FantasyDraft Weekly: Week 6 NFL DFS Picks for the $500,000 Hooters Main Event!

Another week, another amazing, rake free contest from FantasyDraft. Let’s dive into some free NFL Picks for your daily fantasy lineups for Week 6. Not on FantasyDraft?  SIGN UP NOW and use promo code AWESEMO for a free seven day trial membership.

About FantasyDraft

FantasyDraft, the only rake free daily fantasy site is returning with the Hooters Main Event, another $750,000 contest for Week 3. It’s the largest and only rake free context of it’s kind.

Why pay a 15% rake when you can pay next to nothing? FantasyDraft has monthly plans that charge you a flat fee that allow you to play up to a specific dollar level, rake free. So, if you were to go on their $100 per month plan, you’d get up to $25,000 in rake free entries that month. At a 15% rake, that would normally cost you $3,750. Easy decision.

Other differences:

Less top-heavy contents: Paying out a minimum of 25% of players in paid contests. Fewer top-heavy structures means less variance for GPP players and more chances to get a return on your investment.

Flexible Lineup Structure: More freedom to build, done using extra FLEX positions, and less specific positions.

Multi-Entry Capping: Leveling the playing field by limiting the number of lineups players can enter in contests.

Scoring: It’s the same as DraftKings. The only major difference between these sites is the salary cap. FantasyDraft is $100,000, which of course makes it easy to determine what percentage of your cap hit is taken up by a given player.

Rosters: There’s one less WR spot and one extra FLEX, allowing the player a little more creativity when building.

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FantasyDraft Week 6 NFL DFS Picks

We are looking good on FantasyDraft this week. Unlike other sites, there’s a fair amount of soft pricing, giving us loads of value options to choose from.

Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes: Grade: A, Value: A

Ankle Injury aside, spots don’t get much better than a matchup against the Texans pass funnel defence, who are allowing the 7th most fantasy points to opposing QBs in 2019. Their CBs are on the slower side and will be exploitable against the speedy Tyreek Hill (if he can go) and Mecole Hardman.

“Patrick Mahomes’ ankle issues are a concern but he still should be able to find a way to be useful with a top implied total. Houston allows 270.4 passing yards per game and a 70.3% completion rate for opposing quarterbacks. Even if Mahomes loses some of his mobility—a big asset to his game, given how he can escape the pocket for some of his best plays—Houston seems unlikely to hold him down, but also should score enough to keep the Chiefs’ passing game live into the fourth quarter.” – from Chris Spags’ Slant and Go.

Wide Receiver

DeAndre Hopkins: Grade: B, Value: B

DeAndre Hopkins is priced up a bit here as the fourth highest WR on the slate on FantasyDraft, but his overall lack of production since week one should keep the ownership down a bit. And of course, he’s playing in the highest totaled game of the week, with the Texans visiting the Kansas City Chiefs.

Here’s what Sam Smith had to say in his weekly CB vs. WR matchups column.

“Houston has hit its stride in the passing game and Kansas City’s defense has slid with three-consecutive mediocre performances. As such, we are riding these complementary waves and hammering the chalk that is DeAndre Hopkins. With Deshaun Watson‘s recent blend of volume and efficiency, mixed with the Chiefs’ poor pass rush, this game seems prime for another passing explosion.

Bashaud Breeland and Charvarious Ward generally stay on their respective sides of the field for Kansas City. With only one real exception (week 2 against Oakland), Breeland has overwhelmingly stayed on the left and Ward on the right. Ward is the better cover corner, but this does not appear to be a shadow situation, especially with Will Fuller exploding like he did last week. As such, Hopkins should get his run against Breeland.

Breeland has been up and down, recording a wide range of PFF coverage grades. However, his raw stats (48 percent targeted completion, 68.9 target rating, .84 yards per coverage snap) are pretty strong on paper, excluding a whopping four penalties against Indianapolis. He is seeing five targets per game on average, on the higher end for a corner, but only 2.4 completions and 7.2 yards per target. Overall, Breeland’s numbers suggest that Kansas City may be fine with him getting one-on-one matchups with Hopkins.

But some of that low volume can be attributed to Breeland not following receivers, and thus not dealing with consistent targets of number ones. With Houston, I expect both Fuller and Hopkins to get plenty of shots whenever matched with Breeland. I favor Hopkins, as he is due for positive regression and is not as dependent on home runs to pop.”

Running Back

Leonard Fournette: Grades: A, Values: A

That workload never seems to decrease for Leonard Fournette – who has exceeded expectations week in and week out, despite poor game scripts and a weak offensive line. In fantasy football, volume always trumps matchup. Of course, this week’s home date against the Saints isn’t as bad as it once was. The Saints used to be a pass funnel, with a consistent top-five run DVOA, but that mark has dropped all the way to 17th this season.

Here’s what Adam Pfeifer had to say in his weekly Fantasy Football matchups column:

Another week, another huge workload for Leonard Fournette. After carrying the ball 23 times for 108 yards with four catches, Fournette now ranks fourth among all backs in rushing attempts (95), 10th in catches (20) and seventh in targets (29). Fournette has also played a whopping 91 percent of the snaps through five weeks. Given that usage, I’m not sure why he is still under $7,000 on DraftKings, making him slightly interesting, despite the poor matchup. The Saints haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 27 consecutive games, though they are allowing 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game, which is 30th in the league. Fournette now leads all running backs in routes run with 161, giving him a huge floor each week. The uptick in passing game work has Fournette looking like a potential top-five running back the rest of the way, though he’s barely inside my top-10 for this week.

Tight End

George Kittle: Grade: A, Value: A

George Kittle is off to a relatively slow start this week with just one 70-yard, 20-fantasy point performance to speak of. The 49ers are running the ball at the highest rate in the NFL this season, but that might change this week against the Rams with both their starting tackles out and the game script favoring the Rams at home. This is just guesswork, but if the 49ers are unable to impose their will on the ground, that should force a more pass-heavy attack.

Kittle is PFF’s top-ranked tight end this year with a 92.3 receiving grade. He’s catching 82% of his passes and sits second in yards per route run. The real question here is whether or not the volume is going to come. The price point is good enough on DraftKings and FantasyDraft that you don’t necessarily need an elite performance and Austin Hooper, up against the worst tight end defense in the NFL, should soak up most of the ownership in that price range. Though the Rams are solid against tight ends, they are quietly playing at the fastest pace in the NFL this year at 23.91 seconds per play.

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