This slate is the trickiest one to date. Legitimately any result could happen and I wouldn’t be terribly surprised, so breaking down this LPL/LCK slate is very difficult. Below are some of my favorite LoL DFS picks sprinkled in with this DraftKings breakdown.
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JD Gaming (JDG) vs. Bilibili Gaming (BLG)
RNG (RNG) vs. Suning (SN)
Nongshim Redforce (NS) vs. Liiv Sandbox (SB)
DRX (DRX) vs. Afreeca Freecs (AF)
LPL Starting Lineups
Even though NS took 2nd at Kespa Cup, I’m not fully sold on this roster, and this could very well be a battle between two teams fighting for the last playoff spot. They are one of the weirder teams to keep an eye on with their offseason additions of Peanut, Kellin, and Bay, while choosing to roll with deokdam at ADC still. NS as a team could be one heavily momentum based as bad Peanut is bad, and good Peanut can be exciting. There are still questions about deokdam, nonetheless they can definitely win tonight.
I understand that NS took 2nd place at Kespa Cup, but I’m unsure how they’re as favored as they are. Talent wise neither team seems exceptional, which feels like anything could happen here, and during said Kespa Cup, NS won 2-1 with each game being pretty competitive. My only worry about SB stems from their LoL DFS viability, as them winning would be far from surprising. New JNG Croco was pretty exciting during the Kespa Cup, and he’s someone I can see being very interested in sprinkling not only tonight, but throughout the split unless the wheels fall off.
2021 only gets slightly easier for JDG after losing their opening series 0-2 to IG. JDG is the more talented group of players, however their opening series performance showed a lot more rust than one would like to see. Kanavi was incredibly flat, having two poor performances on Graves, which is once again a very strong jungler. LPL is tough, and IG can beat, as well as lose to, seemingly every team in the world, and BLG could be the team JDG takes their frustration out on. Yagao is back in the mid lane for JDG, and the fact that he’s priced cheaper than xiye while getting the starting nod make it tough to not like him.
BLG was fine in their opening series 2-1 win over ES, coming back from losing the first game. We were privy to seemingly all of the ups and downs this roster brings to the 2021 LPL spring split, and honestly that’s a good thing. Aiming and Mark seems to be a formidable bot lane, Zeka still seems like an unpolished mid laner that needs a little polish, while BiuBiu is far from a liability. Meteor must be feeling pretty nice to not have any excuses this split, nonetheless BLG has their backs up to the wall against JDG. Aiming found his LPL legs immediately, making him my favorite option if BLG upsets JDG.
Finishing off the start of LCK sees DRX taking on AF, with both teams being very different from their 2020 iterations. DRX maintains only Pyosik and SOLKA (formerly Quad) from their 2020 squad, with Pyosik being a good piece to build around. It’s very tricky to piece together how DRX will have success this split with their new roster, but they are capable of challenging AF to open their season. Of the new signings, both top laners excite me more strictly due to them having a decent amount of actual professional experience. The caveat there is that we won’t know which starts on this slate. Pyosik likely leads DRX to most of the wins they’ll achieve this split, and I just don’t believe in Dread that much, making him my favorite DRX option.
What a weird AF roster this is. My initial response to the roster was a negative one, and they were the last place team in Kespa Cup 2020 which then confounded those fears. Don’t get me wrong, there’s talent on this team, it’s just I can’t see what their identity will be, or how they’ll challenge the good teams. AF only has two completely new players with Bang/Lehends, however Dread is once again being given the keys for the JNG position. I’m having a difficult time predicting success for an individual that couldn’t outperform Spirit last year. If they beat DRX I wouldn’t be surprised, because on the whole they are the more talented, and tested squad, and if that occurs, I like Bang to outmaneuver his counterpart.
RNG breezed through likely bottom feeder TT, and their reward is a SN squad that seems to want to prove doubters wrong. Xiaohu still isn’t an LPL top laner, however the talent beneath him is enough to make this a series worth watching. Cryin, who fully deserves a starting MID lane LPL spot, was very good to open the split, but honestly so was everybody. This RNG roster beats SN by Wei neutralizing SofM, and Xiaohu not being dead weight. That makes Wei the individual I’m most excited for as any positive early game action for RNG should flow through him.
SN’s opening to the 2021 season was very impressive. They comfortably took down presumed front runners TES, showing the world that their Worlds finals appearance wasn’t a fluke. SN winning isn’t the surprising part, how they did it was, coming back from early game gold deficits in both games. Smart teams are difficult to beat, and SN seems to be on track for another fun split. Bin should straight cook Xiaohu provided no jungler assistance, and as one of the more exciting LoL DFS top laners, is more than an exciting option on this slate.
Favorite LoL DFS Picks on the slate
TOP-Bin. This is a test I don’t see xiaohu passing. Bin is very good, and he and SofM could very well make this series a 4v5 if played correctly. RNG is solid, but SN needs to win these if they really are one of the best teams.
JNG-Kanavi. BLG is a tough out, and Kanavi didn’t look great on Graves in their two blowout losses. I don’t want to overreact quite yet, and still think JDG gets this done 2-0, even if it’s a difficult 2-0.
Favorite contrarian LoL DFS Pick on the slate
JNG-Croco. Croco seems pretty solid, and peanut can just fall off a cliff sometimes, making this an interesting spot for him and SB.