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Bumgarner is nearing the end of a solid season where he is striking out 24.1% of hitters and walking just 5.1% of them as well. Outside of the amount of righties he’s set to face against the Marlins, his matchup could not be any better, especially when you factor in San Francisco as one of the best parks in the MLB for pitching. As far as safety goes for any pitcher, it doesn’t get much better than facing the Marlins, who have a near 22% K-rate versus lefties with an 88 wRC+ and .145 ISO against them. Bumgarner is expensive, but with elite pitching on this slate having tough matchups, he has a case to be the top raw-point pitcher on the slate.
Flaherty makes for an excellent upper mid-tier option on two pitcher sites. The matchup against the Brewers is much better than what it would have been a few days ago, since Milwaukee lost one of the best lefty bats in all of the MLB in Christian Yelich. Flaherty should see a pretty balanced lineup, but any righties in the order would be a nice bonus, as his K-rate versus righties is up to 34.4% in 2019. Taking Yelich off the roster puts the Brewers at a 25.3% K-rate versus righties with a below-average 96 wRC+, and the K-potential is huge when you factor in Lyles’ 49% K-rate (since 2018). Flaherty looks like a fantastic option in all-formats, and should rival Bumgarner as one of the best plays in this range on all sites.
While Running back Bobby Duggs never feels comfortable, he can certainly have some success in San Francisco against a below-average team in the Giants. San Fran has a 23.1% K-rate against righties on the year, and Dugger, too, should see a balanced lineup with 4-5 righties plus the pitcher spot (Bumgarner has a 50% K-rate vs. RHP). There are some things to like about Bobby Duggs so far in his short MLB career, specifically his K-rate against righties (26.7%). He is not a good MLB pitcher yet, but at a cheap price tag on a Coors slate, he’s a guy I will play with regularity in this favorable situation.
In addition to our MLB Projections, Awesemo’s ownership projections come out every day before lineup lock. In addition, we also release a daily Top Stack projection, which takes a look at how likely each MLB stack is to be the highest scoring unit on the slate, relative to our projected ownership and value. Want a more in-depth look? Check out Data Central page, which tallies up every single bit of data we’ve collected over the course of the day, including chance of postponement.
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