The MLB DFS Deep Dive is back! This article is intended to give you an in-depth look at the top MLB DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on the day’s fantasy baseball slate. It is recommended that you use this article in conjunction with Awesemo’s MLB projections, ownership projections and the Top Stack tool.
MLB DFS Deep Dive: DraftKings + FanDuel Picks | Sept. 15
Julio Urias ($10,500 DraftKings/$10,300 FanDuel) faces the Diamondbacks, who have the lowest implied run total on the slate. Urias is having a strong season, striking out 26.7% of hitters and posting a 3.67 xFIP. He typically is not going to throw more than 100 pitches, but he should throw 90 to 100, assuming that he is pitching well, which is enough to make him a top option on tonight’s slate.
Tylor Megill ($9,200 DraftKings/$7,800 FanDuel) has a relatively difficult strikeout matchup against the Cardinals, but he should benefit from a predominantly right-handed lineup. St. Louis’s active roster has only struck out 22.2% of the time against right-handed pitching this season, but they also have a below average 90 wRC+ and .302 wOBA. Megill has been dominant against right-handed hitters this season, striking out 30.3% while allowing a .233 xwOBA and .103 xISO. He has had issues with lefties, allowing a .340 xwOBA and .256 xISO with a 24.1% strikeout rate, but the Cardinals’ projected lineup has just two left-handed hitters other than the pitcher.
Huascar Ynoa ($8,900 DraftKings/$8,400 FanDuel) has struck out 27.4% of hitters and has a 3.40 xFIP this season, and he has a favorable matchup against the Rockies. Colorado’s active roster has a 25.2% strikeout rate, 73 wRC+ and .281 wOBA outside of Coors Field this season. Ynoa’s combination of strikeout ability and matchup make him stand out as one of the top pitching options tonight.
Nestor Cortes ($7,900 DraftKings/$7,700 FanDuel) has struck out 22.2% of hitters in 10 starts this season. His 4.98 xFIP suggests that he could struggle going forward, but it is worth noting that he has held opposing hitters to a .280 xwOBA as a starter, so it is possible that he continues to have success. The matchup against the Orioles is relatively dangerous, as they have plenty of right-handed power in their lineup, but Cortes has been able to mitigate power this season, as righties have just a .139 xISO and .281 xwOBA (including his time in the bullpen). As a starter, right-handed hitters have a .296 xwOBA and .179 ISO.
Ranger Suarez ($7,300 DraftKings/$8,800 FanDuel) is pricy on FanDuel but stands out as the best value SP2 option on DraftKings. Suarez, like Cortes, began the year as a reliever before transitioning to the starting rotation. He has made a total of eight starts this season, striking out 23.4% of hitters and posting a 3.79 xFIP. He has yet to allow a home run as a starter and has an elevated 84.8% left-on-base rate in addition to a .287 BABIP, so his 1.67 ERA will not be intact much longer. Still, he is inexpensive in a strong matchup against the Cubs, who lead the league in strikeout rate since the trade deadline. Suarez has held opponents to a .261 xwOBA as a starter this season. Against right-handed hitters specifically, he has allowed a .282 xwOBA and .050 ISO.
Gary Sanchez ($3,800 DraftKings/$3,100 FanDuel)
Jose Abreu ($4,200 DraftKings/$4,000 FanDuel)
D.J. LeMahieu ($4,000 DraftKings/$3,600 FanDuel)
Alex Bregman ($4,400 DraftKings/$4,200 FanDuel)
Corey Seager ($4,400 DraftKings/$3,600 FanDuel)
Aaron Judge ($5,200 DraftKings/$4,300 FanDuel)
Eloy Jimenez ($3,800 DraftKings/$3,500 FanDuel)
Yordan Alvarez ($5,000 DraftKings/$3,600 FanDuel)
Note: Be sure to check out the Top Stacks Tool to compare a team’s chances of success to their aggregate ownership.
- New York Yankees
- Houston Astros
- Chicago White Sox
Top Under-owned Stacks: Oakland Athletics, Los Angeles Dodgers, Atlanta Braves
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