The KBO couldn’t have been more KBO to send us off than raining out 4 of 5 games last night to wipe out the whole slate and giving us 5/5 games with an 85% chance of precipitation on our last night of KBO DFS action. It’s been a fun ride and a blast seeing all our big winners in screenshots and at the top of GPP standings! I appreciate all the eyeballs, clicks and kind words you guys have given me the last few months. Make sure to keep coming around for MLB content, we’re not so much saying goodbye as switching to a a different continent in a timezone that is better for our sanity.
With only one game playing there’s not much to recap and only a minimal update to yesterday’s details. The Tigers and Eagles played a wildly unremarkable 2-1 game that featured nine total hits and no home runs. Tigers starter Hyung-jong Yang would have delivered on his chalky spot with a solid eight strikeout performance.
The matchup for tonight’s game has been updated below, as have the game totals for all games and the games with pitching matchups that changed. Home run ratings were updated for new pitching matchups. I’m leaving yesterday’s notes and updating with new content in italics. These games look very likely to have weather issues, so be sure to be awake for lock.
To get yourself going in MLB DFS check out Awesemo’s MLB DFS primer, the MLB DFS Kickoff Strategy Show, Day 1 of the MLB Cram Session, Day 2 for Rosters, Hitters and Stacks, and Day 3’s Pitchers rundown Keep an eye on the MLB channel and the site for everything you need to catch up fast.
KBO DFS Overview: Top HR Options, Stacks and Pitchers
KBO DFS Home Run Ratings
Scale: 5-10 Average; 10-20 Good; 20-25 Very Good; 25+ Great
Doosan Bears: Jae-il Oh – 10.20
Hanwha Eagles: Hae-chang Lee – 7.88
Kia Tigers: Ji-wan Na – 16.61
Kiwoom Heroes: Ha-seong Kim – 16.37
KT Wiz: Mel Rojas Jr. – 20.50
LG Twins: Hyun-soo Kim – 24.00
Lotte Giants: Jun-woo Jeon – 19.69
NC Dinos: Aaron Altherr – 23.38
Samsung Lions: Dong-yeop Kim – 18.15
SK Wyverns: Jamie Romak – 19.71
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KBO DFS Pitching Options
Tonight’s KBO DFS pitching slate looks a little bumpy with limited options and some large game totals. There is one standout option
Drew Rucinski is the top pitcher on both sites and his price and popularity support that statement on their own. The quality is there and Rucinski is worth paying up for and eating some chalk. His ownership isn’t quite as over the top as we saw on Drew Gagnon last night, so we should be able to play this a bit more comfortably. Rucinski hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a game since his second start of the season in early May. He has been lights out of late giving up just two runs over 34 innings in his last four starts. The only concerning factor in Rucinski’s numbers is his FIP differential, which sits at -1.72 with a 2.05 earned run average giving way to an underlying 3.77 FIP. Rucinski has been getting some benefit from luck and defense here, but there’s enough reason to believe he’ll continue to produce and the rest of his numbers are in line with his stellar 2019 KBO season. Rucinski is facing the Lions who have been friskier in recent weeks, but Vegas has them saddled with the slate’s lowest implied total and the only one under four runs.
Last night’s recommendation of the Tigers’ Hyun-jong Yang was something of a best-spot play. Tonight the Tigers starter is actually a good pitcher and projects as strongly as Rucinski. Brooks has posted a solid 3.03 FIP and a KBO-solid 20.5% strikeout rate. He and Rucinski will be the extremely popular staters on the slate tonight, so the comments below about the alternatives still hold up.
I don’t typically like targeting the Twins with arms but you could do worse than William Cuevas as an option tonight as well. He’s probably my favorite of the also-ran crowd, but I could argue for some Geon-wook Lee against the Giants as well.
KBO DFS Games and Stacks
Kia Tigers @ Hanwha Eagles – 8.5 run total (5.44/3.30) – Suggested Stack(s): Tigers 2-6 (new matchup)
The Tigers look to be in a fantastic spot again here tonight as the heavy favorites if this game manages to play. Chad Bell has just had a rough year so far and KBO DFS owners have done well stacking against him. Tonight looks like more of the same with the Tigers ranked as the top stack on both sites. The bats here haven’t changed much, the lineup should be identical to what we’ve seen recently. The Preston Tucker ($17/$6,000), Hyung-woo Choi ($15/$5,000), Ji-wan Na ($11/$4,000) stack works one last time for the money, and you can tack on Chang-jin Lee ($5/$3,200) and Min-sang Yoo ($7/$3,000) inexpensively.
