MLB Picks: Friday, September 13th gives us a thirteen (spooky!) game main slate on Yahoo, DraftKings, FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Before you lock in your baseball DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
Greetings Gamers! We have a fun thirteen game slate for Friday the 13th so let’s get going!
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Baltimore Orioles at RHP Jordan Zimmermann – 5.1 implied runs
This is a nice spot to employ the Batters of Birdland as they match up well with RHP Jordan Zimmermann. On the season, Zimmermann has done a reasonable job of limiting baserunners, but the low strikeouts and above average home run rate does not help. The last 483 righties have tallied a .220 ISO / 1.50 HR/9 and the last 510 lefties have a .233 ISO with a 1.94 HR/9. The other bonus is the 38.0 GB% which is below average and can keep the double plays limited.
Trey Mancini, Anthony Santander and Renato Nunez are the best three hitters with power upside for the Orioles. Look to Jonathan Villar for his on-base and steals upside. D.J. Stewart is a cheap source of power potential and differentiation. Saving the best for last, Hanser Alberto .320 is vying with Michael Brantley .323 for the American League batting title… who knew?!
Keep in mind that the Detroit Tigers have one of THE WORST bullpens in the league. With a bottom five ERA, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, BB% and K%. ENJOY!
Oakland Athletics at LHP Brock Burke – 6.2 implied runs
The wheels came off the wagon in LHP Brock Burke’s last start. The 22-year old southpaw is getting on-the-job training as he has just 8.0 of his 450. MiLB innings above AA. His fastball is in the low-to-mid 90s and he had a 27.8 K% in his last AA stop.
It will be warm in Arlington on Friday with the game time temperatures in the low-90s. This is a nice matchup for the Athletics as they are able to get very right-handed with power. Matt Chapman, Marcus Semien, Mark Canha and Josh Phegley all have a .220+ ISO against southpaws. Additionally, though it has been a dismal season for Khris Davis, he still has a .211 ISO in righty/lefty matchups. Finally, for some differentiation, Matt Olsen has a .262 ISO in 138 lefty/lefty matchups which is phenomenal.
Chicago White Sox at LHP Yusei Kikuchi – 4.4 implied runs
Do not let that low implied run total turn you away. The ChiSox have a very specific core of players we will want to target in this matchup. LHP Yusei Kikuchi has allowed the 34 home runs this season behind the 36 of Matthew Boyd and Mike Leake. With a .238 ISO / 1.98 HR/9 to righties and a .256 ISO / 2.35 HR/9 to lefties we are in business.
Jose Abreu will be the most popular option, but build on him with Tim Anderson, Eloy Jimenez and James McCann for a full-stack on any slate. If Welington Castillo is in the lineup, he is a fine discount dandy across the board.
As always, reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS.
Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
In addition to our MLB Projections, Awesemo’s ownership projections come out every day before lineup lock. In addition, we also release a daily Top Stack projection, which takes a look at how likely each MLB stack is to be the highest scoring unit on the slate, relative to our projected ownership and value. Want a more in-depth look? Check out Data Central page, which tallies up every single bit of data we’ve collected over the course of the day, including chance of postponement.
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