DraftKings best ball leagues are all about upside. Because your highest-scoring players are automatically inserted into your starting lineup each week, you want guys on your roster that can single-handedly win you a matchup. So with that in mind, let’s take a look at some players that need to be off your fantasy football rankings list as you prepare for your best ball drafts.
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DraftKings Best Ball Bust: Awesemo’s Fantasy Football Players to Avoid
Quarterbacks to Avoid DraftKings Best Ball
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
Rodgers is no longer the sure-fire, elite fantasy quarterback that he once was. In 2019, Rodgers finished as the QB10 in fantasy, but was QB14 on a points-per-game basis. Under head coach Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has relied more on the run, as their pass rate dropped from a league-high 67.5% in 2018 to 59.8%, a number that ranked 16th in the NFL. As a result, Rodgers’ 569 attempts were the fewest he’s had in a healthy season since 2014. If the Packers continue to serve as a run-first offense — and their drafting of A.J. Dillon in the second round suggests that — Rodgers will have to be very efficient, which wasn’t normally an issue. But it is now. Green Bay did not add any weapons in the passing game this offseason outside of Devin Funchess, while Rodgers was 22nd in deep completion percentage (34%) and 25th in pressured completion rate (32.2%). Rodgers isn’t washed like many people suddenly think he is, however, he is not on my fantasy radar for 2020.
More Fantasy Football Busts Content
- Awesemo’s Do-Not-Draft QBs
- Awesemo’s Do-Not-Draft RBs
- Awesemo’s Do-Not-Draft TEs
- Awesemo’s Top Overall Busts For 2020
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans
Tannehill had a magical 2019 campaign that revived his career. From Week 6 on last year, Tannehill was third in passing touchdowns (22), third in aDOT (10.1) and second in fantasy points per dropback (0.73). Despite ranking inside the top four in both completed air yards per pass attempt (5.2) and completed air yards per completion (7.4), Tannehill still completed 70.3 percent of his passes. I expect some regression, especially when you consider that 19.6 percent of his passes were of the tight window variety, the sixth-highest rate in the league, while also averaging 6.2 yards after the catch per completion, the second-highest mark in football. He looked great, but I just don’t know if Tannehill is suddenly this good, while he still plays in an offense that called run at the third-highest rate in football last year (48.7%). We saw the Titans had no issue limiting Tannehill to 20 pass attempts per game during their playoff run.
Running Back to Avoid DraftKings Best Ball
Mark Ingram, Baltimore Ravens
Ingram was great for the Ravens last year and remains a very strong back. However, I want upside in my players and despite the great fit and system in this Baltimore running attack, Ingram doesn’t have a huge carry ceiling. In fact, despite playing in the league’s run-heaviest offense (54%), Ingram finished just 20th among all backs in carries with 201, averaging just 13.4 per game. He also never reached the 20-carry mark in a game. Of course, that will happen when someone like Lamar Jackson is taking 11.7 carries per game away. But backup Gus Edwards also averaged a noteworthy 8.3 carries per game, too, and now the team drafted J.K. Dobbins in the second round.
Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills
No one loves Singletary more than I do. And while I still believe he can work his way to 15 touches per game, the upside is capped with the sophomore running back, which is what we really shoot for in best ball leagues. Singletary had one goal line carry all of last season, and while that number can’t get any worse, I’m not sure how much it’ll improve. Of course, Buffalo already has Josh Allen, who handled 27.8 percent of the team’s carries from inside the 5-yard line last season, the highest rate among all quarterbacks in football. And while Frank Gore is gone, the Bills drafted Zack Moss, who general manager Brandon Beane already said will be the team’s goal line back. Not having that touchdown potential is a killer in best ball formats, and while Singletary will be good on a per-carry basis, the ceiling is definitely capped.
D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions
I wasn’t a fan of Swift’s landing spot. My top back from this class, Swift is a dynamic player. He caught 73 passes during his time at Georgia, dropping just three balls. His skills as a pass catcher are fantastic, but I don’t know how much he’ll be called upon. Detroit’s offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell has not included his running backs in the passing game very often throughout his career as a play caller, while Detroit still has plans for Kerryon Johnson. It is possible that Swift will take over this job and earn the lion’s share of the carries, but if he doesn’t, you are looking at a guy that might max out at 12 touches a week. And with a ton of weapons in the passing game, I doubt he’s consistently involved as a pass catcher.
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Wide Receiver to Avoid DraftKings Best Ball
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
The Broncos watched Sutton transform into a legitimate force last year, as the sophomore recorded 72 receptions for 1,112 yards and six touchdowns. He was impressive as an end zone target and contested catch guy and while receivers tend to take an even bigger step forward in their third season, there are some concerns. Denver drafted both Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler in the NFL Draft, while also signing Melvin Gordon in free agency. Secondly, Sutton was only the WR26 once Drew Lock took over at quarterback from Weeks 13-17 of last season. I think it is possible that Jeudy will pass him as the top wideout, and with suddenly a ton of mouths to feed in Denver, Sutton worries me a bit.
Sterling Shepard, New York Giants
The more I think about it, the more I dislike Shepard for fantasy in 2020. A natural slot receiver, Shepard played inside a good bit last season, lining up in the slot 47.2% of the time. However, in games where both he and Golden Tate were active, that number dropped all the way to 23.1 percent, which is a concern when you realize that Shepard is a far less efficient player when lined up on the perimeter over the course of his career. Meanwhile, the Giants’ skill players should be healthier this year, as the combination of Shepard, Tate, Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram missed a combined 22 games this season, while they didn’t play a single game together all year long. I don’t see much of a ceiling with Shepard this season
Tight End to Avoid DraftKings Best Ball
Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns
After a big 2019 campaign, Hooper got a big paycheck from the Browns and will now be playing in Cleveland. Playing in the pass-happiest offense in football last year, the former Falcon caught 75-of-97 targets for 787 yards and six touchdowns, despite missing three games. He won’t come close to that many targets during his inaugural season in Cleveland, as the Browns have multiple weapons, while Kevin Stefanski, who has a history using multiple tight ends, could get production out of David Njoku, who missed most of the 2019 season.
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