MLB Picks: Sunday, September 15th gives us a nice variety of pitching and pitchers to target for the main slate on Yahoo, DraftKings, FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Before you lock in your baseball DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
For Today’s Spotlight Hitters and Stacks article click here
I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find three tables, one each for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.
This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. In addition to using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.
Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.
FanDuel MLB
[table id=1177 /]
DraftKings MLB
[table id=1178 /]
Yahoo MLB
[table id=1201 /]
Shane Bieber
I know it wasn’t by design, but having a complete garbage pitcher pool on an NFL Sunday is a good idea. Bieber sits alone at the top of the salary table in a terrifying spot against the Twins. Bieber has been lethal in 2019. He’s striking out 31% of hitter while generally limiting damage. He has had mild issues with power against his fastball, which the Twins can clearly exploit, but I can’t see how you avoid Bieber on this slate. He has an unrivaled ceiling on a slate filled with terrible options.
Wade Miley
Miley might not be a strikeout pitcher, but he does limit damage in a big way. Avoiding a blowup is important on a day like today. The Royals aren’t much of a strikeout spot, but they have been toothless against lefties this year. Their active roster has an 87 wRC+ and .162 ISO against lefties. They also have the second lowest implied total on the slate. Miley might not be the highest upside arm on the slate, but I like using him as a pay-down SP1 on FanDuel and a mid-tier SP2 on the two pitcher sites.
