DraftKings is giving us three series to sweat for this crazy NEST 2020 tournament. I’m breaking down the quarterfinals here, and looking at some of my favorite LoL DFS picks.
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November 19, 2020 NEST Matchups
Funplus Phoenix (FPX) vs Royal Never Give Up (RNG)
Rogue Warriors (RW) vs. LGD Gaming (LGD)
Team WE (WE) vs. Edward Gaming (EDG)
LoL DFS Picks + Matchup Notes: NEST 2020 | DraftKings
Once again, all of this is based on the previous lineups these teams ran their last time out. There’s potential for late swaps with some of these teams, as well as teams potentially making subs in between games. Honestly, FPX is one of the teams I would be surprised to see any changes from, and with them being the cheaper team, they could be quite popular. For me, Lwx is the best player on the slate, and in games that FPX wins he’s been very good. If FPX appears to be too popular, I’d be more inclined to only match the field as there’s just too much up in the air within this tournament.
ROYAL NEVER GIVE UP
RNG has been up and down during NEST 2020, but in their three game wins they’ve put up 49 kills. It’s weird to rank group strength in a tournament like this, however that group produced the most competitive series, making it likely the strongest group, making RNG weirdly battle tested this tournament. LoL DFS-wise, I like XLB here as he’s capable of being aggressive, and should he get going against a new jungler for FPX, he could really snowball.
Looking at the prices for RW initially gives me sticker shock. I’m definitely not confident in them winning this series, but in their five games, in which they’re 4-1, they have an astonishing 127 kills. That’s 25.4 kills per game. Ownership will dictate how much I want, as it’s really difficult for me to trust RW. Their loss did see them net 25 kills, however that’s more due to the fact that Suning borderline intentionally fed for a good portion of the game before ending it. If Lwx is the most talented player on the slate, Zwuji is likely the most exciting LoL DFS play. His lowest kill total this tournament is seven, while also putting up multiple 10-plus kill games. If LGD somehow plays Garvey again, he and the rest of RW becomes possibly necessary.
LGD doesn’t make any sense this tournament. This team played their substitute top laner as a last minute ADC sub before figuring out after losing game two that they have an ADC to play. I’m guessing ylj like gets the nod at ADC since he’s actually an ADC, even if he’s likely to get outclassed by Zwuji. Yuuki really shouldn’t be outgunned, and him and whoever starts at JNG for LGD are easily my favorite LGD players on DraftKings. It’s going to be difficult to not like some LGD tonight as RW really only has one mode, and that’s GO, so while they’re probably one of the more likely teams to sub out players, the spot and prices are nice.
Of all the teams at NEST, WE is the one that appears to have most of their preferred 2021 LPL squad playing here. They’re also playing very similarly to their 2020 LPL style, making them one of the easier teams to potentially figure out. Thus, this iteration of EDG really shouldn’t pose much of a threat to WE, but the question remains on how necessary will WE be for LoL DFS? Both Jiumeng and Shanks have excellent opportunities to obtain the sweep bonus, as well as being the two players from WE that seem to have the best matchups.
EDG crisply disposed of ES after losing to FPX 1-2 in their opening series to take second place in their group. Currently, EDG hasn’t messed with starting lineups, nonetheless, we all need to keep an eye out for any changes no matter how late they come. Realistically, EDG should have a tough time against what is essentially an LPL squad, however they do have their own pieces which could make the series interesting. Jiejie isn’t likely to be too bothered by beishang, and Xiaoxiang matches up decently against Coten, and is likely my favorite LoL DFS piece from EDG.
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Favorite LoL DraftKings DFS Picks
ADC-Lwx. If FPX is too popular, then I’ll strongly consider having less of them than the field, but it’s extremely difficult to not love the price on LWX.
ADC-Zwuji. RW isn’t a good team. They have one playstyle, and it’s to fight, fight, and fight some more. Fortunately, for LoL DFS players, fighting is awesome, and even though RW is capable of crumbling to anybody, beating LGD feels like something an almost LPL lineup should accomplish.
Favorite Contrarian LoL DraftKings DFS Pick
LGD-JNG. Whoever jungles for LGD is an incredibly attractive option on DraftKings, and could be one of the lower owned players from LGD due to uncertainty. Starting lineups should come out before lock, but Flora and Kui really have upside at their price tags.
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