MLB DFS: Friday, June 28th brings us 14 games (with the NYY and BOS getting a day off as they travel to England for their two game weekend series in London Stadium) with some warm weather and gaudy implied run totals, particularly for the Dodgers in Coors Field which should make the tournament action fun on Yahoo, DraftKings and FanDuel. Before you lock in your fantasy baseball lineups, make sure to check out Awesemo’s MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
Greetings Gamers! Welcome to the Friday slate.
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Main Slate
Kansas City Royals at RHP Sean Reid-Foley – 4.7 implied runs
We get a double bonus here with the Royals particularly on DraftKings and Yahoo where they are favorably priced (FanDuel always has sooooo many bargains, it really doesn’t matter). They get a matchup against the scuffling RHP Sean Reid-Foley who came into this season as one of the top handful of pitchers in the Blue Jays‘ system. He was expected to make some positive contributions to the big club this season and may get that chance.
Reid-Foley has never lacked for strikeout upside with an 11.3 K/9 in 37.1 innings in The Show between a call-up last season and a cup of coffee this season. But he has some serious walk issues and carries a 1.668 WHIP with a 6.75 ERA allowing seven home runs, seemingly following the Ebby Calvin “Nuke” LaLoosh philosophy of trying to “announce his presence with authority.” This does seem reasonable when we consider he has had a double-digit K/9 rate throughout his 565.1 minor league innings and he will not even be 24 until the end of August.
If we look to Whit Merrifield, Alex Gordon, Nicky Lopez, Hunter Dozier, Jorge Soler and Chester Cuthbert on DraftKings we will get some discounted options that can help us work in some of the Coors Field batters. On Yahoo, I’m playing both sides of this matchup. While we haven’t seen sustained success at the highest level for Reid-Foley, his $28 price tag gives him upside, particularly if the Kansas City lefties are limited to just Alex Gordon, Nicky Lopez and Billy Hamilton. Other than Gordon, they don’t have much pop. It’s a small sample size of 81 right-handed hitter faced, but that 34.6 K% is going to be tantalizing in tournaments. During his last start for AAA-Buffalo, Reid-Foley went 104 pitches on June 18th, so he should be good for something in the 75-80 range if he can stay out of trouble.
Evening Slate
Milwaukee Brewers vs. RHP Chris Archer – 5.8 implied runs
We know that Miller Park is a hitter’s haven with an extra boost to left-handed hitters and the Brew Crew have no shortage of lefty batters. Since the beginning of last year (which includes his time pitching in Tropicana Field), Archer has faced 421 opposite-handed batters allowing a .356 wOBA, .231 ISO with a 10.5 BB%. While the 23.5 K% is nice, it can’t erase all of the base runners he allows.
We know the drill and should start off with reigning NL MVP Christian Yelich and follow that up with Mike Moustakas, Yasmani Grandal, Travis Shaw, Eric Thames and for good measure Ryan Braun and Lorenzo Cain are solidly in play as well.
Late Slate
San Diego Padres vs. RHP Michael Wacha – 5.0 implied runs
Over his last 369 same-handed matchups, RHP Michael Wacha has allowed a 1.99 HR/9 with a 42.1 HH% and a 12.2 BB% which is concerning considering how many Padres present light tower power from that side of the plate, including Hunter Renfroe, Franmil Reyes, Fernando Tatis Jr.and of course that Manny Machado guy is pretty good too. Will Myers, Eric Hosmer and Francisco Mejia all come into play on the three game late-slate, but the core four for San Diego is going to be one heck of a contrarian option on the DraftKings main slate with their lofty price points.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any questions.
Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
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