MLB DFS Picks: Noah Syndergaard & Spotlight Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball Lineups, September 24 (FREE)

MLB Picks: Tuesday, September 24th has a thirteen game main slate on Yahoo, DraftKings, FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Before you lock in your baseball DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription. 


I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find three tables, one each for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.

This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. In addition to using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.

Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.

FanDuel MLB

[table id=1177 /]

DraftKings MLB

[table id=1178 /]

Yahoo MLB

[table id=1201 /]

Jack Flaherty

I haven’t been targeting the Diamondbacks much this season. They’ve been a below average strikeout spot for most of the year. On DraftKings, Flaherty’s price relative to the guys around him makes him tough to avoid. $9800 is just too cheap for someone with his talent. Arizona ranks 25th in wRC+ against righties with a comparable rank in ISO. They just haven’t been a scary matchup. Flaherty is death to righties. If the Diamondbacks happen to run out more than the three they currently projecting, my love for Flaherty will only grow.

Noah Syndergaard

Well, here’s the chalk. Syndergaard is just way too cheap across all three sites for a matchup with the Marlins. I’ve been harping on this matchup for six months, so I don’t really know what else I can say. This is the best spot in baseball. Syndergaard is my best point per dollar play across DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo. I expect him to be a popular cash option. All signs point to Syndergaard as a core play.

Jeff Hoffman

Yuck. This is a DK-only play. If you’re paying up for Gerrit Cole and need some savings, you could do worse than Hoffman in San Francisco. He’s struck out 27% of lefties this season. His biggest issue has been a massive amount of power allowed to righties, which should be mitigated substantially by pitching in Oracle Park. I think Hoffman can do enough to survive with the potential to pick up a few strikeouts against the Giants lefties. It’s ugly, but its the best thing going at the bottom.

Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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