Today’s a big day in the LoL DFS world as there’s $100,000 up top. I’ll be looking at the matches taking place and offering up some players I have my eyes on rostering this slate.
April 8, 2020 LoL DFS LCK Matchups
Game 1: Damwon Gaming (DWG) vs. Griffin (GRF)
Game 2: APK Prince (APK) vs. GenG. Esports (GEN)
April 8, 2020 LoL DFS LPL Matchups
Game 1: Rogue Warriors (RW) vs. Vici Gaming (VG)
Game 2: Suning (SN) vs. Oh My God (OMG)
Game 3: Team WE (WE) vs. Top Esports (TES)
Lineups LCK teams used their last time out
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LoL DFS Matchup Notes
RW has looked really good their last two series. Sure, they lost to TES 1-2, but they challenged TES in game 1 and comfortably took game 2 while putting up 28 kills. RW is in the top half of the league in both kills per game and deaths per game, whereas VG is in the bottom half for kills per game and die only 12 times per game. If RW continues their better recent play, they can definitely challenge VG, and Haro and ZWuJi with their over 75% kill participation (KP) could be the most involved. VG is a weird team to trust in LoL DFS. I’ve mentioned RW dies a ton, but can VG take advantage of it? They did average 18 kills per game in their recent series win against ES, but they only put up 34 in a three-game series loss to OMG. Forge has been playing much more confidently recently, and his lane matchup against Ruby shouldn’t pose many issues from a one-on-one standpoint. If VG wins this series, he has the tools to put up a nice score.
Don’t look now but one of the more explosive 2019 LCK teams in DWG is finding form. Their new starting adc Ghost has predictably shown himself to be an upgrade at the position, however his matchup in this series is a difficult one. DWG should look at abusing their more favorable solo lane matchups with Nuguri and ShowMaker possibly with some assistance from Canyon who leads the team in KP. Speaking of teams on the up and up, GRF has shown more life in recent weeks. The 2019 Worlds quarter finalists will be desperately seeking wins to avoid relegation matches, and if they are to be competitive it’s likely through Viper. Potentially temper expectations in regards to GRF DFS prospects as the 35 kills in their 2-1 series win against APK represent their highest kill total since the LCK resumed from the break.
SN is coming off a blasting of last place V5. It’s going to be difficult to predict another 46-kill series should they beat OMG as they only die 11.4 deaths per game which is fifth-fewest in the LPL. Neither team has a massive advantage in any lane, but if SN is to win, huanfeng and his 34.3% damage share is likely to have performed well. In the series against VG, OMG only managed 36 kills over the 3 games. This is mostly in line with their 11 kills per game average over the season, so if OMG do win this series 2-0, they might be less likely to take advantage of SN 14.2 deaths per game. The person most likely to outperform his position for me would be H4cker, as he is the only person with at least a 70% KP on the team.
APK fell down to earth in their series loss to GRF in their last time out. This wasn’t particularly shocking as APK’s victories mostly revolved around HyBrid hard carrying. The good news for APK is that Ruler, while very good, is more of a cog in the GEN machine rather than Viper being the main focus for GRF. If APK miraculously takes this series, HyBrid is probably scoring 100 points and the APK communications post game will be incredible to listen to. GEN should win this series 2-0. The problems stem from not knowing how efficiently they’ll dismantle APK. DFS players are hoping we see more activity than their 29 kill 2-0 sweep the first time these teams met. Clid should be a big part of the success GEN should have, and he should have no issue out jungling Flawless while facilitating his two solo laners.
WE might be the darlings of the LoL DFS world. They lost their last series against LGD, but everybody but Missing scored over 100 points. That’s exceedingly abnormal, but they’ve also posted crazy scores in their last 5 series. It’s difficult to predict this level of performance against TES, but if WE do manage a 2-0, it’s most likely through a mismatch in the ADC with jiumeng taking advantage of Photic. TES are a really good team. They might not have fully looked it in their series against RW which went the full three games, but that game 3 showed what they are fully capable of. They currently lead the slate in kills per game with 15.6 per game, so Knight probably being the best mid laner in the LPL should find success in a series with his 77% KP in a series they should win.
Favorite plays on the slate
MID – Bdd. Bdd is way more talented than whoever APK trots out in the mid lane. He has an insane 76.5% KP, and if GEN doesn’t win too efficiently, I love what he can do.
ADC – iBoy. iBoy has the toughest lane matchup against ZWuJi, but RW dies 17.1 times per game, and if VG shows off the form they had against ES, iBoy should be in a good spot, LoL DFS-wise.
MID – Knight. It’s pretty easy for me to say Knight is probably the best mid laner in the LPL, and today he’s facing Teacherma who is still not exactly a proven commodity, even if he’s been performing very well in recent series.
Favorite contrarian play
TOP – Nuguri. Nuguri has an accessible lane matchup, and DWG has been on a tear. If DWG manages to beat up on GRF, then Nuguri could go on a tear. It’s possible GRF will get swept this match while not dying a ton, but DWG is capable of putting up high kill totals, and Nuguri would likely be a large part of that.
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