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Fantasy Football

How to Use the Sleepers, Breakouts and Busts Tool

Staff Writer



With the fantasy football draft season upon us, Alex Baker brings you his top fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts for the 2021 Fantasy Football Season. Alex is the world’s best daily fantasy sports player, having won over $7 million since he began playing seven years ago. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. Now he is loaning his expertise in predictive analytics to fantasy football.

The Sleepers, Breakouts and Busts tool is a part of the Awesemo Fantasy Football Draft Kit — sign up HERE.

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers, Breakouts & Bust Tool

Awesemo’s Sleepers, Breakouts and Busts Tool is designed to help drafters find value in your fantasy football drafts during the mid and later rounds, while also steering you the pitfalls of poorly projected players in our rankings. The tool highlights the difference between current ADP and our rankings, giving you a look at which players provide the most and least value. You do not necessarily have to reach to take these players where they are projected in our rankings if they are going many rounds later, but reaching a round or two early from their ADP is usually a good idea. The fantasy football community does not really have an exact definition of what constitutes a sleeper, or a deep sleeper, so for the purposes of this tool, here is how sleepers, deep sleepers, busts and breakouts are defined:

Breakout: An established, high-level player who will exceed his prior performance and expectations (as measured by average draft position) going into the season.

Sleeper: A mid-range player who is projected to outperform his ADP.

Deep Sleeper: An end-of-draft flier who has the potential to be a diamond in the rough.

Bust: A player who is expected to underperform relative to other players in his ADP range.

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