MLB Picks: Thursday, September 26th gives us a six/five split slate on Yahoo, DraftKings, FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Before you lock in your baseball DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find three tables, one each for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.
This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. In addition to using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.
Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.
FanDuel MLB
[table id=1177 /]
DraftKings MLB
[table id=1178 /]
Yahoo MLB
[table id=1201 /]
Zack Wheeler
Four straight days. Four straight Mets pitchers against the Marlins. Wheeler is the most expensive pitcher on FanDuel, but he’s actually second on both DraftKings and Yahoo. I have Wheeler as my best point per dollar arm on the entire slate. It’s rare to see that for someone as expensive as Wheeler, but that’s both a symptom of a short slate and an indictment on the bottom tier. He’ll be popular, but once again, I’m targeting the Marlins.
Jose Quintana
The Pirates have been a stay-away for most of the season due to their low strikeout rate, but I think today is a bit different. Quintana is an average strikeout pitcher, but he’s death to lefties. The real appeal of Quintana is his price. He’s a much better pitcher than his price indicates on FanDuel and DraftKings. He’s a bit more appropriately priced on Yahoo, so the value isn’t as big, but he’s still in play as a talent due to the slate size. The park should help tremendously. The Pirates park kills right handed power, which is the only minor negative in Quintana’s resume.
Other Options
There’s not a ton to like on FanDuel. Aaron Civale is in play, but I like him a lot more on Yahoo. Jaime Barria terrifies me, but his price on DraftKings opens him up. At $4600, you can afford a mistake or two. He might not be necessary because of the pricing at the top, but he’ll definitely open up every bat if you need the savings.