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MLB DFS: Spotlight Pitcher Picks for Your June 12 DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo! Daily Fantasy MLB Lineups (FREE)

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FanDuel DFS baseball MLB picks for August 21st MLB DFS based on projections and ownership from the number 1 DFS player.

Fantasy MLB DFS:  There are several pitchers to target, but before you lock in your baseball lineups, make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.

For a FREE Spotlight Hitters and Stacks article covering Wednesday’s action click here 


I wanted to put a different spin on Spotlight DFS Pitchers, so I’m giving everyone a peek behind the curtain on how I look at them. Below you’ll find two tables, one for DraftKings and one for FanDuel, with the pitcher pool for today’s slate. In the table, you’ll find the pitcher’s name, salary, my projection and my percentage likelihood that they hit a particular target score.

This is the information that helps me make my decisions for which pitchers to roster. Using my projected stat line for a pitcher, I can estimate their chances of scoring 45+ FD points or 30+ DK points. These targets ignore the points acquired for getting the win, as I use the Vegas odds to set those scores for my pitchers.

Since I am a strict MME player in baseball, these are the thresholds I’ve determined I want on a day-to-day basis to try and win a tournament. Because of the difference in roster construction between the sites, I end up with a concentrated pool on FanDuel and a more spread out pool on DraftKings.

FanDuel

NameFD$FDFD%
Jacob deGrom$1120043.136.7%
Zack Greinke$1030036.29.5%
Jack Flaherty$990036.312.0%
Lance Lynn$970038.724.5%
Hyun-Jin Ryu$940032.37.4%
Jose Berrios$880037.715.3%
James Paxton$860031.110.4%
Eduardo Rodriguez$850030.811.0%
Zach Plesac$800029.63.0%
Jakob Junis$790024.42.7%
Vince Velasquez$770032.27.3%
Chris Paddack$760032.34.7%
Justus Sheffield$740024.30.9%
Anthony DeSclafani$720026.53.0%
Jordan Lyles$710026.72.2%
Mike Foltynewicz$700029.35.9%
Mitch Keller$660025.82.5%
Dylan Cease$640028.52.9%
Merrill Kelly$630021.91.5%
Peter Lambert$610020.61.0%
Trent Thornton$600023.11.1%
Trevor Richards$580018.50.3%
Jose Suarez$570016.40.3%
Ty Blach$570017.30.2%
Drew VerHagen$560019.40.5%
Hector Noesi$550025.33.5%

DraftKings

NameDK$DKDK%
Jacob deGrom$1130024.433.0%
Lance Lynn$1050021.621.9%
Hyun-Jin Ryu$1020017.76.7%
Jose Berrios$1000020.413.7%
Jack Flaherty$940019.511.0%
Eduardo Rodriguez$920016.89.9%
James Paxton$900017.29.7%
Zack Greinke$880019.38.5%
Chris Paddack$860017.44.4%
Dylan Cease$790014.62.7%
Vince Velasquez$780017.76.9%
Trevor Richards$74009.40.4%
Zach Plesac$720015.22.8%
Jakob Junis$710012.52.5%
Jordan Lyles$700013.82.2%
Mike Foltynewicz$690016.15.5%
Anthony DeSclafani$680014.02.9%
Mitch Keller$660013.82.5%
Merrill Kelly$650011.41.4%
Trent Thornton$620012.01.1%
Justus Sheffield$570012.10.9%
Drew VerHagen$52009.20.5%
Hector Noesi$520013.63.4%
Ty Blach$50008.00.3%
Jose Suarez$49007.90.3%
Peter Lambert$450010.61.0%

Yahoo!

NameY$YY%
Lance Lynn$5324.119.3%
Jacob deGrom$5126.929.8%
Zack Greinke$4821.87.5%
Eduardo Rodriguez$4719.29.2%
Jose Berrios$4722.812.0%
Hyun-Jin Ryu$4520.55.9%
Jack Flaherty$4221.510.8%
Chris Paddack$4219.64.4%
Anthony DeSclafani$3916.03.2%
Zach Plesac$3917.22.9%
Vince Velasquez$3619.87.5%
James Paxton$3619.210.2%
Jakob Junis$3514.52.6%
Trevor Richards$3310.60.6%
Mike Foltynewicz$3218.45.5%
Merrill Kelly$3113.51.6%
Jordan Lyles$3115.52.5%
Dylan Cease$3016.32.9%
Justus Sheffield$2813.61.0%
Trent Thornton$2713.81.3%
Peter Lambert$2612.41.1%
Mitch Keller$2615.43.1%
Drew VerHagen$2510.70.6%
Hector Noesi$2515.43.8%
Ty Blach$259.60.3%
Jose Suarez$259.20.4%

I’m truly happy there aren’t 30 pitchers to sift through today. Just a nice, normal eight gamer. Let’s win some money!

FanDuel

It’s easy at the top. Justin Verlander is the best pitcher on the slate. Now, he has a terrifying matchup against the power bats from Milwaukee, but when push comes to shove, he’s the guy I want most. If I don’t have the money to spend up for Verlander, I’m going to Jose Berrios. The Twins are massive favorites, and the Mariners project to strikeout at an above average rate, so I think a $9600 Berrios is the second best play on FanDuel. If I need even more money, Miles Mikolas is the guy I’m after. He’s rarely popular because of his style, but at $7600, against the Marlins, he has an incredibly high floor. His ceiling is more a volume play than a stuff play, but I expect to be well above the field on Mikolas.

DraftKings

On DraftKings, Verlander is again the clear best option. I can’t imagine spending $400 less for Mike Soroka. They’re simply not comparable. Berrios and Mikolas maintain their status as my #2 and #3 pitcher options. Verlander/Mikolas will be my most owned pitcher combo. The way the slate is set up, I can’t imagine going lower than Mikolas. I’d rather grab a few shares of Shaun Anderson than go down to Edwin Jackson or David Hess.

Yahoo!

For the most part, Yahoo tells the same story as the other sites. Verlander is at the top of the mountain. Berrios is the pivot if you need savings. Mikolas is my favorite pay down option, but I think Anderson is actually just as interesting, since he’s priced at the minimum ($25). One guy I do want to mention for Yahoo is Joey Lucchesi. He’s $43, and pitching in San Francisco against this lackluster Giants offense is as good as it gets. He should be more expensive for this matchup.


And stop by our Awesemo YouTube channel for loads of FREE MLB DFS content, including fantasy MLB lineup advice on The Strategy Show with Josh Engleman and Loughy, as well as MLB picks on Four Corners with Chris Spags, and the MLB Deep Dive with Awesemo, Loughy and ShipMyMoney, where they’ll discuss Awesemo’s MLB rankings.

Josh is the Director of Content for Awesemo.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections across all sports. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Awesemo's Premium Slack. You can contact Josh by emailing support@awesemo.com.

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