Wednesday, Aug. 26, has mix of early games and then a 10-game main slate beginning 7:10 p.m. EST on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and SuperDraft. Before you lock in your MLB DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections.
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Greetings, Gamers! Depending on your site of choice you have a mix of early game action. Tonight everything comes together for a 10-game main slate.
Similar to last year, I will be providing a review of one stack for each of the day’s slates. Some of these short-slate options will be good for the full-game set, others will be more contrarian and better suited for the mini-game sets.
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Early-Slate MLB DFS Pick
Tampa Bay Rays vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski – TBD implied runs
There are a lot of moving parts in this slate with half of the teams using openers today. Then it also looks like there is a decent threat of weather for the Boston-Toronto (in Buffalo) game. That leaves us looking at Patrick Corbin and Aaron Nola as the top pitching options. Click here to go straight to the segment on the Early Bird podcast where Terry “TMcB” and I broke down their respective matchups along with our complete thoughts for this short slate.
Over his last 100 innings, Wojciechowski has allowed a 1.80 HR/9 rate to righties and a 2.17 HR/9 rate to opposite-handed hitters. Barring clean weather in Buffalo, we are going to want to target against him with the power bats from the Rays. The trio to target will be Austin Meadows, Ji-Man Choi and Brandon Lowe. If he is in the lineup, Hunter Renfroe has tremendous power upside … when he connects. Through 90 lefty/righty matchups Yoshi Tsutsugo has flashed some pop with a .184 ISO. Keep in mind he was a major home run threat for nearly a decade in the Japan League starting with his age-18 season.
Chicago Cubs at RHP Michael Fulmer – 5.3 implied runs
Unlike last night’s Tiger hurler Spencer Turnbull, Fulmer does not limit power. Over his last 338 lefty/righty matchups, he has allowed a 1.82 HR/9 with a .230 ISO. While he is a little better against same-handed batsmen, it is not by that much.
Yesterday was more about one-offs or pairs and the hopes of getting the the Tigers bullpen. Today is all about full stacks, starting with Anthony Rizzo, Kyle Schwarber and Ian Happ. The second wave to target includes Javier Baez, Willson Contreras and for differentiation, Jason Kipnis is just fine in a wrap-around strategy.
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Evening-Slate MLB DFS Picks
Oakland Athletics at LHP Kolby Allard – 5.3 implied runs
Allard has been going backwards over his last two starts, lasting just 65 and 38 pitches for 3.0 and 0.2 innings. This all came off a nice game against the Angels where he had five scoreless innings on 94 pitches, allowing just three baserunners.
Allard was the 14th overall selection in the 2015 draft by Atlanta. The Braves sent the young southpaw to Texas at the trade deadline last year for journeyman reliever Chris Martin. Over his five seasons in the minors, Allard compiled an 8.2 K/9 rate, which was disappointing considering his draft selection. This is his chance to stick in The Show, but it has not gone well so far with a 6.8 K/9 and ugly 4.0 BB/9 in 66.0 innings.
The Athletics lineup is loaded with power, but keep in mind that the roof will likely be closed tonight in the new Texas stadium. Focus on the usual suspects with Matt Chapman, Mark Canha, Marcus Semien and Ramon Laureano leading the way. Stephen Piscotty continues to be a hidden DFS gem, and he is just fine in the bottom-third of the order. Finally, Matt Olson is perfectly capable in lefty/lefty matchups, and we will see some righty relievers.
Late-Slate MLB DFS Picks
Colorado Rockies at LHP Robbie Ray – 4.6 implied runs
The roof is scheduled to be open tonight before closing on Thursday afternoon during the getaway game. Ray has turned into a real life Nuke Laloosh. In his 27 innings this season, he has an impressive 35 punchouts with an equally putrid 25 walks. He has also allowed the second-most home runs thus far with nine. This is not a new development, as he has the third-most home runs allowed (39) since the start of last year.
As I mentioned yesterday, Nolan Arenado (.234 ISO) and Trevor Story (.309) rank first and third among batters with at least 400 plate appearances against southpaws. Charlie Blackmon is fine in lefty/lefty matchups. Matt Kemp should be popular for his discounted price point, and he can still get it done against lefties. Ryan McMahon has decent pop against same-handed hurlers, and I prefer him over Garrett Hampson for the popularity disparity.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any questions or want to discuss anything MLB DFS related.
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