Every major league is almost back, but the late night sweat remains with the LCK for a couple more nights. LoL DFS breakdown below with a sprinkle of some of my favorite picks for this LCK slate.
Nongshim Redforce (NS) vs. Gen.G (GEN)
Hanwha Life Esports (HLE) vs. Damwon Kia (DWG)
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What was put in the water over the break for the LCK teams? Bottom teams coming out like they’ve chugged a gallon of Michael’s Secret Stuff is one of the more unexpected things. NS performance against HLE in their game win was impressive. 29 kills in game one with high kill participation (KP) across the board was incredible, while also likely being their LoL DFS ceiling. I’m not in a rush to chase them after a performance like that, however my interest likely isn’t zero, with Peanut dictating the ebb and flow of NS.
Many good LCK teams are coming out of the break sluggish. GEN isn’t one of those teams, and realistically carrying on their success from 2-0’ing AF is very likely. Every position on GEN is stronger on paper, and GEN is also just flat out more established as a group of players. Figuring out which lane they’ll play is difficult, and their assist per kill output is still extremely low, but on a two game slate in a series they should win, it feels like they’ll be necessary. Hopefully LoL DFS players are wary of the team low 52.4% KP for Ruler keeping his ownership a little lower than it should be as he’s the best ADC talent wise on the slate.
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HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
I’ll open this by stating that anybody wishing to completely avoid the top lane situation for HLE is free to do so. Morgan seems to be a better fit teamwise for HLE, however DuDu keeps finding ways to get starts. Fortunately, DWG is rarely a team you’re going to want to target against in LoL DFS, even if last time out showed it could be done. Confidence is one thing I don’t have much of here, but if you’re willing to take shots, then I don’t dislike Chovy.
Without overreacting, the first game of their series against KT was the lowest quality LoL game since Dignitas/Renegades in 2016. That’s less than ideal for the current World Champions, however maybe they’re just rusty after a decent sized break. The other positive is that they did in fact manage to win games two and three of that series showing that sometimes talent really does prevail no matter how hard it tries not to. It’s not an easy spot tonight, but I still like DWG to take this series largely due to the top side talent difference. Canyon is just better than Arthur even though the latter has been performing solidly, but still Canyon is a great LoL DFS option tonight.
MID – Bdd. MID lane is a strong position tonight, however the two better mid laners are facing off against each other in the second series. BDD failing here would be surprising, and I like him a lot even if GEN isn’t as active teamwise as I would prefer.
Favorite Contrarian Play
TOP – Morgan. Incoming DuDu starts game one to ruin the vibe, but Morgan fits better with HLE, and the uncertainty plus not great matchup leads to extremely low ownership here then why not.
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