The Eagles are in a bad spot here. They put up one run in a much better spot last night and there’s just nothing to like from them once again. A very small deployment of three-man stacks with Eun-won Jung ($9/$3,400), Brandon Barnes ($16/$2,200) and either Tae-kyun Kim ($7/$2,900) or Ju-suk Ha ($7/$3,900) would be the most you should consider.
LG Twins @ KT Wiz – 10.5 run total (4.83/5.91) – Suggested Stack(s): Wiz 2-6
The Twins changed pitchers here but the total for the Wiz went up with the line movement and they still look strong. I like them better here than I did last night, with the same basic stack recommendations. Mel Rojas Jr. and Jeong-dae Bae are very good under-owned options that should help keep a popular stack in play. I wouldn’t mind expanding to a five-man Wiz build here.
The Twins lost a wild game that saw them tie the score at nine in the top of the ninth only to lose 10-9 on a walk-off homer by Baek-ho Kang. The Twins rank in the bottom-middle of the stack tool here and don’t look particularly strong taking on William Cuevas. The implied team total is dangerously close to slipping below five runs but KBO DFS players are still on these bats, putting them in that shaky middle ground of stack plays. The bats to own are the names we know here, Roberto Ramos ($15/$4,900) mashed a home run last night and looks like a good option for another today. Hyun-soo Kim ($16/$4,800) joins him as a quality home run pick in my model and a hitter who looks great in Awesemo’s projections. This lineup falls off as we get past the five-spot until hitting Kang-nam Yoo ($10/$4,800) if he’s hitting down-lineup again. I could see playing a limited amount of him here if people don’t go that route heavily. Hyung-jong Lee ($5/$3,700) remains a good play hitting in a quality spot in this lineup for the minimum on FanDuel.
The Wiz rank out similarly to their opponents in the stack tool tonight and they’re not my favorite option despite a fairly strong implied team total. On FanDuel there are numerous good hitters in this lineup who are projecting for nearly zero ownership. Yong-ho Jo ($8/$2,700) and Jeong-dae Bae ($13/$3,300) are both essentially untouched and are still important cogs in this lineup. Jo in particular given his price and leadoff spot in the batting order is very appealing on the blue site. The big bats here will all be popular but worth it. Mel Rojas Jr. ($18/$6,500) is going to keep rolling over the KBO whether we’re watching or not and his pal Baek-ho Kang ($14/$5,700) has another strong mark in the home run model.
Lotte Giants @ SK Wyverns – 10.5 run total (4.93/5.81) – Suggested Stack(s): Giants 1-3-4-5-6
The only real change here is that the total has gone up for the Wyverns based on some line movement. The increased total bumps them up to third in stacks on DraftKings and second on FanDuel, but the ownership will be very heavy on the blue site. The matchups remain the same.
Another game that was decided in thee bottom of the ninth saw the Wyverns rally to overcome the Giants in a thrilling 8-7 win on a Jamie Romak walk off shot. The Wyverns are the favored team tonight and the Giants total is close to slipping below five implied runs. They rank in the middle of the stack tool tonight and there looks to be some ownership appeal with the stack going well under on both sites. Getting to the big bats in this lineup isn’t difficult, Jun-woo Jeon ($13/$4,400) has one of the best marks on any team in the homer model tonight and looks strong in Awesemo’s projections. KBO DFS owners can plug him in and build with the hitters around him here. Chi-hong An ($10/$3,600) is a good late-lineup option for these guys. Projected two-hitter Dong-hee Han ($9/$3,500) is a bit of a hole in the lineup with his low projection, but his spot in the batting order should work him into at least some of your Giants builds. Dae-ho Lee ($12/$4,500) remains an inexpensive power option on both sites.
Most of the production from this Wyverns lineup came from right where we expected it and I see no reason that the bats you want would be any different tonight if you’re going to this team. The play on DraftKings is fine, they rank fourth in stacks and, while they’re a bit popular, ownership isn’t too outrageous. On FanDuel they are trending toward 25% team ownership and make a much tougher pill to swallow. Jeong Choi ($14/$5,300), Jamie Romak ($12/$4,400), and Dong-min Han ($8/$4,100) are copy/pasted directly from last night’s builds. You can add hitters like Jong-wook Ko ($6/$3,400) and Ji-hoon Choi ($6/$2,900) to help differentiate or fill out stacks.
