DraftKings
MLB DFS Picks: Spotlight Hitters & Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo: September 14th (FREE)
MLB Picks: Saturday, September 14th gives us an early three game set and an eleven game main slate on Yahoo, DraftKings, FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Before you lock in your baseball DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
For today’s Spotlight Pitchers article click here
Greetings Gamers! We have wall-to-wall baseball for Saturday, so let’s dive in!
If you haven’t signed up for Yahoo Fantasy DFS, click this link and use the promo code Awesemo when making your first deposit and you will be eligible for $30 of “free play” which Yahoo will match through the first $30 of your deposit (this bonus will be received in Yahoo Sports Rewards Points aka YSRP which can be used to enter any paid contest immediately).
Table of Contents
Early Slate
New York Yankees at RHP Jacob Waguespack – 6.0 implied runs
If the “chalk” is too heavy on the Yankees, we have easy pivots to Atlanta, Washington and the Cubbies. On the season, RHP Jacob Waguespack has faced 147 same-handed hitters and it has been a mess. He has been crushed with a .373 wOBA, .246 ISO and a substandard 16.3 K%.
Despite their many injuries, the current iteration of the Bronx Bombers is loaded with righty power. Gleyber Torres, Luke Voit, Aaron Judge, Gio Urshela, Clint Frazier and D.J. LeMahieu are all prime targets.
Main Slate
Houston Astros at LHP Mike Montgomery – 6.4 implied runs
Despite what the DraftKings pricing algorithm things, LHP Mike Montomery is not a horrible pitcher. He does have an incredibly difficult matchup against the Astros in weather conducive to batters. By most metrics Houston is one of the best teams in the league against southpaws.
By now we should all know that Alex Bregman, George Springer, Jose Altuve and the much improved Yuli Gurriel are very much in play. Rookie Yordan Alvarez has simply been amazing in lefty/lefty matchups so far and Aledmys Diaz is a differentiation play.
Evening Slate
Texas Rangers vs RHP Mike Fiers – 5.2 implied runs
Over his last two starts, RHP Mike Fiers has allowed seven home runs in just six innings. Do you remember that on May 7th he had a no-hitter against Cincinnati? Did you know that was also his SECOND NO HITTER of his career? It is funny outcomes like this that have us loving and hating fantasy baseball at the same time.
With his pedestrian strikeout rate and low walk rate, Fiers allows a lot of balls in play. This is not always to his advantage as he has a 40 GB% and 40 FB% over the last two seasons which are both sub-par. Additionally, same-handed hitters have compiled a .203 ISO with a 1.88 HR/9 in the same time-frame.
Focus on Shin-Soo Choo, Willie Calhoun, Nick Solak, Danny Santana and Rougned Odor. For differentiation we can roll with Ronald Guzman and whomever is behind the plate.
With the way pricing is working out and with a Coors Field Extravaganza on tap we may see some gamers on Fiers. This is a viable strategy if you are cognizant of the risks.
Late Slate
Tampa Bay Rays at RHP Jaime Barria – 5.24 implied runs
There is a decent chance we see an opener from one or both of these teams Saturday night. Regardless, it will be RHP Jaime Barria pitching around 4-5 innings for the Halos. Barria has some wicked reverse splits with a .400 wOBA, .362 ISO across 165 righties this season. Somehow this is even worse than his .197 ISO over 272 same-handed matchups last season. Things are pretty bleak in 2019 against lefties with a .192 ISO and a 9.7 BB%.
The Rays are pretty good with attacking pitchers at their weak points and will not necessarily stick to the conventional lefty/righty matchups. Look for righties Tommy Pham, Travis D’Arnaud, Jesus Aguilar and Avasail Garcia as the core four. Austin Meadows and Ji-Man Choi are the lefties we will target for a full stack.
As always, reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS.
Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
Awesemo’s MLB Projections
In addition to our MLB Projections, Awesemo’s ownership projections come out every day before lineup lock. In addition, we also release a daily Top Stack projection, which takes a look at how likely each MLB stack is to be the highest scoring unit on the slate, relative to our projected ownership and value. Want a more in-depth look? Check out Data Central page, which tallies up every single bit of data we’ve collected over the course of the day, including chance of postponement.
Awesemo YouTube
Of course, please do stop by our Awesemo YouTube channel for loads of FREE MLB DFS content, including fantasy MLB lineup advice on The Strategy Show with Josh Engleman and Loughy, as well as MLB picks on Four Corners with Chris Spags, and the MLB Deep Dive with Awesemo, Loughy and ShipMyMoney, where they’ll discuss Awesemo’s MLB rankings.
-
MLB DFS Tournament Picks & Home Runs 5/19/22
-
MLB DFS Top Batters Tool: DraftKings
-
MLB DFS Picks Today (5/19/22): Spotlight Pitchers & Top Stacks Thursday
-
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: DraftKings Fantasy Baseball Picks Today 5/19/22
-
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: FanDuel Fantasy Baseball Picks Today 5/19/22
-
Single-Game & Showdown MLB DFS Ownership Projections
-
MLB DFS Ownership Projections: Night Slate
-
DraftKings MLB DFS Top Stacks Tool