Fantasy MLB DFS: Wednesday June 13 has a brief four game set for our early action distraction starting at 12:10pm ET followed by an eight game main slate of DFS action on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo! There are several pitchers to target against and some excellent hitting environments, but before you lock in your baseball lineups, make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
For a FREE Spotlight Pitchers article covering Wednesday’s action click hereÂ
Greetings Gamers! While the weather is cooler for mid-June, we do not have any precipitation concerns which will give us one less variable to worry about.
Afternoon Slate
Chicago Cubs at RHP Antonio Senzatela – 6.7 implied runs
While it is going to be wildly popular, there will still be ways we can differentiate our lineups at other spots and still roll with the Cubbies against RHP Antonio Senzatela in order to get a crack at the eye-popping 6.7 implied run total for Chicago.
Keep in mind that Senzatela is not a complete gas can and he would actually be a viable back-of-the-rotation innings eater for most of the teams in the league… he just has the unfortunate task of having his home games at altitude. That combined with an above averaged 8.5 BB%, below average 15.4 K% and mediocre 36.9 HH% over his last 650 batters indicate that we want to do our best to look for any of the batters with some pop who make the lineup on Wednesday afternoon.
My preferred order of preference considering price, position eligibility and potential production would be:
DraftKings – Carlos Gonzalez $3,300, Anthony Rizzo $5,600, Kyle Schwarber $5,000, Kris Bryant $5,500, Javier Baez $5,500 and Victor Caratini $4,300
FanDuel – Kyle Schwarber $3,900, Javier Baez $4,300, Anthony Rizzo $4,700, Kris Bryant $4,500, Carlos Gonzalez $3,300, Jason Heyward $3,700 and David Bote $3,400
Yahoo! – Carlos Gonzalez $11, Jason Heyward $13, Javier Baez $20, Kris Bryant $23, Anthony Rizzo $24, Kyle Schwarber $22 and Victor Caratini $11.
Main Slate
Baltimore Orioles vs RHP Edwin Jackson – 5.4 implied runs
Based on this 11.0 game total, one would think it is a hot and humid August day at Camden Yards instead of a very pleasant 68-70 degrees projected for first pitch. RHP Edwin Jackson really should not be in the league, yet here he is playing in his seventeenth season for his MLB record fourteenth franchise.
Over his last 485 batters faced, essentially evenly distributed between righties and lefties he has allowed a .332 wOBA, .183 ISO, with a 36.1 HH% along with a dreadful 10.8 BB% and 18.1 K% to left-handed batsmen and a .369 wOBA, .252 ISO, with a 40.0 HH%, 7.6 BB% and a 16.1 K% to hitters swinging the stick from the right-side of the plate.
While they are not coming at much if any discount, we will want to focus on Trey Mancini and Renato Nunez with wild cards Steve Wilkerson, Keon Broxton and Chris Davis.
BONUS: If you want some serious leverage against The Masses, it may just be with RHP David Hess who has four starts against the Blue Jays in the last 370 days with a 2-1 record, 25.1 innings pitched with a 0.710 ERA (that is NOT A TYPO as he has allowed just two earned runs on two solo home runs), 0.671 WHIP with an 8.5 K/9 while against the rest of the league in 30 appearances (27 starts) over 139.0 innings pitched with a 6.60 ERA, 1.568 WHIP, 40 home runs and a 6.47 K/9. Just saying that he does seem to have found a glitch in the Matrix when facing Toronto.
Late Slate
Minnesota Twins vs LHP Tommy Milone – 5.8 implied runs
Journeyman and former Twin for two seasons LHP Tommy Milone takes the mound for the Mariners. He has a tough matchup against Minnesota who is one of the fiercest teams against southpaws. Their active roster boasts a league high 138 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes park factors and creates a league-wide scoring efficiency baseline of 100) which means they score 38% more against left-handed pitching than the average team in the league.
Milone is particularly susceptible to opposite-handed hitters allowing a .387 wOBA and a .266 ISO since the beginning of last season, but fellow lefties have gotten in the act as well when given a chance with a .200 ISO over that same timeframe.
Nelson Cruz is the crown jewel, with Miguel Sano not too far behind and we can round things out with Jorge Polanco, Marwin Gonzalez (for some savings) with bottom of the order punch provided by Byron Buxton. For some differentiation don’t be shy about Max Kepler and Eddie Rosario – both serviceable hitters against fellow southpaws and who will get a couple cracks at the dreadful Seattle bullpen.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS.
Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
And stop by our Awesemo YouTube channel for loads of FREE MLB DFS content, including fantasy MLB lineup advice on The Strategy Show with Josh Engleman and Loughy, as well as MLB picks on Four Corners with Chris Spags, and the MLB Deep Dive with Awesemo, Loughy and ShipMyMoney, where they’ll discuss Awesemo’s MLB rankings.
