They say you cannot win your league in your fantasy draft. However, I firmly believe you can lose it. Spending high draft capital on a player that turns out to be a complete bust can be detrimental to your team. Even though the quarterback position is deep, a fantasy bust at the quarterback position can sometimes hurt even more, since many owners decide to roster just one. So, it is important to do your research and scout these players. Lucky for you, I have done some of this scouting already. These are three quarterbacks that I believe could be fantasy football busts in 2020.
Tired of the industry consensus and of the hot take machine? How about a data driven approach for a change? The world’s No. 1 daily fantasy player has put his projections talents to work, creating Awesemo’s first ever Fantasy Football Draft Kit. In it, users will receive access to:
- Awesemo’s Fantasy Football Rankings
- The Draft Wingman
- Breakouts, Sleepers and Busts Table
- Awesemo Cheatsheets
- Customizable Strength of Schedule Tool
- Awesemo’s Live Mock Drafts (coming soon)
All this for just $29.95 and that includes a $35 credit for new users at FFPC. Sign up HERE!
Fantasy Football Busts: Quarterbacks for 2020
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
ADP: QB6 | 58th Overall
Oh boy, let’s start off controversial. Murray has been hyped up all offseason, and that hype went to another level when the Cardinals were able to trade to DeAndre Hopkins. There’s zero doubting that he has an incredibly talented corps of receivers. I do, however, doubt his ability in this offense to be as effective as many are hyping him up to be.
For starters, this offensive line is terrible. Per Football Outsiders, this unit ranked No. 26 in pass protection, giving up 50 sacks last season (tied for fifth most). Arizona drafted a tackle in the third round and let their starting center go. That’s the moves they made. In other worse, Murray is going to be running for his life yet again and won’t be able to look deep again.
Secondly, we see the sophomore slump from quarterbacks a lot. This is mostly due to defenses having pro film on them now. Not only is this true for Murray, he faces the Seahawks, 49ers and Rams a combined six times. That’s a lot of games against good defenses. We saw Baker Mayfield have that slump last season for two reasons. First, defenses had film. Second, his offensive line was terrible.
The same is true for Murray this season, so I am not buying this Cardinals team in the slightest. I think they will struggle yet again, and Murray is being selected too high. He’s the biggest potential fantasy bust at quarterback this season to me.
Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
ADP: QB9 | 74th Overall
Ryan has been a steady quarterback for quite awhile thanks in part to how elite Julio Jones has been. This season, Ryan enters the year with the least amount of pass-catching talent he may have ever had, which is why I consider him a potential fantasy bust this season, after he was QB11 last year.
Jones is still there, and that covers up a lot of issues, but there is a lot depending on him. Calvin Ridley is entering his third season, hoping this is finally the year he eclipses 1,000 yards. After those two, there’s a lot of questions. Ryan had a strong relationship with Austin Hooper on and off the field. He’s gone, replacing him with Hayden Hurst, who has yet to live up to his potential in the NFL. The third wide receiver is Russell Gage. In other words, he doesn’t have a competent third wide receiver.
The Falcons made a running back switch as well, replacing dual threat Devonta Freeman with Todd Gurley, who has been monitored very closely in camp already, ensuring they don’t work his little legs too hard. This is a downgrade, from a passing game perspective. As you can see, there’s a lot of questions on this offense, outside of Jones, which makes Ryan a risk. I don’t want a quarterback whose success depends on the availability of another player.
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
ADP: QB11 | 78th Overall
Could Rodgers have a bounce-back year? Absolutely. However, the main argument for him is that he is one of the best quarterbacks the NFL has ever seen. That’s great. The second-best argument for him is that his team put him in such a bad situation that he will be angry and motivated enough to play out of his mind. Yes, this could be true. You know what else could happen? He could put up a poor fantasy performance to his standards because he is in a poor situation.
The offense is set up through the run. If the run doesn’t work, nothing will work. This team no longer is set up to flow through Rodgers. The draft class Green Bay had also shows that they would like to run the ball even more, limiting the potential of Rodgers for fantasy. For the cherry on top, the one veteran acquisition they had at wide receiver opted out of the season. Essentially, they are running it back with the same receiving weapons as last season. While I think they are underrated as a whole, they are certainly not great.
There’s just little reason to trust Rodgers as your QB1, heading into Week 1.
Don’t forget to check out the loads of free content on our Fantasy Football home page, including more fantasy football busts. Sign up for just $29.95 (includes a $35 credit at FFPC for new users). Sign up HERE!