Samsung Lions @ NC Dinos – 9.0 run total (3.72/5.51) – Suggested Stack(s): Dinos 1-5
The game total in this one came down by 0.5 since yesterday’s write-up, taking the Dinos down a peg by comparison to the other top stacks, but leaving the matchup relatively unchanged. Eui-ji Yang has moved to the injured list but we had him projected out last night, so that is accounted for in the write-up below.
The total in this one comes down by a run but most of it comes out of the Lions’ end taking on the top pitcher of the night in Drew Rucinski. There’s not a ton to love about the Lions stack in projections and they rank near the bottom of stacks on both sites. This is a contrarian play only and it’s not one I particularly like. No one will be on it so if you go here play the obvious bats with Ja-wook Koo ($11/$4,000), Dong-yeop Kim ($8/$3,000) and Won-seok Lee ($9/$3,800).
The Dinos maintain most of their implied team total from the game last night that ended in a 6-5 10th inning victory. They rank in the top three stacks on both sites and make strong option once again for KBO DFS if you can work with their pricing. Eui-ji Yang is not in our projected lineup tonight, the catcher took a bump last night and seems likely to rest and heal today. We’ve moved Aaron Altherr ($17/$5,800) up in the lineup to fill in and he looks fantastic again tonight. Pairing him with Sung-bum Na ($16/$5,500) and building from there makes all the sense with this stack and there are options up and down this lineup. Even backup catcher Tae-goon Kim ($6/$2,600) makes a reasonable catcher pivot on DraftKings just by virtue of being in this lineup, but don’t go crazy with him there’s a reason he’s a backup catcher, those guys typically aren’t known for their bats.
Kiwoom Heroes @ Doosan Bears – 10.5 run total (4.92/5.83) – Suggested Stack(s): Bears 1-2-3-4-6
The Heroes also changed their pitcher and it looks to have goosed the line in the Bears favor a little. The Bears look great again in the projections and stack tool. They jump all the way to second in the stack tool on DraftKings and are pulling about half the ownership they should be on FanDuel where they rank in the middle of a tightly packed group. This is a team to jump on in a matchup against Seung-ho Lee, a young lefty with a propensity to give up the long ball. Lee is carrying a 5.20 FIP and just a 14% strikeout rate. Target acquired.
When you call a game “flat dead” you pretty much expect to see a gigantic score in the box the next day, but this one played around expectation last night in a 6-1 Bears victory. The Heroes get a better spot here and the game total goes up a full two runs to 10.5. The Heroes rank in the top three stacks and look like a quality play again. The top of this lineup is very popular but that’s where most of the quality is. Byung-ho Park ($12/$4,800) is a great power option at his price on both sites. Jung-hoo Lee ($16/$5,100) and Ha-seong Kim ($17/$6,200) are among the best options in the KBO at their positions and backup catcher Ji-young Lee ($7/$2,800) can deliver some salary and positional relief from later in the lineup as a back-end attachment to stacks.
It took the Bears nearly six full innings, but they finally got to Eric Jokisch last night, putting all six runs on his tab in that inning. The matchup with Won-tae Choi tonight has the Bears pushed down toward the bottom-middle of the stack tool but they could be sneaky quality here with a low team ownership number and still a reasonable chance at being the top stack even from that low in the rankings. Things are relatively evenly distributed in KBO DFS play tonight and things could break in any direction. On a day like that when you can grab a team you know is generally one of the best offenses in the league without many people on them, it’s the type of play we’re looking for. Jae-won Oh ($7/$2,500) hits seventh in this lineup and pops up in optimizers given his low pricing and second base eligibility. He’s a tricky player for those utilities because we don’t want him in great amounts, and he occupies a spot that has a lot of quality in the KBO on his own team and in other stacks we may want to use with the Bears. Because of this it is critical to make sure you’re properly limiting your exposures on Oh so that you will be able to get to the best builds. Those should include Jae-il Oh ($14/$4,100) who is still still too cheap. Jae-hwan Kim ($17/$5,200) looks great right behind him in the lineup and if you can afford to just roll four of the top five hitters here it’s an angle I like to take. The redundant positioning is getting irritating on DraftKings however, with four of the top five hitters qualifying at first base two of the at second and the others in the outfield it can be an exercise in mental gymnastics to click these guys together, but it’s worth your exploration.
Favorite KBO DFS Stack: Doosan Bears
HR Call: Aaron Altherr (NC Dinos)
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