UFC DFS: UFC 253 DraftKings + FanDuel Picks

Hello UFC fans. This weekend, we have an 11- fight card in Abu Dhabi, including a main event between Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa. The main GPP has $100,000 going to first place with a total of $500,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the fighters I feel have the most upside and value. Let’s dig into some UFC DFS picks analysis.

Core UFC DFS Picks

Dominick Reyes | DraftKings: $9,000, FanDuel $22

Reyes suffered the first loss of his 13-fight career in February when he lost a decision to Jon Jones. He is an excellent fighter from distance, whereas he will attack his opponents legs with hard calf kicks. I expect this to a striking battle, therefore we should heavy volume from Reyes’ striking and kicks. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections gives Reyes a 72% win odds, with a 48% chance for a knockout. Reyes is a solid core play due to the volume he should be landing.

Israel Adesanya | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $21

Somebody must lose their pristine record in this striking war and only one fighter will walk out on top. Paulo Costa and Israel Adesanya have been trash talking one another for months, so it has set up this huge title bout and we are going to see fireworks. Adesanya is a technical striker and extremely precise, whereas Costa is more of a brawler and is excellent at breaking people. I expect this to be a striking battle, therefore Adesanya is a solid core because of his precise striking and his ability to finish this fight. Adesanya is the second highest fighter on the slate according to Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections, with 61% win odds, and also gives him a 41% chance for a knockout.

Mid-Priced UFC DFS Picks

Aleksa Camur | DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $17

Aleksa Camur gained his first UFC win with a decision win over Justin Ledet, which also happened to be the first decision victory of his career, with all his other victories coming via knockout expect for one. Camur trains with Stipe Miocic out of the Ohio-based Strong Style Fight Team. His boxing is elite, whereas expect Camur to be the faster more technical striker here. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections give Camur 60% win odds, with 41% chance for a knockout.

Zubaira Tukhugov | DraftKings: $8,200, FanDuel: $17

Khabib Nurmagomedov and Islam Makhachev will corner Tukhugov. He will be fighting with a heavy heart and huge emotions after the untimely death of his coach Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov due to complications related to COVID-19. Tukhugov right hand is extremely dangerous, which will put his opponents lights out in a hurry. I expect Tukhugov to get the job done, because of his power striking and fast hands. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections give Tukhugov 53% win odds, with 22% chance for a knockout.

Value UFC DFS Picks

Sijara Eubanks | DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $13

Eubanks is coming in on a unanimous decision win over Julia Avila. She is a jiu-jitsu black belt and solid on the ground. Eubanks showed nasty ground and pound in her previous fight. A value play based on the $7,200 price tag, and the ability for a possible finish. Buyer beware with this pick, but take a couple shots at her price tag with a finish she could make the optimal. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections give her 37% win odds.

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