Four awkward series could present us with an interesting LoL DFS night. I’m checking out if any of the dogs are worth looking into, while offering up some of my favorite LoL DFS plays on the slate.
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Series 1: DRX (DRX) vs. KT Rolster (KT)
Series 2: Team Dynamics (DYN) vs. GEN.G (GEN)
Series 1: Dominus Esports (DMO) vs. Top Esports (TES)
Series 2: LNG Esports (LNG) vs. JD Gaming (JDG)
LPL Starting Lineups
With four big favorites on the slate, tonight could feature interesting ways to construct lineups. DRX opens the slate taking on KT, which features the closest odds. That’s not saying much, as DRX are massive favorites, just that this likely is the most competitive series on the slate. Naturally I like DRX a lot, and they should be one of the easier favorites to get to on DraftKings (and FanDuel). Chovy is the lane matchup I like DRX to exploit, which means he could set up well for a big output.
KT got back on track against SB last time out, taking that series 2-0. They’ll need to not only match that level of play but exceed it against DRX, and I rarely find myself counting KT out of any series, especially against a team they’ve already defeated 2-1. Perhaps surprisingly, KT have a minuscule gold lead average at 15 minutes, and they’ll need to not allow DRX a comfortable early game advantage here. Aiming was massive in the first series, and he’s KT’s most solid player.
Good luck, DMO. Coming off an 0-2 series loss to BLG, DMO gets the honor of facing top-of-the-table TES here. Don’t expect too much resistance from DMO, as they should be outmatched in every role. Xiaopeng is easily the closest in skill level to his counterpart, and he really needs to find a backpack to carry his team if they have any shot in this series.
It’s difficult to analyze lopsided matches, especially in the wild wild west that can be the LPL. TES leads the league in kills per game, they have the best mid laner in the world and DMO dies a ton. We just saw them put up 46 kills in a sweep of VG, and while the second game was far from clean, good teams find ways to win those games. Being expensive on both DraftKings and FanDuel could make rostering TES more of a challenge due to how the slate is, but I’ll be trying to find ways to make it work. JackeyLove is one of the pieces that’ll find his way into my lineups, as he is more affordable than other TES members.
The final series of DYN’s insane five-series stretch closes out with their second series in as many weeks against GEN. With their insane recent schedule, it makes sense that they’re on a two-series loss streak. That will likely get to three after tonight. Deokdam was the weakest link on DYN the last time out against GEN, and he’ll need to step it up if they are to have a shot here.
GEN has played seven straight series that ended in a sweep with only one of those being a loss to T1. That number should go to eight in a row and seven wins, as it’s difficult seeing where DYN improved enough to challenge this squad. In their last four series, GEN has at least 30 kills total, with 35 coming against DYN. Bdd was solid last time out, and even though Ruler has been on fire recently, I still like the mid laner a ton.
Closing out the slate sees LNG likely being defeated for the ninth series in a row against a really good JDG squad. LNG miraculously averages the fewest kills in either the LPL or LCK, making them extremely difficult to trust from a LoL DFS perspective. Of course, most of this is due to the fact that they lose a ton, as they put up 18 in their recent game win against WE. Flandre (if he starts) is a wild individual that is fully capable of carrying two games randomly, and LNG should fully strategize around kickstarting him and shutting down Zoom.
While LNG is in an eight-series loss streak, JDG is on an eight-series win streak, with No. 9 on the horizon. Being that this series would take JDG into second in the LPL, they have no reason to ease up on their opponents, as nobody wants to be on the same side of the bracket as TES. LokeN can be easy to forget about on a team with Zoom and Kanavi. Nonetheless, I really like his LoL DFS prospects in what should be a clean 2-0.
JNG – Kanavi. Kanavi should be able to work around whatever lane he desires early in the game. LNG is unlikely to challenge him, and the spot is too good to ignore on either DraftKings or FanDuel.
ADC – Ruler. Deokdam is the most awkward part of DYN, and Ruler tore him apart in their first meeting. He since parlayed that performance into an incredible run of form, one which I believe will continue here.
Favorite Contrarian Play
ADC – Aming. Really the only dog I see with more than just a slim shot of winning tonight would be KT. Aiming lit DRX up with Smeb support in their first series, so having some shares hoping for a repeat performance might not be a terrible idea on this slate.