Sunday, Sept. 12, MLB DFS slate is ripe with shaky pitching galore. Let’s get into the top MLB DFS picks for pitchers and stacks for Yahoo, DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy baseball lineups.
MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Pitchers and Top Stacks, Sunday, Sept. 12
Yahoo Stack of the Day: Toronto Blue Jays at LHP Zac Lowther — 6.1 implied runs
This season Zac Lowther has worked 53.2 innings between MLB and the minors. The 5.87 ERA has not been pretty, though he does have just over a strikeout per inning and has ceded seven home runs. The game-time temperatures will be in the low 80s with a 10 mph breeze out to left field in Camden Yards.
Toronto is particularly adept against lefties, with a top-five ranking in most offensive categories. Teoscar Hernandez ($20) continues to be overlooked by DFS gamers, but he has turned into an elite option against left-handed pitchers. Since the beginning of last year, in 174 opposite-handed matchups he has a .437 wOBA and a .366 ISO. By comparison, George Springer ($15) — a well-known lefty masher — has a .340 wOBA and .242 ISO in the same timeframe.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr ($20) continues to be in the mix for the Triple Crown launching his 43 home run yesterday with his 101st RBI and he is second in the batting championship race with a .319 average. Randal Grichuk ($7) is at the Yahoo minimum salary and even towards the bottom of the order he provides flexibility and cheap extra base hit upside. Marcus Semien ($23), Bo Bichette ($14), Lourdes Gurriel ($17) and whoever catches are all in play as well.
Chicago White Sox vs. RHP Nick Pivetta — 5.4 implied runs
This has been a rough season for Nick Pivetta, and a matchup against the White Sox is not doing him any favors. Walks have been a major issue, with 22 in just 49.2 innings. Chicago has a stacked lineup, and their projected starters have a trailing two year .228 ISO. The return of Yasmani Grandal brings the full suite of White Sox into the mix, and he has a .261 ISO from the left side over the last two seasons. Jose Abreu continues to crush same-handed hitters, and Eloy Jimenez has been even better than Abreu according to advanced metrics. Luis Robert, Brian Goodwin, Yoan Moncada and Cesar Hernandez are all in play and further demonstrate the embarrassment of riches for Chicago.
Oakland Athletics vs. LHP Taylor Hearn — 5.0 implied runs
Though Taylor Hearn has done a nice job of limiting runs, if his control is lacking, he could allow some power with runners on base. A full Athletics stack is not necessary on the three-game late slate, but by selectively targeting duos and trios with added synergy based on lineup slot, gamers can strategically increase their edge. Matt Olson has a .285 ISO in lefty/lefty matchups over the last two seasons. Ideally Yan Gomes will be behind the plate, as he has a .264 ISO in that same timeframe against opposite-handed pitchers. Depending on where Mark Canha lands in the lineup, he is the next player to focus on due to his proclivity to produce against southpaws.
One-off candidates are Khris Davis and Chad Pinder. Davis does not make contact often but connects for power when does. Pinder is going to be a pinch-hit risk if a righty comes into the game, though at a near minimum salary across the DFS sites he will provide plenty of salary cap flexibility.
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Top MLB DFS Picks Target: RHP Aaron Nola vs. Colorado Rockies — 2.7 implied runs
- DFS Salary: Yahoo $43 | FanDuel $8,800 | DraftKings $9,300
Not only are the Rockies the worst offense on the road, they are also the worst offense in the league against right-handed pitchers. Aaron Nola has been solid in his last eight games, with a 4.41 ERA over 51 innings. He has been somewhat unlucky, as evidenced by his 3.12 FIP. This is backed up by his impressive .190 batting average against, along with nearly 11 strikeouts per nine innings in this stretch.
Secondary MLB DFS Picks Target: RHP Lance McCullers Jr. vs. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim — 3.4 implied runs
- DFS Salary: Yahoo $46 | FanDuel $9,000 | DraftKings $10,100
Over his last seven starts Lance McCullers Jr. has a 3.10 ERA, 10 strikeouts per nine innings and just four home runs allowed. The combination of ground balls and strikeouts is rare, and that makes McCullers a core pitching play on all slates in all formats on Sunday. If he can work around Shohei Ohtani and Jared Walsh, he should be in line for a solid fantasy performance.
Late MLB DFS Picks Target: RHP Max Scherzer vs. San Diego Padres — 3.2 implied runs
- DFS Salary: Yahoo $63 | FanDuel $11,500 | DraftKings $10,200
Over seven starts with the Dodgers Max Scherzer has logged 43 innings, a 1.05 ERA, 1.33 FIP and just two home runs allowed. This has been accompanied by an absurd 13.2 strikeouts per nine innings. In this stretch his best start was arguably against these same Padres, with 7.2 shutout innings and 10 strikeouts.
Final Thoughts for the Sunday, Sept. 12 MLB DFS Picks Slate
All eyes will be on the NFL, but there are some fun MLB games and slates today. There will be some insane prize pools on Monday and Tuesday, as the DFS sites will try to entice all the football gamers to dabble with MLB. The weather is clear today, and it should smooth sailing on Sunday.
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