Keep an eye on weather in New York and Washington and know that Detroit at Minnesota has already been postponed.
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MAIN SLATE
Boston Red Sox vs RHP David Hess – 5.9 implied runs
This is a gimme, so we will do a couple more. Just for fun I pulled the numbers for RHP David Hess against Toronto (4 starts, 25.1 innings, 24 Ks with just two runs allowed) against the rest of the league in his 92 innings pitched he has a 5.74 ERA, 1.5 WHIP and woeful 6.13 K/9 rate. In their last two series (Athletics and Yankees) the Orioles are allowing 9.1 runs per game and their bullpen is absolutely shot. Boston will be the most popular stack on Friday night with good reason.
Texas Rangers vs RHP Mike Fiers – 5.1 implied runs
This will be the fifth start of the season for RHP Mike Fiers and he has had his first and last starts (4.2 innings, 17 baserunners, 11 earned runs two homeruns, 5 strikeouts against Seattle and Houston) bookend 12 scoreless innings against the Angels and Red Sox allowing 9 baserunners with five strikeouts.
Now for the bad news, he has allowed 1.9 HR/9 against the last 732 right-handed hitters he has faced and 1.58 HR/9 over the last 729 left-handed hitters… it is going to be 75-77 around first pitch and while this is not triple digit Texas heat, it is one of the best hitting environments Friday and we know that there is power up and down the Rangers batting order and considering price, potential production, power and position the preferred order for me is Joey Gallo, Shin-Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Roughned Odor, Asdrubal Cabrera, Elvis Andrus and Logan Forsythe (pinch hit risk).
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LATE SLATE
Seattle Mariners vs LHP Wade Miley – 4.0 implied runs
Just know that LHP Wade Miley does not get “crushed” nearly as often as the DFS world seems to think. Last season in 16 starts for the Astros never allowed more than three runs… of course a lot of that had to do with allowing just three homeruns on the season. In 2017 it was more of a Jekyll and Hyde tale as 15 of his 32 starts resulted in three runs or less, but in eight he allowed 5+ runs. Finally, in 2016 he allowed three or fewer runs in 16 of his 30 starts but once again in eight he allowed 5+ runs.
At some point the magic is going to run out for the Mariners who are leading the league averaging 7.8 runs per game on their way to a 13-2 record. They have several right-handed batsmen in the lineup with power and the quartet of Edwin Encarnacion, Mitch Haniger, Domingo Santana and Tim Beckham is intriguing on the late slate and if Tom Murphy is behind the dish, he is a punt catcher options and Ryan Healy is also likely to be overlooked among the other first basemen on the slate.
Hopefully The Masses will be flocking to the Astros who have an implied run total a full run higher than the Mariners.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any questions.
Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
