.J. Pollock are in play for the full stack, but we are paying top dollar. Joc Pederson has been away from the team working through a family matter. If he is in the lineup, he is a full-go.
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