It’s Friday already, and MLB DFS ushers in the weekend with a 12-game slate that may be cut nearly in half before lock with inclement weather. In safer spots on the schedule, we’ll look at Gerrit Cole heading into Motown to face the Tigers and a home rematch for Walker Buehler with the divisional archrival Giants. Here are the Spotlight Pitchers for DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy baseball lineups on Friday, May 28.
Top Daily Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers | May 28
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Gerrit Cole: NYY at DET — DraftKings $11,200; FanDuel $12,200
Gerrit Cole takes on the Detroit Tigers on the road, averaging 29.6 DraftKings and 49.9 FanDuel points with a 38.5% strikeout rate in 10 starts. Awesemo’s MLB Top Pitchers Tool gives Cole a 31% chance of becoming a top-two pitcher on DraftKings and a 11.2% chance of being the top pitcher on FanDuel. Some of the slate’s best MLB DFS projections combine with a lofty price tag to give Cole a 6.4% chance of being a top-two value on DraftKings. Daily fantasy baseball ownership projections of 51.5% on DraftKings and 18.9% on FanDuel make the obvious chalk known, as Cole has arguably the best matchup and the highest fantasy ceiling on the slate.
The Tigers will four switch-hitters, three righties and two left-handed hitters, and Cole has earned a 46.4% strikeout rate against left-handed opposition. Akil Baddoo (seventh) has a .302 ISO against right-handed pitching this year and could be a hiccup late in the order for Cole. The Tigers have a .227 batting average, 27.5% strikeout rate and 88 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. The field ownership and salary cost are the biggest deterrents for Cole here, while the potential to put up monster fantasy totals is clear.
Awesemo’s FanDuel Grades: Points A, Value D
Awesemo’s DraftKings Grades: Points A, Value C
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Walker Buehler: LAD vs. SF — DraftKings $10,400; FanDuel $11,000
Walker Buehler looks to repeat on his most recent outing against the Giants, averaging 21.5 DraftKings and 38.22 FanDuel points with a 26.6% strikeout rate in nine starts. Awesemo’s MLB Top Pitchers Tool gives Buehler a 25.1% chance of becoming a top-two pitcher on DraftKings and a 9.9% chance of being the top pitcher on FanDuel. MLB DFS projections cross with a five-digit price tag to give Buehler 7.1% chance of being a top-two value on DraftKings and a 1.3% chance of being the top value pitcher on FanDuel. Daily fantasy baseball ownership projections of 31.2% on DraftKings and 9.4% on FanDuel insinuate elevated attention drawn on the two-pitcher site, while there are no issues on FanDuel.
Facing five lefties and four right-handed hitters from San Francisco, Buehler has earned a 23.1% strikeout rate with a 1.14 WHIP against left-handed hitters this year. Mike Yastrzemski (first) is earning a .302 ISO against right-handed pitchers while Brandon Crawford (fifth) has a .294 batting average and 165 wRC+ against the split. The Giants currently have a .224 batting average, 27.8% strikeout rate and 99 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Buehler is costly but comes at a fraction of the ownership of Cole while offering promising upside at home.
Awesemo’s FanDuel Grades: Points A, Value C
Awesemo’s DraftKings Grades: Points A, Value B
Jordan Lyles: TEX vs. SEA — DraftKings $5,300; FanDuel $6,700
Jordan Lyles is at a feasible bargain for Friday at Seattle, representing a 19.8% strikeout rate in 10 starts this season. Awesemo’s MLB Top Pitchers Tool gives Lyles a 5.9% chance of becoming a top-two pitcher on DraftKings and a 3.8% chance of reaching top pitcher status on FanDuel. Moderate MLB DFS projections with a dirt-cheap price tag combine to project Lyles for a 24.6% chance of being a top-two value on DraftKings and a 6% chance of being the top value on FanDuel. Daily fantasy baseball ownership projections of 5.3% on DraftKings and 0.30% on FanDuel suggest that Lyles may go mostly overlooked given Friday’s extensive slate size.
The Mariners will have five lefties and four right-handed hitters, and Lyles is striking out left-handed opposition at a 19.3% rate this year. Lefty Kyle Seager (third) has a .241 ISO off right-handed pitchers, while Mitch Haniger (second) precedes him with a .534 slugging percentage and 139 wRC+ against the split. Seattle has a .203 batting average, 25.7% strikeout rate and 85 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. He is not the most attractive option on paper, but Lyles provides salary relief and the ability to go deeper into the game in a great matchup.
Awesemo’s FanDuel Grades: Points E, Value C
Awesemo’s DraftKings Grades: Points D, Value A
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