Nola is jammed in a stacked high-end price range on DraftKings, but we get him at somewhat of a discount at under $11K tonight. The Mets are a team that doesn’t pose much of a threat offensively, and Nola has been fantastic at home this season, posting a 2.89 xFIP, 29.5% K-rates, 1.01 WHIP, and just 21% hard-contact in Philadelphia. With other guys taking ownership away from him, Nola makes for a fantastic GPP play on tonight’s 14-game slate.
Lucchesi has already had success earlier this year against the Giants, and this is a much worse team than he saw in April as they’ve lost Buster Posey and Andrew McCutchen recently. San Francisco comes into tonight with a 3.3 implied run total and Lucchesi has done a good job missing bats as of late, posting double-digit swinging-strike rates in 4 out of his last 5 outings and striking out at least 6 in 4 out of 5 as well. His 24.8% K-rate against righties puts him in play as a solid mid-tier GPP play on DraftKings.
You know what you’re getting as far as range of outcomes with Bundy, but for $6,400, he’s worth a look in GPPs tonight against 6 righties. Toronto is striking out nearly 24% against righties over the last month while Bundy fans RHH at a 31.3% clip with a 3.32 xFIP and 1.07 WHIP. The matchup is about as good as it gets for him, so I’ll certainly have a fair amount of Bundy exposure in GPPs.
Braves (vs. Austin Gomber)
Gomber finally showed signs of regression in his last start against righties as he was rocked by the Dodgers and was unable to miss bats (4.2% swinging-strike rate). Facing a handful of good righties like Ronald Acuna, Ozzie Albies, and Tyler Flowers as well as two tough lefties in Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis, Gomber will have a very tough test once again. The velocity on his is down over 2 MPH from earlier in the season, so he could be nursing an injury, making this an even better spot to attack in GPPs with a full-stack.
Nationals (vs. Sandy Alcantara)
Alcantara is someone that I respect as a pitcher, but this is a pretty poor matchup for him and I don’t think he will continue to miss bats at the same rate that he has in his short stint in the MLB this year. While he hasn’t allowed a lot of power, the Nationals could get to him with speed, as he’s allowed 16 stolen bases on 21 attempts this year in Triple-A. Guys like Turner, Harper, and Eaton all get an extra boost tonight, and if they’re able to get to Alcantara, you get to face a Marlins bullpen that has an xFIP of almost 5 over the last 30 days.
Mike Moustakas (vs. Michael Lorenzen)
A.J. Pollock (vs. Mike Montgomery)
Manny Machado (vs. Kyle Freeland)
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