Anytime you can get a high-end hitter against his opposite hand, you have to take a closer look. Machado is in that spot tonight against Eric Skoglund. For his career, Skoglund has a 44% hard contact rate versus righties. For reference, the league average rate is 34.8%. For Machado’s career, he sports a .355 OBP, .511 SLG and .220 ISO against lefties. Plus, the Orioles have the second highes implied total of the slate. Machado is my favorite play of the day.
I’m a big fan of Moose Tacos regardless of his DFS status, so I’m always happy on days where he has a good match-up. This one is as good as it gets. Over the past three years, Andrew Cashner has a 5.37 xFIP against righties. In case you’re curious, Cashner’s xFIP is the second highest in baseball over the past three years. If you prefer Moustakas’ teammate Lucas Duda, I have no problem with him either.
The Blue Jays have the third highest implied total tonight, which is a big time benefit for Donaldson. While Wade LeBlanc has relatively neutral splits, Donaldson nukes lefties to the tune of a .382 OBP, .587 SLG and .299 ISO in his career. While it didn’t go well for the Jays yesterday, LeBlanc is not James Paxton. Get some Donaldson in your life.
I agree with Josh on Moustakas and Donaldson; they are definitely the top 3rd basement tonight. Of the two, I prefer Moustakas for the lower price, but he might get an ownership bump after his two home runs last night. Machado I think is a good play tonight but at SS I prefer Alen Hanson leading off for a bargain price.
MLB Player Props: Home Run Props & Strikeout Props Tool For MLB Starters Today (Free Trial)
MLB DFS Showdown/Single-Game Ownership Projections
MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model (Free Trial)
MLB DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo
Awesemo’s MLB DFS Rankings
MLB DFS Tournament Strategy: Leverage, Home Runs, Optimal Picks | Today, 10/16/21
MLB DFS Main Slate Ownership Projections
MLB DFS Top Stacks Tool